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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs43%9188
6Mavericks57%9381
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.8
40.6
25.2
5
31%
9
2
0
1
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
1-5
20%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.9
37.4
31.7
13
28%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
4-19
6-12
21%
51%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.9
34.9
30.2
19
40%
13
1
0
1
1
2
3
10
5-6
83%
7-21
7-13
33%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.0
23.7
25.2
2
13%
5
0
2
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.0
14.0
19.4
4
33%
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
56%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.7
34.3
28.5
26
66%
8
6
1
1
1
0
4
4
11-11
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
3-8
38%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.6
29.6
20.6
7
88%
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.5
14.9
19.5
6
60%
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.1
10.6
15.4
6
75%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.6
9.3
0
0-1
43%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
7.1
0
1-1
49%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.6
7.0
0
1-1
41%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.9
39.0
34.0
13
47%
9
2
0
1
1
1
2
7
2-4
50%
4-8
6-12
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.0
34.6
29.4
7
35%
7
5
1
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
1-5
20%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.4
33.3
28.8
19
60%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
3-6
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.8
26.0
34.1
11
38%
7
4
0
1
3
0
0
7
3-3
100%
4-12
7-14
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
24.2
27.5
4
100%
6
0
0
0
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-2
3-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.5
28.2
20.7
17
61%
3
3
2
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
6-10
3-5
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
18.6
13.7
2
33%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.7
14.4
12.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.9
11.7
16.0
4
33%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.9
10.0
13.0
4
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
6.6
0
1-1
46%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.1
3.1
0
0-1
44%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.8
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.