Final Win Prob. pScore
451%93
82
1149%92
89
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
95.38687.7
TOR logo Raptors
103.58684.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0DET82
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETJohnson P.FOUL (P2.PN)82
87
Q4 - 0:04.0DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)82
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORFord P.FOUL (P4.T4)79
87
Q4 - 0:13.0DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 1)79
87
Q4 - 0:13.0TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETPrince P.FOUL (P2.PN)79
85
Q4 - 0:20.0DETStuckey Driving Layup (16 PTS)79
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)77
85
Q4 - 0:28.0TORBosh 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)77
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETBillups Foul Turnover (P5.T15)77
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETBillups OFF.Foul (P1)77
83
Q4 - 1:06DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 1:08TORMISS Bosh Driving Reverse Layup77
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q4 - 1:24TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)77
83
Q4 - 1:31TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q4 - 1:31DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q4 - 1:40DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q4 - 1:41TORMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot77
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q4 - 2:02TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 2:03DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 2:11DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
7.6%
83
92.4%
Q4 - 2:13TORMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot77
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q4 - 2:32DETStuckey 12' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 2:41TORNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)75
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 2:41DETWallace AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P4.T4)75
82
Q4 - 2:41TORBosh Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Ford 9 AST)75
82
Q4 - 2:56DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)75
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q4 - 3:01DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q4 - 3:02DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 3:13DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q4 - 3:14TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 3:30DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)72
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 3:39TORCalderon P.FOUL (P2.T3)69
80
Q4 - 3:40TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)69
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 3:56DETJohnson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)69
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 4:08DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)67
80
Q4 - 4:09TORFord 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)67
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 4:25TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q4 - 4:26DETMISS Stuckey 10' Running Bank Shot67
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 4:45TORCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ford 8 AST)67
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 5:01TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q4 - 5:02DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
9.2%
74
90.8%
Q4 - 5:13TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)67
11.4%
74
88.6%
Q4 - 5:13TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
11.9%
73
88.1%
Q4 - 5:13TORSUB: Ford FOR Delfino67
72
Q4 - 5:13DETStuckey S.FOUL (P1.T3)67
72
Q4 - 5:29DETStuckey Driving Layup (12 PTS)67
14.9%
72
85.1%
Q4 - 5:42TORDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)65
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q4 - 5:54TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
8.1%
72
91.9%
Q4 - 5:55TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot65
10.2%
72
89.8%
Q4 - 6:04TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q4 - 6:06DETMISS Johnson 9' Jump Hook Shot65
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q4 - 6:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q4 - 6:16TORMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
12.8%
72
87.2%
Q4 - 6:39DETStuckey Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)65
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q4 - 6:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q4 - 6:51TORMISS Nesterovic 11' Driving Hook Shot63
7.3%
72
92.7%
Q4 - 7:01TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Bargnani63
72
Q4 - 7:01TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)63
72
Q4 - 7:04DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)63
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q4 - 7:08TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)60
