| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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 Heat | 98.9 | 87 | 84.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
WAS
72
+11
-12
83
MIA
74
+9
-13
83
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
WAS
1.23 61.3%
MIA
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | WAS | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | WAS | 103 | 86 | |
| Q4 - 0:01.0 | WAS | Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 103 | 86 |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | MIA | MISS Ahearn 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 103 | 86 |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 103 | 86 |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | MIA | MISS Ahearn Layup | 103 | 86 |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | WAS | Pecherov 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST) | 103 | 86 |
| Q4 - 0:45.0 | MIA | Cook 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ahearn 3 AST) | 100 | 86 |
| Q4 - 0:55.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 100 | 84 |
| Q4 - 0:57.0 | WAS | Lasme BLOCK (2 BLK) | 100 | 84 |
| Q4 - 1:19 | MIA | Cook Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 100 | 84 |
| Q4 - 1:19 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 100 | 83 |
| Q4 - 1:19 | MIA | MISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 2 | 100 | 83 |
| Q4 - 1:19 | WAS | McGuire S.FOUL (P4.PN) | 100 | 83 |
| Q4 - 1:28 | MIA | Lasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 100 | 83 |
| Q4 - 1:29 | MIA | MISS Ahearn 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 100 | 83 |
| Q4 - 1:41 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 100 | 83 |
| Q4 - 1:42 | WAS | MISS McGuire Free Throw 2 of 2 | 100 | 83 |
| Q4 - 1:42 | WAS | Wizards Rebound | 100 | 83 |
| Q4 - 1:42 | WAS | MISS McGuire Free Throw 1 of 2 | 100 | 83 |
| Q4 - 1:42 | MIA | Cook S.FOUL (P3.PN) | 100 | 83 |
| Q4 - 1:58 | MIA | Anthony Layup (8 PTS) (Ahearn 2 AST) | 100 | 83 |
| Q4 - 2:09 | WAS | McGuire Foul Turnover (P3.T12) | 100 | 81 |
| Q4 - 2:09 | WAS | McGuire OFF.Foul (P3) | 100 | 81 |
| Q4 - 2:22 | WAS | Pecherov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 100 | 81 |
| Q4 - 2:23 | WAS | MISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 100 | 81 |
| Q4 - 2:36 | WAS | Wizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0) | 100 | 81 |
| Q4 - 2:36 | MIA | Ahearn P.FOUL (P1.T4) | 100 | 81 |
| Q4 - 2:46 | MIA | Jones Layup (15 PTS) (Ahearn 1 AST) | 100 | 81 |
| Q4 - 2:52 | WAS | Lasme STEAL (1 STL) | 100 | 79 |
| Q4 - 3:08 | MIA | Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lasme 1 AST) | 100 | 79 |
| Q4 - 3:30 | MIA | Jones Violation:Defensive Goaltending | 100 | 76 |
| Q4 - 3:30 | WAS | Songaila 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST) | 100 | 76 |
| Q4 - 3:41 | WAS | Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 98 | 76 |
| Q4 - 3:43 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 | 98 | 76 |
| Q4 - 3:43 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 98 | 76 |
| Q4 - 3:43 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 | 98 | 76 |
| Q4 - 3:43 | WAS | SUB: Pecherov FOR Butler | 98 | 76 |
| Q4 - 3:43 | WAS | Blatche P.FOUL (P4.PN) | 98 | 76 |
| Q4 - 4:02 | WAS | Songaila Layup (4 PTS) | 98 | 76 |
| Q4 - 4:08 | WAS | Songaila REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 96 | 76 |
| Q4 - 4:09 | WAS | Cook BLOCK (2 BLK) | 96 | 76 |
| Q4 - 4:21 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 96 | 76 |
| Q4 - 4:22 | MIA | MISS Cook 21' Jump Shot | 96 | 76 |
| Q4 - 4:34 | WAS | Butler 6' Running Hook Shot (25 PTS) | 96 | 76 |
| Q4 - 4:46 | MIA | Jones P.FOUL (P2.T3) | 94 | 76 |
| Q4 - 5:00 | MIA | Cook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16) | 94 | 76 |
| Q4 - 5:03 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 94 | 76 |
| Q4 - 5:04 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 | 76 |
| Q4 - 5:26 | MIA | Lasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 94 | 76 |
| Q4 - 5:28 | WAS | Lasme BLOCK (1 BLK) | 94 | 76 |
| Q4 - 5:47 | MIA | Ahearn Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 94 | 76 |
| Q4 - 5:47 | MIA | Ahearn Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 94 | 75 |
| Q4 - 5:47 | WAS | SUB: Blatche FOR Pecherov | 94 | 74 |
| Q4 - 5:47 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1) | 94 | 74 |
| Q4 - 5:47 | WAS | McGuire P.FOUL (P2.PN) | 94 | 74 |
| Q4 - 5:54 | MIA | Ahearn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 94 | 74 |
| Q4 - 5:55 | WAS | MISS Pecherov 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 | 74 |
| Q4 - 6:19 | MIA | Ahearn 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 94 | 74 |
| Q4 - 6:42 | MIA | Lasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 94 | 71 |
| Q4 - 6:43 | WAS | MISS McGuire 5' Hook Shot | 94 | 71 |
| Q4 - 6:46 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 94 | 71 |
