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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 22, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Heat20%8982
22Bobcats80%10094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
41.8
24.9
19
53%
2
8
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
46%
3-9
33%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
40.4
34.0
15
55%
9
2
0
1
1
3
2
7
4-4
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
48%
1-3
33%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
28.7
30.8
9
46%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
23.3
23.4
6
33%
6
0
3
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
19.0
24.9
8
48%
8
1
0
1
1
5
2
6
2-3
67%
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
27.9
27.5
14
64%
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
45%
0-0
-
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
25.2
11.3
7
40%
3
0
2
0
3
0
2
1
1-4
25%
3-7
1-2
43%
46%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
23.7
23.9
4
52%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
7.0
6.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Kasib Powell
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
3.0
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
14.9
1
2-4
56%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
7.1
0
1-2
50%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.7
38.7
35.4
8
40%
3
10
0
1
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
35.8
30.9
26
60%
5
2
3
2
0
2
2
3
8-11
73%
9-14
4-8
64%
54%
0-3
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
35.0
36.8
24
61%
3
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
6-6
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
26.1
18.9
16
89%
14
0
0
1
2
2
4
10
0-0
-
8-9
3-6
89%
53%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
23.3
25.8
6
47%
8
1
1
1
1
2
0
8
0-1
0%
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.7
31.8
20.2
2
15%
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
0-5
2-5
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
21.5
26.8
3
19%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.8
19.7
13.0
6
60%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
6.1
11.4
3
52%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
2.0
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.7
9.5
0
1-2
45%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
6.2
0
1-2
50%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.