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q4 - 7:27DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)60
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q4 - 7:46TORDelfino 21' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)57
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q4 - 8:10DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q4 - 8:10DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q4 - 8:10DETSUB: Billups FOR Hunter55
70
Q4 - 8:10TORSUB: Bosh FOR Nesterovic55
70
Q4 - 8:10TORParker S.FOUL (P2.T2)55
70
Q4 - 8:25TORDelfino Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)55
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q4 - 8:41TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q4 - 8:42DETNesterovic BLOCK (4 BLK)55
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q4 - 8:44DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q4 - 8:47DETBargnani BLOCK (2 BLK)55
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q4 - 9:06TORDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)55
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q4 - 9:25DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q4 - 9:25DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q4 - 9:25TORBargnani S.FOUL (P2.T1)53
68
Q4 - 9:27DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q4 - 9:28TORMISS Bargnani Layup53
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q4 - 9:35DETSUB: Prince FOR Hayes53
68
Q4 - 9:35DETWallace P.FOUL (P3.T2)53
68
Q4 - 9:50DETStuckey 5' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)53
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q4 - 9:52DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q4 - 9:53DETMISS Wallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot51
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q4 - 10:08DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)51
68
Q4 - 10:09TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)51
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q4 - 10:21DETCalderon STEAL (2 STL)51
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q4 - 10:45TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q4 - 10:45TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
5.2%
64
94.8%
Q4 - 10:45DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.T1)51
63
Q4 - 11:05TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
7.5%
63
92.5%
Q4 - 11:07DETBargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)51
7.9%
63
92.1%
Q4 - 11:39TORNesterovic 7' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)51
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q4 - 12:0051
61
Q3 - 0:00.0DET51
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR51
61
Q3 - 0:00.0TORNesterovic 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)51
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
17.1%
59
82.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS Nesterovic Running Layup51
18.9%
59
81.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0DETBillups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)51
17.1%
59
82.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0TORBosh Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)51
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P3.T3)51
57
Q3 - 0:42.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
23.6%
57
76.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)50
23.2%
57
76.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0TORSUB: Delfino FOR Moon49
57
Q3 - 0:42.0TORCalderon P.FOUL (P1.PN)49
57
Q3 - 0:57.0TORBosh Tip Shot (15 PTS)49
19.7%
57
80.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
23.5%
55
76.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0TORMISS Ford Driving Layup49
25.9%
55
74.1%
Q3 - 1:28DETMcDyess 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)49
24.1%
55
75.9%
Q3 - 1:30DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
20.4%
55
79.6%
Q3 - 1:33DETNesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)47
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q3 - 1:54TORBosh 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)47
20.4%
55
79.6%
Q3 - 2:04TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
25.0%
53
75.0%
Q3 - 2:05DETMISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot47
26.1%
53
73.9%
Q3 - 2:20TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)47
28.6%
53
71.4%
Q3 - 2:34DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)47
32.6%
51
67.4%
Q3 - 2:49TORSUB: Calderon FOR Parker45
51
Q3 - 2:49DETSUB: Hayes FOR Prince45
51
Q3 - 2:49TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)45
51
Q3 - 2:49TORMoon P.FOUL (P2.T4)45
51
Q3 - 3:07TORMoon Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)45
29.9%
51
70.1%
Q3 - 3:11TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
33.5%
49
66.5%
Q3 - 3:13DETMISS Stuckey 15' Step Back Jump Shot45
34.8%
49
65.2%
Q3 - 3:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q3 - 3:26TORMISS Nesterovic 10' Turnaround Hook Shot45
