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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 20, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers43%103106
5Jazz57%10595
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.4
43.8
38.3
21
67%
12
6
0
1
0
0
2
10
2-4
50%
8-11
5-9
73%
53%
1-3
33%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.6
40.7
41.3
27
48%
8
7
1
2
0
3
2
6
5-9
56%
11-22
8-17
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.2
36.0
28.3
9
58%
6
6
0
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.6
31.7
28.3
11
65%
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
25.6
26.9
13
108%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
3-4
75%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.0
27.1
17.8
3
26%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.0
18.8
20.5
11
69%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
3-4
75%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.3
16.3
20.0
11
61%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
1-4
25%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.7
10.5
0
2-4
52%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.2
6.6
0
1-1
48%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.7
6.1
0
1-1
50%
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
2.4
0
0-0
46%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.4
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.7
46.0
35.6
26
71%
7
12
0
1
1
5
0
7
4-5
80%
5-10
6-12
50%
51%
4-6
67%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.3
39.0
34.8
23
52%
15
3
0
1
0
0
5
10
5-7
71%
9-19
8-15
47%
54%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
35.9
27.6
15
63%
4
2
3
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
52%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.0
28.8
26.5
12
54%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-5
40%
5-9
4-7
56%
57%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.8
28.4
26.2
10
51%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-2
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.8
21.9
19.3
5
43%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.0
19.2
21.3
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.1
14.8
20.0
4
40%
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
4.2
7.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
2.0
10.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.3
9.2
0
1-1
46%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.9
2.5
0
0-1
41%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.