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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 22, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Nets36%9287
1976ers64%9691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.8
43.8
36.4
11
32%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
3-12
6-12
25%
49%
0-3
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.2
42.1
37.7
27
49%
8
5
3
1
0
1
4
4
6-6
100%
9-21
7-15
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
39.1
33.8
14
47%
6
5
0
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
4-9
4-9
44%
50%
1-4
25%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
33.6
20.2
14
65%
7
1
1
0
2
3
1
6
2-4
50%
6-9
4-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
27.1
29.7
9
67%
11
1
0
1
2
2
3
8
3-4
75%
3-5
4-7
60%
54%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.7
17.6
22.1
2
17%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.3
14.7
16.1
6
75%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
2-4
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.1
14.4
14.6
2
26%
7
0
0
0
0
2
5
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
5.8
15.4
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.1
1.9
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.3
9.8
0
1-3
48%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.7
4.9
0
0-0
45%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
45.0
34.2
28
63%
7
5
3
2
1
3
1
6
10-12
83%
6-14
6-11
43%
51%
2-3
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
43.4
26.1
11
40%
18
1
1
0
5
3
9
9
3-6
50%
4-11
4-7
36%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.0
40.4
31.2
21
56%
4
5
2
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
9-17
6-12
53%
52%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
24.8
20.0
9
24%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
2-9
4-7
22%
49%
1-8
13%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.8
16.8
21.6
1
17%
7
1
0
1
0
3
2
5
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.8
26.6
24.1
6
38%
7
1
4
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
54%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
23.7
25.1
15
83%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
6-7
86%
3-5
4-9
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.0
12.2
23.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
7.1
17.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.2
9.3
0
1-2
44%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.9
5.2
0
0-1
46%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.3
2.1
0
0-0
51%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.3
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.