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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies39%9694
25Timberwolves61%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
40.2
29.0
25
47%
7
2
1
1
1
4
2
5
6-8
75%
8-16
5-10
50%
49%
1-7
14%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
33.7
29.5
20
60%
10
0
0
1
1
2
1
9
3-4
75%
4-10
4-7
40%
54%
3-5
60%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.8
28.3
27.5
11
32%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
1-8
13%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.4
27.2
25.3
9
38%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.7
26.1
23.8
5
43%
9
3
0
1
2
0
2
7
1-4
25%
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.7
31.1
29.3
7
60%
11
3
1
1
3
0
3
8
1-2
50%
3-5
6-11
60%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.0
21.3
26.9
8
69%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.3
18.9
12.2
2
43%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-3
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.2
10.8
18.7
5
66%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.0
2.6
6.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
10.7
1
1-1
45%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
4.9
0
0-0
47%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.2
37.2
33.2
29
68%
13
1
0
1
2
3
6
7
9-12
75%
10-16
9-17
63%
53%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.5
36.0
31.5
12
47%
10
3
0
1
0
1
0
10
2-2
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
47%
2-4
50%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.3
31.0
31.8
9
60%
4
7
2
1
2
1
0
4
1-1
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
30.7
23.6
8
58%
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.5
29.7
31.7
14
43%
3
2
1
1
2
0
0
3
10-10
100%
2-11
5-10
18%
51%
0-1
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.5
28.9
26.2
19
44%
2
5
2
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
6-15
4-8
40%
51%
1-4
25%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.0
18.2
24.1
3
39%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.4
14.8
17.8
2
14%
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
4-6
14%
58%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.2
13.4
10.0
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.5
3.2
0
0-0
50%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.8
2.5
0
0-1
46%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.1
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.6
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.