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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 24, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Trail Blazers70%10084
29SuperSonics30%9497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.7
40.0
36.6
11
31%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
5-15
7-14
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.1
36.6
32.3
7
44%
2
9
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.5
34.9
30.2
5
51%
13
0
0
0
3
3
4
9
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.3
33.6
26.2
22
54%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
3-11
2-4
27%
48%
5-9
56%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.7
22.6
35.2
10
38%
1
4
1
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
5-13
9-17
38%
52%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.5
21.1
16.5
13
47%
2
1
1
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
5-12
4-8
42%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
19.4
19.0
10
61%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.9
17.4
12.5
4
40%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.5
14.3
19.6
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.8
5.6
0
1-1
46%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.7
3.0
0
0-1
46%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
2.3
0
0-0
49%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.1
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.2
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
43.5
24.7
15
55%
1
9
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
6-10
3-6
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
41.6
30.9
16
43%
6
2
0
1
1
2
1
5
4-4
100%
3-13
4-9
23%
48%
2-4
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
38.8
35.1
23
76%
9
3
0
1
1
1
1
8
4-5
80%
8-11
6-14
73%
47%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
38.3
31.1
13
67%
11
2
0
1
1
1
4
7
1-4
25%
6-8
4-8
75%
52%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.2
25.9
25.8
10
48%
4
1
2
1
1
2
0
4
2-3
67%
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.2
30.5
25.8
20
78%
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
3-3
100%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.1
16.7
5.1
0
0%
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.6
4.5
6.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
36%
0-1
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.7
0.2
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.8
25.9
1
4-8
47%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.9
14.5
0
1-2
47%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.9
5.1
0
1-2
49%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.3
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.