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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 20, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs59%93102
16Bulls41%9080
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.8
29.8
34.8
23
51%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
7-10
70%
8-15
7-14
53%
52%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.9
25.9
33.5
22
70%
10
1
0
1
3
1
3
7
4-4
100%
9-14
7-14
64%
51%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.0
22.3
14.7
4
67%
7
2
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.0
21.5
25.5
10
83%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
2-2
100%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.8
19.6
26.6
6
38%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
2-6
33%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.6
26.6
15.2
13
53%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
1-5
20%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.6
26.6
32.5
6
31%
4
2
2
2
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
50%
0-3
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.5
19.8
19.2
4
33%
6
0
1
1
1
0
4
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.1
18.3
10.7
4
106%
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.6
12.3
12.3
3
150%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-1
100%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.5
8.7
8.1
5
63%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
8.7
7.8
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
39.4
28.4
12
36%
8
3
1
1
1
2
0
8
2-2
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
45%
0-4
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
34.3
36.2
18
58%
7
0
3
1
0
4
4
3
6-6
100%
6-13
7-14
46%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
33.5
31.8
16
62%
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
7-12
5-11
58%
47%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.2
28.2
33.4
10
39%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-11
4-10
36%
41%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
24.7
24.5
2
25%
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.9
29.8
22.5
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.3
23.4
12.6
10
54%
7
1
0
0
0
3
1
6
3-3
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.6
15.0
11.8
7
47%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
7-8
88%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.3
7.9
6.3
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.5
3.8
1.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.2
28.1
1
3-6
45%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.6
6.4
0
0-1
42%
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.3
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.