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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Wizards71%99103
30Heat29%9286
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
33.0
32.7
25
91%
2
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
6-6
5-11
100%
49%
3-6
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.0
31.6
34.7
7
39%
3
5
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.0
30.3
28.0
9
67%
5
7
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
30.0
37.2
22
68%
10
0
1
1
0
0
2
8
1-5
20%
6-9
7-14
67%
49%
3-5
60%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.3
17.8
27.9
8
47%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-1
0%
4-8
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
24.4
21.0
11
61%
3
1
1
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
3-6
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.6
22.4
10.6
7
72%
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.1
22.0
20.7
6
38%
4
4
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
18.7
7.8
2
26%
5
0
2
0
1
3
1
4
0-2
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.3
9.9
4.8
6
55%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
1-4
25%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
13.2
0
2-4
48%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
10.9
1
1-3
48%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
33.7
35.0
10
63%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
32.5
30.4
9
51%
3
1
0
1
2
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
27.8
22.9
9
41%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
25.9
23.0
8
82%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
23.1
23.9
12
68%
4
1
1
0
1
3
0
4
3-4
75%
3-4
4-8
75%
51%
1-3
33%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
27.6
23.9
15
67%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-5
40%
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
1-3
33%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
25.9
29.0
6
34%
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
1-3
33%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
24.0
25.3
10
56%
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-0
-
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
12.0
0.6
2
114%
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
7.4
3.4
5
51%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
18.2
1
3-5
56%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
8.3
0
1-2
51%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.