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q3 - 3:47DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)45
33.4%
49
66.6%
Q3 - 4:14TORFord Driving Layup (10 PTS)43
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q3 - 4:22TORRAPTORS Rebound43
33.7%
47
66.3%
Q3 - 4:22DETNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)43
35.1%
47
64.9%
Q3 - 4:44TORFord Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)43
38.3%
47
61.7%
Q3 - 4:56DETMcDyess 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)43
41.9%
45
58.1%
Q3 - 5:11DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
38.5%
45
61.5%
Q3 - 5:13TORMISS Parker 19' Floating Jump Shot41
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q3 - 5:27DETPrince P.FOUL (P1.T2)41
45
Q3 - 5:39TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
34.1%
45
65.9%
Q3 - 5:41DETMISS Billups 17' Pullup Jump Shot41
35.4%
45
64.6%
Q3 - 5:48DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
38.5%
45
61.5%
Q3 - 5:50DETMISS Stuckey 7' Running Jump Shot41
35.4%
45
64.6%
Q3 - 6:05DETPistons Rebound41
39.0%
45
61.0%
Q3 - 6:06TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
37.8%
45
62.2%
Q3 - 6:17DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)41
34.9%
45
65.1%
Q3 - 6:19TORBosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)41
39.0%
45
61.0%
Q3 - 6:30TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
34.9%
45
65.1%
Q3 - 6:32DETMISS Prince 9' Driving Hook Shot41
36.1%
45
63.9%
Q3 - 6:53DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Afflalo41
45
Q3 - 6:53DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)41
45
Q3 - 6:56TORMoon Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)41
38.9%
45
61.1%
Q3 - 7:01DETBosh STEAL (2 STL)41
42.7%
43
57.3%
Q3 - 7:11DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Wallace41
43
Q3 - 7:21TORMoon Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)41
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q3 - 7:28TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
42.7%
43
57.3%
Q3 - 7:30DETMISS McDyess 6' Jump Shot41
43.9%
43
56.1%
Q3 - 7:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q3 - 7:33DETMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)41
43.9%
43
56.1%
Q3 - 8:00TORParker 18' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q3 - 8:07TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
50.2%
41
49.8%
Q3 - 8:08DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot41
51.5%
41
48.5%
Q3 - 8:32TORFord 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
54.3%
41
45.7%
Q3 - 8:57DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)41
57.7%
39
42.3%
Q3 - 9:08DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
50.5%
39
49.5%
Q3 - 9:09TORMISS Bosh 14' Step Back Jump Shot38
49.4%
39
50.6%
Q3 - 9:28DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
46.7%
39
53.3%
Q3 - 9:28DETPistons Rebound37
39
Q3 - 9:28DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 237
46.0%
39
54.0%
Q3 - 9:28TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T3)37
39
Q3 - 9:44TORNesterovic 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)37
46.8%
39
53.2%
Q3 - 9:54TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
50.4%
37
49.6%
Q3 - 9:55DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
51.6%
37
48.4%
Q3 - 9:59TORFord P.FOUL (P3.T2)37
37
Q3 - 10:17TORMoon 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)37
54.1%
37
45.9%
Q3 - 10:27DETBosh STEAL (1 STL)37
57.6%
35
42.4%
Q3 - 10:39TORNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)37
61.1%
35
38.9%
Q3 - 10:56DETBillups 10' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)37
57.6%
35
42.4%
Q3 - 11:04TORFord P.FOUL (P2.T1)35
35
Q3 - 11:25TORFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
54.3%
35
45.7%
Q3 - 11:25TORFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
54.8%
34
45.2%
Q3 - 11:25DETAfflalo S.FOUL (P4.T1)35
33
Q3 - 11:40TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
57.5%
33
42.5%
Q3 - 11:41DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot35
58.6%
33
41.4%
Q3 - 12:0035
33
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR35
61.1%
33
38.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound35
57.5%
33
42.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Ford 17' Pullup Jump Shot35
60.0%
33
40.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
58.0%
33
42.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0DETPistons Rebound34
33
Q2 - 0:06.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 234
57.4%
33
42.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0TORMoon S.FOUL (P1.T2)34
33
Q2 - 0:28.0TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)34
57.2%
33
42.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0DETBillups Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)34
54.7%
33
45.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0TORNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
50.6%
33
49.4%
Q2 - 1:04DETPrince 19' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)32
48.2%
33
51.8%
Q2 - 1:34TORBosh Slam Dunk (9 PTS)30
44.1%
33
55.9%
