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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bobcats47%10095
23Pacers53%102102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
40.0
26.3
17
65%
6
2
1
1
0
4
0
6
7-7
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
39.1
36.9
20
51%
10
8
3
1
0
1
2
8
3-4
75%
7-12
5-11
58%
48%
1-6
17%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.7
36.3
36.0
9
36%
2
5
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
4-11
5-11
36%
44%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
20.5
29.1
2
100%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
5-10
100%
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
15.3
21.4
10
63%
2
0
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
27.1
27.0
18
87%
3
0
0
1
1
3
1
2
3-3
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
3-5
60%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
21.6
5.3
11
48%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
3-8
38%
4-8
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.7
18.6
21.1
4
24%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
4-5
80%
0-6
2-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.8
11.7
14.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
9.7
3.5
4
41%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
48%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.7
13.3
0
1-2
43%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
6.0
0
1-2
47%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.0
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.5
42.7
36.3
12
39%
5
5
2
1
1
5
0
5
8-8
100%
2-6
5-10
33%
53%
0-6
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
35.9
32.1
18
91%
13
3
0
1
3
1
2
11
1-2
50%
4-5
4-8
80%
49%
3-4
75%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.6
35.6
23.6
22
67%
3
4
3
1
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
46%
1-2
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.2
27.4
25.8
10
53%
9
1
1
1
1
1
4
5
0-1
0%
5-9
2-5
56%
54%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
24.0
15.2
7
35%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.2
30.1
19.5
13
51%
4
2
3
1
0
1
3
1
3-4
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
0-2
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.1
17.4
3.6
16
81%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
53%
2-3
67%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
12.4
22.8
2
33%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.6
9.8
11.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.5
4.7
8.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.4
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
3.3
0
0-1
52%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.9
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.1
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.