| Q4 - 6:47 | WAS | MISS Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot | 94 | 71 |
| Q4 - 7:06 | WAS | Songaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 94 | 71 |
| Q4 - 7:07 | WAS | MISS Pecherov 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 | 71 |
| Q4 - 7:25 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 94 | 71 |
| Q4 - 7:25 | MIA | SUB: Ahearn FOR Quinn | 94 | 70 |
| Q4 - 7:25 | WAS | Pecherov S.FOUL (P2.T4) | 94 | 70 |
| Q4 - 7:25 | MIA | Jones Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 94 | 70 |
| Q4 - 7:45 | WAS | Songaila Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 94 | 68 |
| Q4 - 7:54 | WAS | Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 92 | 68 |
| Q4 - 7:55 | MIA | MISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 92 | 68 |
| Q4 - 8:15 | WAS | Pecherov Traveling Turnover (P1.T10) | 92 | 68 |
| Q4 - 8:30 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15) | 92 | 68 |
| Q4 - 8:33 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 92 | 68 |
| Q4 - 8:34 | MIA | MISS Quinn Driving Layup | 92 | 68 |
| Q4 - 8:55 | WAS | Pecherov Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 92 | 68 |
| Q4 - 8:55 | 91 | 68 | ||
| Q4 - 8:55 | MIA | Cook S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 91 | 68 |
| Q4 - 8:55 | WAS | Pecherov Layup (2 PTS) (Songaila 4 AST) | 91 | 68 |
| Q4 - 9:10 | MIA | Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST) | 89 | 68 |
| Q4 - 9:28 | WAS | McGuire Layup (2 PTS) (Songaila 3 AST) | 89 | 65 |
| Q4 - 9:43 | MIA | Lasme Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 87 | 65 |
| Q4 - 9:43 | MIA | Lasme Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 87 | 64 |
| Q4 - 9:43 | WAS | SUB: Butler FOR Daniels | 87 | 63 |
| Q4 - 9:43 | WAS | Pecherov S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 87 | 63 |
| Q4 - 10:06 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 87 | 63 |
| Q4 - 10:07 | WAS | MISS Songaila 18' Jump Shot | 87 | 63 |
| Q4 - 10:19 | MIA | Jones P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 87 | 63 |
| Q4 - 10:40 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 87 | 63 |
| Q4 - 10:40 | MIA | Quinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 87 | 63 |
| Q4 - 10:40 | MIA | MISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 2 | 87 | 62 |
| Q4 - 10:40 | WAS | Mason Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 87 | 62 |
| Q4 - 10:46 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 87 | 62 |
| Q4 - 10:47 | WAS | MISS Pecherov 3PT Jump Shot | 87 | 62 |
| Q4 - 11:05 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 87 | 62 |
| Q4 - 11:07 | MIA | MISS Quinn 13' Running Jump Shot | 87 | 62 |
| Q4 - 11:17 | WAS | McGuire P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 87 | 62 |
| Q4 - 11:35 | MIA | Lasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 87 | 62 |
| Q4 - 11:36 | WAS | MISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 | 62 |
| Q4 - 12:00 | 87 | 62 | ||
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 87 | 62 | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 87 | 62 |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Davis 15' Jump Shot | 87 | 62 |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | WAS | Quinn STEAL (2 STL) | 87 | 62 |
| Q3 - 0:14.0 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 87 | 62 |
| Q3 - 0:16.0 | MIA | MISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot | 87 | 62 |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | WAS | Daniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 87 | 62 |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | WAS | SUB: McGuire FOR Butler | 86 | 62 |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | MIA | Quinn S.FOUL (P3.T4) | 86 | 62 |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | WAS | Daniels Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 86 | 62 |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 84 | 62 |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 84 | 61 |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | WAS | Songaila S.FOUL (P3.PN) | 84 | 60 |
| Q3 - 1:01 | WAS | Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 84 | 60 |
| Q3 - 1:26 | MIA | Jones Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) | 81 | 60 |
| Q3 - 1:39 | WAS | SUB: Mason Jr. FOR Stevenson | 81 | 58 |
| Q3 - 1:39 | WAS | SUB: Songaila FOR Blatche | 81 | 58 |
| Q3 - 1:39 | WAS | Blatche P.FOUL (P3.T3) | 81 | 58 |
| Q3 - 1:52 | WAS | Stevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 81 | 58 |
| Q3 - 1:52 | WAS | Stevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 81 | 58 |
| Q3 - 1:54 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 | 58 |
| Q3 - 2:19 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14) | 81 | 58 |
| Q3 - 2:39 | MIA | SUB: Jones FOR Barron | 81 | 58 |
| Q3 - 2:39 | WAS | Wizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0) | 81 | 58 |
