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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 24, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Suns37%98105
3Pistons63%102110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.0
42.1
29.9
12
49%
10
2
0
0
0
3
3
7
2-3
67%
5-11
5-8
45%
57%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.4
41.1
35.2
33
66%
5
4
1
1
1
2
1
4
15-16
94%
9-17
9-15
53%
56%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.5
40.5
32.3
15
56%
9
2
1
1
1
0
2
7
1-3
33%
7-11
4-7
64%
51%
0-1
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 34.1
39.9
34.4
23
77%
3
9
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
53%
3-4
75%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.5
34.0
20.3
5
50%
5
0
0
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 25.3
29.7
33.4
9
50%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.8
19.2
17.8
6
75%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
18.4
25.0
2
14%
2
5
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
51%
0-1
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.8
4.3
0
0-1
47%
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.8
3.9
0
0-1
42%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.6
2.3
0
0-1
45%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.5
2.2
0
0-0
43%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.5
45.2
33.3
32
64%
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
15-16
94%
7-11
4-7
64%
47%
1-7
14%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.5
38.6
29.2
23
55%
9
2
1
1
2
1
0
9
0-0
-
4-11
4-8
36%
48%
5-10
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.1
37.4
35.5
11
43%
5
4
0
1
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
31.9
29.9
9
67%
7
1
0
1
2
1
2
5
3-4
75%
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
21.1
2.9
6
43%
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.9
30.2
17.4
13
50%
3
2
2
1
1
4
1
2
1-2
50%
6-12
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.6
15.6
15.4
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.9
13.9
11.0
4
52%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.9
11.3
7.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.1
10.3
18.0
5
64%
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.3
9.5
7.8
3
75%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
1-2
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.1
36.9
1
7-14
49%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.5
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.4
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.