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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 18, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers51%101102
11Mavericks49%100100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.6
43.5
41.3
29
57%
2
7
3
2
0
2
0
2
3-6
50%
10-19
8-16
53%
49%
2-4
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.4
40.3
38.2
17
46%
17
2
2
1
1
0
6
11
7-8
88%
5-14
4-8
36%
53%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.2
33.6
25.4
11
40%
5
3
0
0
4
1
2
3
3-4
75%
4-12
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.6
30.8
27.2
8
35%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-3
67%
3-6
3-6
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
30.6
25.1
21
76%
10
2
2
1
0
2
1
9
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
4-7
57%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.0
21.8
19.3
6
61%
4
0
2
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.0
17.4
17.6
8
41%
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
4-4
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.3
17.2
22.2
2
33%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.2
4.8
7.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.7
13.2
0
2-5
52%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.7
6.0
0
1-1
51%
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.4
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.7
42.8
26.6
35
62%
11
1
0
1
5
1
1
10
10-12
83%
8-17
6-11
47%
50%
3-6
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.9
35.4
29.6
19
52%
5
1
0
1
1
3
1
4
7-10
70%
6-13
5-11
46%
49%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.4
29.3
22.1
7
45%
1
4
1
1
0
3
1
0
3-4
75%
2-4
2-6
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.0
27.8
26.5
1
13%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
19.5
25.2
6
77%
9
0
0
0
2
1
2
7
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.5
25.8
23.7
19
75%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
2-5
40%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.9
16.1
18.1
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
15.4
16.4
4
67%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.9
14.8
22.8
2
20%
4
0
1
0
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
0-4
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.7
13.2
14.3
2
33%
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
12.6
0
1-2
46%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.1
6.1
0
1-1
44%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.8
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.