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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 24, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bucks59%9973
30Heat41%9678
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.3
45.9
33.7
15
47%
2
5
1
1
0
7
1
1
0-0
-
6-13
5-10
46%
51%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.3
40.3
36.2
16
48%
17
2
1
1
0
4
7
10
4-6
67%
6-13
7-13
46%
53%
0-1
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
40.1
39.6
24
54%
3
1
2
1
1
5
1
2
5-5
100%
5-11
6-13
45%
50%
3-9
33%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.5
38.7
34.6
5
29%
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
3-6
50%
1-6
4-9
17%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.6
26.1
25.0
5
21%
10
1
0
1
1
0
2
8
1-2
50%
2-11
5-9
18%
51%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
24.8
21.4
2
17%
9
0
0
1
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
7.4
9.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
6.2
4.2
2
53%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.2
6.0
12.9
4
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
4.6
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.8
5.9
0
1-1
46%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.9
4.2
0
1-1
47%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
38.5
35.2
10
34%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-12
4-8
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
37.9
27.1
24
79%
4
4
4
1
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
3-5
60%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
34.6
29.5
10
39%
4
3
0
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-3
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
29.8
22.8
11
47%
6
2
1
1
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
4-10
4-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
18.2
23.0
2
20%
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
53%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
28.7
23.5
11
84%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
7-8
88%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Kasib Powell
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
22.9
3.9
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
19.4
18.1
6
63%
4
1
1
1
3
1
2
2
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
10.2
7.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-3
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
29.8
1
3-5
48%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
13.1
1
2-4
58%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
6.2
0
1-1
53%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.