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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Heat15%8854
14Raptors85%10296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
48.0
20.3
14
44%
5
3
0
1
0
5
1
4
4-4
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
43%
0-6
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
36.7
35.6
12
50%
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
2-2
100%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
34.1
21.1
3
14%
8
1
1
0
0
1
2
6
1-2
50%
1-10
3-7
10%
43%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
30.6
31.4
8
21%
3
2
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-10
3-6
10%
44%
2-9
22%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
28.1
22.5
11
42%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-12
3-7
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
35.0
19.2
6
31%
8
2
0
1
0
3
3
5
4-4
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-5
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
27.5
21.1
0
0%
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
32.3
1
2-5
44%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
23.6
1
4-7
54%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
10.7
0
1-2
49%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
10.0
0
1-3
47%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
7.6
0
1-1
46%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.4
27.7
22.8
14
61%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
1-2
50%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.8
27.6
34.3
14
70%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
2-4
50%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.8
27.2
24.0
9
65%
14
1
0
1
0
0
3
11
1-2
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
25.4
27.0
10
85%
5
10
4
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
3-3
4-6
100%
57%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
22.6
25.8
8
34%
8
1
0
1
1
1
0
8
4-4
100%
2-9
6-10
22%
53%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.8
30.5
33.0
12
67%
4
4
1
1
3
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-9
5-10
67%
55%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.0
22.6
19.7
8
68%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.1
22.2
23.9
6
51%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
52%
1-1
100%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
12.0
5.5
9
90%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
1-1
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
7.6
16.4
4
40%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.8
7.6
5.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
59%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
7.0
20.5
2
53%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 37.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.