| Q3 - 2:39 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1) | 81 | 58 |
| Q3 - 2:46 | WAS | Jamison 28' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Daniels 7 AST) | 81 | 58 |
| Q3 - 3:03 | MIA | Blount Layup (12 PTS) | 78 | 58 |
| Q3 - 3:24 | WAS | Jamison Layup (19 PTS) (Stevenson 5 AST) | 78 | 56 |
| Q3 - 3:40 | MIA | Davis Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 7 AST) | 76 | 56 |
| Q3 - 3:42 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 76 | 54 |
| Q3 - 3:46 | WAS | MISS Jamison 6' Hook Shot | 76 | 54 |
| Q3 - 3:52 | MIA | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13) | 76 | 54 |
| Q3 - 4:13 | WAS | Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Daniels 6 AST) | 76 | 54 |
| Q3 - 4:31 | MIA | Quinn 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barron 1 AST) | 73 | 54 |
| Q3 - 4:52 | WAS | Daniels Driving Dunk (6 PTS) | 73 | 51 |
| Q3 - 4:55 | MIA | Davis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12) | 71 | 51 |
| Q3 - 5:06 | WAS | Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 6 AST) | 71 | 51 |
| Q3 - 5:26 | MIA | Barron 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Blount 1 AST) | 68 | 51 |
| Q3 - 5:35 | MIA | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 68 | 49 |
| Q3 - 5:36 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 | 49 |
| Q3 - 5:56 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 68 | 49 |
| Q3 - 5:58 | MIA | MISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 2 | 68 | 49 |
| Q3 - 5:58 | MIA | Blount Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 68 | 49 |
| Q3 - 5:58 | WAS | Butler P.FOUL (P2.T2) | 68 | 48 |
| Q3 - 6:08 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 68 | 48 |
| Q3 - 6:10 | MIA | MISS Blount Reverse Layup | 68 | 48 |
| Q3 - 6:29 | WAS | Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Stevenson 4 AST) | 68 | 48 |
| Q3 - 6:34 | MIA | Barron Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 65 | 48 |
| Q3 - 6:39 | WAS | Butler P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 65 | 48 |
| Q3 - 7:01 | WAS | Blatche 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 5 AST) | 65 | 48 |
| Q3 - 7:21 | MIA | Williams Driving Layup (7 PTS) | 63 | 48 |
| Q3 - 7:31 | WAS | SUB: Blatche FOR Haywood | 63 | 46 |
| Q3 - 7:31 | MIA | SUB: Blount FOR Cook | 63 | 46 |
| Q3 - 7:31 | MIA | SUB: Quinn FOR Anthony | 63 | 46 |
| Q3 - 7:31 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0) | 63 | 46 |
| Q3 - 7:38 | WAS | Haywood Dunk (8 PTS) (Butler 5 AST) | 63 | 46 |
| Q3 - 7:49 | MIA | Williams Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 61 | 46 |
| Q3 - 7:53 | MIA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 61 | 44 |
| Q3 - 7:55 | WAS | MISS Haywood 10' Jump Shot | 61 | 44 |
| Q3 - 8:14 | WAS | Butler Free Throw Technical (20 PTS) | 61 | 44 |
| Q3 - 8:14 | MIA | Williams T.FOUL (P1.T3) | 60 | 44 |
| Q3 - 8:15 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 60 | 44 |
| Q3 - 8:16 | MIA | MISS Barron Layup | 60 | 44 |
| Q3 - 8:26 | WAS | Daniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS) | 60 | 44 |
| Q3 - 8:26 | MIA | Williams S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 59 | 44 |
| Q3 - 8:26 | WAS | Daniels 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 59 | 44 |
| Q3 - 8:51 | MIA | Barron Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 6 AST) | 57 | 44 |
| Q3 - 9:03 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:06 | MIA | MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:10 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:11 | WAS | MISS Haywood 15' Hook Shot | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:18 | MIA | Jump Ball Cook vs. Stevenson: Tip to Butler | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:18 | WAS | Wizards Rebound | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:18 | MIA | SUB: Barron FOR Blount | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:19 | WAS | Cook BLOCK (1 BLK) | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:20 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:21 | MIA | MISS Williams 23' Jump Shot | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:31 | MIA | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:32 | WAS | MISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 9:39 | MIA | Cook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10) | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 10:03 | WAS | Jamison Layup (14 PTS) (Butler 4 AST) | 57 | 42 |
| Q3 - 10:08 | MIA | Davis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 55 | 42 |
| Q3 - 10:26 | WAS | Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST) | 55 | 42 |
| Q3 - 10:34 | MIA | Anthony P.FOUL (P4.T2) | 52 | 42 |
| Q3 - 10:37 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 52 | 42 |
| Q3 - 10:38 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot | 52 | 42 |
| Q3 - 10:51 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 52 | 42 |
