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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Pistons59%9683
15Wizards41%9395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.1
42.0
33.2
19
50%
5
2
1
1
2
0
2
3
2-2
100%
7-14
6-12
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.1
37.7
34.4
13
60%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
6-7
5-11
86%
48%
0-3
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.5
36.6
31.0
11
61%
3
11
1
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
1-2
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
31.4
29.0
7
39%
14
1
0
1
1
1
4
10
1-2
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.5
26.9
31.9
11
43%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-8
4-8
0%
49%
3-4
75%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.9
17.5
16.9
8
58%
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.1
15.5
19.9
4
40%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.6
14.1
16.1
7
39%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.9
11.9
9.1
1
57%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.9
6.3
7.5
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.5
8.1
0
1-2
43%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
3.2
0
0-1
49%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.3
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.4
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.0
41.2
28.4
6
36%
3
9
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
3-8
3-5
38%
48%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
40.1
32.3
17
63%
5
6
1
2
0
4
1
4
1-1
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
48%
2-5
40%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
36.8
33.6
24
57%
12
0
1
1
0
3
2
10
6-7
86%
9-15
6-12
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.3
34.4
23.9
16
75%
4
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
4-6
67%
6-8
3-6
75%
53%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.0
29.3
32.7
12
68%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
2-3
67%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
22.6
22.1
6
43%
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.6
16.2
15.7
4
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.1
15.8
21.1
10
83%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
2.5
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.3
1.1
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
10.7
0
1-3
46%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
9.1
0
1-3
46%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.