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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets39%9169
8Hornets61%9490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.8
42.2
36.7
15
32%
5
3
2
1
0
4
2
3
3-5
60%
6-18
6-14
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.5
39.6
38.9
14
59%
6
0
1
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
2-8
25%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.9
35.6
29.2
14
39%
9
1
0
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
7-18
5-10
39%
50%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.7
34.1
18.1
10
64%
13
0
0
0
2
0
2
11
2-4
50%
4-6
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
32.6
33.3
10
36%
7
4
2
1
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
4-9
3-8
44%
43%
0-4
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.8
23.3
21.4
0
0%
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-2
0%
0-2
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.0
13.2
14.2
2
20%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 24.8
12.1
17.1
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.8
3.0
6.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.3
2.1
15.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.2
2.1
3.9
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.1
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.5
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
40.9
32.7
23
48%
11
1
2
1
1
2
2
9
11-13
85%
6-18
7-14
33%
49%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.5
39.0
37.1
2
33%
15
0
1
1
4
1
1
14
0-0
-
1-3
5-8
33%
58%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.9
34.2
38.2
21
73%
4
10
4
2
0
5
1
3
1-3
33%
7-9
7-14
78%
50%
2-4
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.8
34.1
37.3
11
50%
3
2
3
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
1-4
25%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
15.8
21.9
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-4
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.5
26.8
19.5
25
83%
2
0
2
1
3
1
0
2
6-7
86%
8-11
3-6
73%
45%
1-1
100%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.8
23.5
19.2
6
51%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.4
13.8
21.0
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
43%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
8.0
13.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.7
2.1
3.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.3
1.2
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.3
0.6
3.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.7
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.