| Q3 - 10:53 | MIA | MISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot | 52 | 42 |
| Q3 - 11:13 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 52 | 42 |
| Q3 - 11:15 | WAS | MISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 | 42 |
| Q3 - 11:31 | MIA | Davis P.FOUL (P2.T1) | 52 | 42 |
| Q3 - 11:39 | MIA | Davis 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST) | 52 | 42 |
| Q3 - 12:00 | 52 | 39 | ||
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 52 | 39 | |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | WAS | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 52 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | WAS | Wizards Rebound | 51 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 | 51 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Barron S.FOUL (P1.PN) | 51 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 51 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | WAS | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 51 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | MIA | MISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 51 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | MIA | SUB: Williams FOR Quinn | 50 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 50 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | MIA | Cook S.FOUL (P1.PN) | 49 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 49 | 39 |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | MIA | MISS Davis 3' Layup | 49 | 39 |
| Q2 - 1:16 | WAS | Daniels Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 49 | 39 |
| Q2 - 1:16 | WAS | Daniels OFF.Foul (P2) | 49 | 39 |
| Q2 - 1:18 | MIA | Quinn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 49 | 39 |
| Q2 - 1:30 | MIA | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 49 | 39 |
| Q2 - 1:31 | WAS | MISS Daniels 11' Jump Shot | 49 | 39 |
| Q2 - 1:54 | MIA | Barron Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST) | 49 | 39 |
| Q2 - 2:14 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 49 | 37 |
| Q2 - 2:15 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 1 | 49 | 37 |
| Q2 - 2:15 | MIA | SUB: Jones FOR Anthony | 49 | 37 |
| Q2 - 2:15 | WAS | Wizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0) | 49 | 37 |
| Q2 - 2:15 | MIA | Quinn S.FOUL (P2.PN) | 49 | 37 |
| Q2 - 2:15 | WAS | Jamison Layup (11 PTS) (Butler 3 AST) | 49 | 37 |
| Q2 - 2:15 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 47 | 37 |
| Q2 - 2:19 | MIA | MISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot | 47 | 37 |
| Q2 - 2:32 | WAS | Butler 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 47 | 37 |
| Q2 - 2:50 | MIA | Cook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST) | 45 | 37 |
| Q2 - 3:10 | MIA | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 45 | 34 |
| Q2 - 3:12 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 | 45 | 34 |
| Q2 - 3:12 | WAS | Wizards Rebound | 45 | 34 |
| Q2 - 3:12 | WAS | MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 | 45 | 34 |
| Q2 - 3:12 | MIA | Anthony S.FOUL (P3.T4) | 45 | 34 |
| Q2 - 3:28 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 45 | 34 |
| Q2 - 3:28 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 45 | 33 |
| Q2 - 3:28 | WAS | Haywood S.FOUL (P1.T4) | 45 | 32 |
| Q2 - 3:34 | WAS | Butler Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS) | 45 | 32 |
| Q2 - 3:34 | MIA | Quinn S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 44 | 32 |
| Q2 - 3:34 | WAS | Butler Driving Layup (11 PTS) | 44 | 32 |
| Q2 - 3:36 | MIA | Barron Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 42 | 32 |
| Q2 - 3:45 | WAS | Daniels P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 42 | 32 |
| Q2 - 3:45 | WAS | Haywood 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6) | 42 | 32 |
| Q2 - 4:02 | MIA | SUB: Cook FOR Jones | 42 | 32 |
| Q2 - 4:02 | WAS | SUB: Daniels FOR Mason Jr. | 42 | 32 |
| Q2 - 4:02 | WAS | SUB: Haywood FOR Blatche | 42 | 32 |
| Q2 - 4:02 | MIA | Davis P.FOUL (P1.T2) | 42 | 32 |
| Q2 - 4:16 | MIA | Anthony Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST) | 42 | 32 |
| Q2 - 4:31 | WAS | Mason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 42 | 30 |
| Q2 - 4:46 | MIA | Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST) | 42 | 30 |
| Q2 - 4:57 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 42 | 27 |
| Q2 - 4:59 | WAS | MISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot | 42 | 27 |
| Q2 - 5:02 | MIA | SUB: Barron FOR Blount | 42 | 27 |
| Q2 - 5:02 | MIA | Blount P.FOUL (P3.T1) | 42 | 27 |
| Q2 - 5:14 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 42 | 27 |
| Q2 - 5:15 | MIA | MISS Blount 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 | 27 |
| Q2 - 5:37 | WAS | Butler 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 42 | 27 |
| Q2 - 5:55 | 40 | 27 | ||
| Q2 - 5:55 | MIA | Blount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T6) | 40 | 27 |
