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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 18, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nets41%9496
16Bulls59%97112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.1
37.2
37.6
22
59%
4
5
2
1
2
1
0
4
6-6
100%
8-14
7-14
57%
48%
0-2
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.7
35.4
40.1
21
60%
2
2
0
1
0
5
0
2
8-10
80%
5-12
7-13
42%
50%
1-1
100%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
22.4
10.8
4
100%
6
0
0
0
2
3
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
17.0
33.1
4
33%
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
5-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
15.7
29.2
2
33%
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
55%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.3
29.6
18.4
16
67%
2
3
2
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
4-7
57%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.7
26.2
21.9
4
18%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-7
2-5
14%
46%
0-3
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.1
15.5
14.6
4
50%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.3
14.8
11.1
8
80%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.7
14.2
2.6
3
38%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.0
7.0
6.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.1
5.0
1.5
8
82%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
0-0
67%
41%
1-1
100%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.2
37.6
22.9
14
70%
3
8
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
2-3
67%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.1
36.6
33.0
16
53%
5
5
4
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-12
4-10
42%
43%
2-3
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
34.4
38.7
20
68%
9
2
2
1
1
0
2
7
4-4
100%
8-13
8-15
62%
51%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
32.9
32.4
19
57%
11
1
3
1
4
1
6
5
5-6
83%
7-14
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
20.2
28.0
5
51%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.9
30.2
18.1
7
52%
7
6
2
1
1
1
0
7
1-4
25%
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
30.2
28.0
17
71%
4
6
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
3-5
60%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.3
10.3
13.6
9
41%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-8
2-3
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.6
7.1
14.4
2
20%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-0
-
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.5
0.6
1.6
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
1-1
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.3
9.2
0
2-3
52%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.5
7.1
0
0-1
43%
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.3
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.