| Q2 - 6:09 | WAS | Stevenson Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) | 40 | 27 |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 38 | 27 |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:24 | WAS | SUB: Jamison FOR McGuire | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:24 | WAS | SUB: Butler FOR Songaila | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Williams | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | SUB: Blount FOR Barron | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:24 | WAS | Songaila S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:26 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:27 | MIA | MISS Jones Layup | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:45 | MIA | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:46 | WAS | MISS McGuire 19' Jump Shot | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:54 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 6:55 | MIA | MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 7:14 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 7:16 | WAS | MISS Songaila 15' Jump Shot | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 7:23 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 7:24 | MIA | MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 7:43 | WAS | Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST) | 38 | 26 |
| Q2 - 8:01 | MIA | Jones Layup (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST) | 35 | 26 |
| Q2 - 8:04 | WAS | Quinn STEAL (1 STL) | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 8:06 | WAS | Songaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 8:07 | WAS | MISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 8:18 | WAS | Stevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 8:20 | MIA | MISS Barron 5' Jump Shot | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 8:23 | WAS | Barron STEAL (1 STL) | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 8:28 | MIA | Quinn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5) | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 8:44 | WAS | Songaila P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 8:44 | WAS | Davis STEAL (1 STL) | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 9:00 | WAS | McGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 9:02 | MIA | MISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 9:19 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0) | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 9:24 | WAS | Blatche Dunk (5 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST) | 35 | 24 |
| Q2 - 9:38 | MIA | Quinn Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) | 33 | 24 |
| Q2 - 10:00 | WAS | Blatche 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Songaila 2 AST) | 33 | 22 |
| Q2 - 10:14 | WAS | Songaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 | 22 |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 | 22 |
| Q2 - 10:32 | WAS | Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 31 | 22 |
| Q2 - 10:48 | MIA | Jones Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) | 28 | 22 |
| Q2 - 10:56 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 | 20 |
| Q2 - 10:57 | WAS | MISS Stevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 | 20 |
| Q2 - 11:12 | WAS | Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 | 20 |
| Q2 - 11:16 | MIA | MISS Barron 13' Turnaround Jump Shot | 28 | 20 |
| Q2 - 11:43 | WAS | Mason Jr. 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 28 | 20 |
| Q2 - 11:50 | MIA | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 26 | 20 |
| Q2 - 12:00 | 26 | 20 | ||
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 26 | 20 | |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3) | 26 | 20 |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 26 | 20 |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS Quinn Layup | 26 | 20 |
| Q1 - 0:23.0 | MIA | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 | 20 |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | WAS | SUB: McGuire FOR Jamison | 26 | 20 |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | MIA | SUB: Davis FOR Blount | 26 | 20 |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | WAS | MISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 2 | 26 | 20 |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | WAS | Blatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 26 | 20 |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | MIA | Blount S.FOUL (P2.T3) | 25 | 20 |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 25 | 20 |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | MIA | MISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot | 25 | 20 |
| Q1 - 0:55.0 | WAS | Jamison 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST) | 25 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:09 | MIA | Blount Foul Turnover (P2.T2) | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:09 | MIA | Blount OFF.Foul (P1) | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:17 | MIA | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:18 | WAS | MISS Jamison 10' Jump Shot | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:35 | MIA | Blount Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:35 | MIA | Blount Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 23 | 19 |
| Q1 - 1:35 | WAS | Blatche S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 1:45 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 1:47 | WAS | MISS Mason Jr. 18' Jump Shot | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:10 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:11 | MIA | MISS Barron 15' Jump Shot | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:19 | WAS | Blatche P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:27 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:29 | WAS | MISS Songaila 5' Jump Shot | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:44 | MIA | SUB: Jones FOR Williams | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:44 | MIA | SUB: Quinn FOR Davis | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:44 | WAS | SUB: Blatche FOR Stevenson | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:44 | WAS | SUB: Mason Jr. FOR Haywood | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:44 | WAS | SUB: Songaila FOR Butler | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:44 | WAS | Wizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0) | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:47 | MIA | Barron 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST) | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 3:09 | WAS | Jamison Layup (7 PTS) (Butler 2 AST) | 23 | 16 |
| Q1 - 3:25 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 21 | 16 |
| Q1 - 3:27 | MIA | MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 | 16 |
| Q1 - 3:34 | MIA | Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 | 16 |
| Q1 - 3:36 | WAS | Blount BLOCK (1 BLK) | 21 | 16 |
| Q1 - 3:57 | MIA | Blount Layup (7 PTS) | 21 | 16 |
| Q1 - 4:19 | WAS | Butler Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST) | 21 | 14 |
| Q1 - 4:22 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 19 | 14 |
| Q1 - 4:23 | WAS | MISS Jamison 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 | 14 |
| Q1 - 4:36 | MIA | Blount Traveling Turnover (P1.T1) | 19 | 14 |
| Q1 - 4:38 | WAS | Blount STEAL (1 STL) | 19 | 14 |
| Q1 - 4:53 | WAS | Wizards Rebound | 19 | 14 |
| Q1 - 4:55 | MIA | MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot | 19 | 14 |
| Q1 - 5:00 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 | 14 |
| Q1 - 5:02 | WAS | MISS Haywood 12' Jump Shot | 19 | 14 |
| Q1 - 5:22 | MIA | Barron 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST) | 19 | 14 |
| Q1 - 5:52 | WAS | Haywood Dunk (6 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST) | 19 | 12 |
| Q1 - 5:57 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 | 12 |
| Q1 - 5:59 | MIA | MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:05 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:06 | WAS | MISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot | 17 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:26 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 17 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:28 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:44 | WAS | Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 17 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:44 | MIA | SUB: Barron FOR Anthony | 16 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:44 | WAS | Wizards Rebound | 16 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:44 | WAS | MISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 | 16 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:44 | MIA | Anthony S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 16 | 12 |
| Q1 - 6:56 | MIA | Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST) | 16 | 12 |
| Q1 - 7:20 | WAS | Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 16 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:26 | WAS | Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:27 | MIA | MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot | 13 | 9 |
| Q1 - 7:49 | WAS | Stevenson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 13 | 9 |
| Q1 - 8:05 | MIA | Davis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST) | 11 | 9 |
| Q1 - 8:25 | WAS | Haywood Reverse Layup (4 PTS) | 11 | 7 |
| Q1 - 8:34 | WAS | Haywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 9 | 7 |
| Q1 - 8:36 | WAS | MISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 | 7 |
| Q1 - 9:03 | MIA | Anthony Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 9 | 7 |
| Q1 - 9:16 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 | 5 |
| Q1 - 9:18 | WAS | MISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 | 5 |
| Q1 - 9:32 | MIA | Blount 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST) | 9 | 5 |
| Q1 - 9:50 | WAS | Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST) | 9 | 3 |
| Q1 - 10:17 | MIA | Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST) | 6 | 3 |
| Q1 - 10:42 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:44 | WAS | MISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:44 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0) | 6 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:44 | MIA | Anthony S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 6 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:44 | WAS | Haywood Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST) | 6 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:50 | WAS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 10:52 | MIA | MISS Williams 16' Fadeaway Jumper | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:14 | WAS | Butler 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST) | 4 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:29 | WAS | Stevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:31 | MIA | MISS Blount 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:48 | WAS | Jamison 3' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Anthony vs. Haywood: Tip to Jamison | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Clock | Team | Event | WAS | MIA |
Score / WinProb | ||||
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SHOOTING
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Scoring Efficiency
WAS
1.23 61.3%
MIA
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
19
26
73%
MIA
16
24
67%
Midrange
WAS
11
25
44%
MIA
6
17
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
MIA
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
Free Throws
WAS
10
19
53%
MIA
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Wizards| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Butler | 25 | 96% | 12.5 / 13 | |
| A. Jamison | 22 | 69% | 11.0 / 16 | |
| R. Mason Jr. | 11 | 61% | 5.5 / 9 | |
| A. Daniels | 9 | 75% | 4.5 / 6 | |
| B. Haywood | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| D. Stevenson | 7 | 39% | 3.5 / 9 | |
| A. Blatche | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| D. Songaila | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
| O. Pecherov | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
| D. McGuire | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Jones | 15 | 68% | 7.5 / 11 | |
| M. Blount | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| R. Davis | 10 | 63% | 5.0 / 8 | |
| E. Barron | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| D. Cook | 9 | 50% | 4.5 / 9 | |
| J. Williams | 9 | 41% | 4.5 / 11 | |
| J. Anthony | 8 | 80% | 4.0 / 5 | |
| C. Quinn | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| B. Ahearn | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| S. Lasme | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
WAS
72
+11
-12
83
MIA
74
+9
-13
83
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
WAS
1.23 61.3%
MIA
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 108.3 100.2 | WAS 122.6 +23.8 MIA 98.9 |
| Pace | 90.4 90.5 | WAS 86.2 +1.4 MIA 84.8 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.3 16.3 | WAS 16.7 −0.3 MIA 17.0 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 48.9% 48.2% | WAS 60.4% +7.4% MIA 53.0% |
| TO % | 13.8% 15.4% | WAS 12.3% −5.0% MIA 17.3% |
| ORB % | 28.9% 22.2% | WAS 27.0% +14.5% MIA 12.5% |
| FTrt | 29.7 30.0 | WAS 24.7 MIA 31.3 +6.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 53.8% 58.5% | WAS 61.0% MIA 74.2% +13.2% |
| STL % | 8.4% 7.9% | WAS 11.9% +5.0% MIA 6.9% |
| BLK % | 8.2% 7.1% | WAS 12.2% +2.4% MIA 9.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.1% 50.6% | WAS 61.3% +9.5% MIA 51.8% |
| Rim FG% | 59.0% 59.2% | WAS 73.1% +6.4% MIA 66.7% |
| Mid FG% | 38.4% 38.8% | WAS 44.0% +8.7% MIA 35.3% |
| 3P % | 35.6% 35.8% | WAS 42.3% +7.7% MIA 34.6% |
| FT % | 78.2% 72.7% | WAS 52.6% MIA 71.4% +18.8% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 33.3% 30.2% | WAS 33.8% MIA 35.8% +2.1% |
| Mid Att. % | 42.6% 48.1% | WAS 32.5% MIA 25.4% −7.1% |
| 3P Att. % | 24.1% 21.7% | WAS 33.8% MIA 38.8% +5.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | WAS | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 84 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.4 | 24.6 |
| Points | 103 | 86 |
| Rebounds | 38 | 31 |
| Assists | 25 | 23 |
| Steals | 10 | 6 |
| Blocks | 5 | 5 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 12 (0) | 13 (3) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (1) | 4 (5) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 28 (1) | 27 (4) |
| Field Goals | 41-77 | 31-67 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 19-26 | 16-24 |
| Midrange FG | 11-25 | 6-17 |
| 2-Point FG | 30-51 | 22-41 |
| 3-Point FG | 11-26 | 9-26 |
| Free Throws | 10-19 | 15-21 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.