Q2 - 1:43TORSUB: Moon FOR Delfino30
31
Q2 - 1:43DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)30
31
Q2 - 1:43DETJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T3)30
31
Q2 - 2:01DETWallace 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)30
47.8%
31
52.2%
Q2 - 2:13DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 2:14TORMISS Ford 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
43.7%
31
56.3%
Q2 - 2:31DETBillups 11' Turnaround Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)28
41.5%
31
58.5%
Q2 - 2:52DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
38.5%
31
61.5%
Q2 - 2:53TORMISS Ford 19' Pullup Jump Shot26
37.5%
31
62.5%
Q2 - 3:05TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
35.7%
31
64.3%
Q2 - 3:06DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
36.7%
31
63.3%
Q2 - 3:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
39.1%
31
60.9%
Q2 - 3:11DETMISS Wallace 10' Running Jump Shot26
36.7%
31
63.3%
Q2 - 3:15TORSUB: Ford FOR Calderon26
31
Q2 - 3:15TORSUB: Parker FOR Kapono26
31
Q2 - 3:33DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
39.1%
31
60.9%
Q2 - 3:34TORMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot26
38.0%
31
62.0%
Q2 - 3:43TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
35.7%
31
64.3%
Q2 - 3:45DETMISS Prince 20' Pullup Jump Shot26
36.7%
31
63.3%
Q2 - 4:05TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)26
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 4:05TORRAPTORS Rebound26
36.2%
31
63.8%
Q2 - 4:05TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot26
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q2 - 4:22DETSUB: Hunter FOR Afflalo26
31
Q2 - 4:22TORSUB: Bosh FOR Bargnani26
31
Q2 - 4:22DETAfflalo P.FOUL (P3.T2)26
31
Q2 - 4:31TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
36.1%
31
63.9%
Q2 - 4:32DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q2 - 4:39DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 4:41TORMISS Nesterovic 8' Hook Shot26
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q2 - 4:57TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
36.1%
31
63.9%
Q2 - 4:59DETKapono BLOCK (1 BLK)26
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q2 - 5:18DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
39.6%
31
60.4%
Q2 - 5:20TORMISS Bargnani Driving Reverse Layup26
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q2 - 5:36DETSUB: Billups FOR Hunter26
31
Q2 - 5:36DETSUB: Afflalo FOR Stuckey26
31
Q2 - 5:36TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)26
31
Q2 - 5:36DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)26
36.9%
31
63.1%
Q2 - 5:55TORCalderon Driving Layup (6 PTS)26
39.6%
31
60.4%
Q2 - 5:59DETCalderon STEAL (1 STL)26
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 6:05DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
45.8%
29
54.2%
Q2 - 6:08TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
44.7%
29
55.3%
Q2 - 6:26DETPrince 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
42.4%
29
57.6%
Q2 - 6:53TORDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)24
40.1%
29
59.9%
Q2 - 6:59TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 7:00DETMISS Stuckey 18' Pullup Jump Shot24
46.3%
26
53.7%
Q2 - 7:19DETPistons Rebound24
48.6%
26
51.4%
Q2 - 7:21TORMISS Kapono 9' Running Bank Shot24
47.7%
26
52.3%
Q2 - 7:24DETSUB: Johnson FOR Ratliff24
26
Q2 - 7:24DETSUB: Prince FOR Hayes24
26
Q2 - 7:33TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
45.7%
26
54.3%
Q2 - 7:34DETMISS Hayes 22' Jump Shot24
46.6%
26
53.4%
Q2 - 7:58TORNesterovic Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)24
48.6%
26
51.4%
Q2 - 8:10DETStuckey Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
51.4%
24
48.6%
Q2 - 8:30TORCalderon Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
48.6%
24
51.4%
Q2 - 8:35DETWallace P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
22
Q2 - 8:52DETSUB: Wallace FOR Maxiell22
22
Q2 - 8:5222
22
Q2 - 8:52DETHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T7)22
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q2 - 8:52DETHunter OFF.Foul (P1)22
22
Q2 - 9:04TORDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)22
53.9%
22
46.1%
Q2 - 9:11TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
59.1%
19
40.9%
Q2 - 9:13DETMISS Hunter 11' Jump Bank Shot22
59.9%
19
40.1%
Q2 - 9:36DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
61.7%
19
38.3%
Q2 - 9:37TORMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot22
60.9%
19
39.1%
Q2 - 9:49TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
59.1%
19
40.9%
Q2 - 9:50DETMISS Hunter 3PT Jump Shot22
59.9%
19
40.1%
Q2 - 10:01DETHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
61.5%
19
38.5%
Q2 - 10:03DETMISS Ratliff 9' Hook Shot22
59.7%
19
40.3%
Q2 - 10:18DETSUB: Hunter FOR Billups22
19
Q2 - 10:18TORBargnani P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
19
Q2 - 10:21DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
61.5%
19
38.5%
Q2 - 10:24TORMISS Delfino Driving Dunk22
60.7%
19
39.3%
Q2 - 10:47DETHayes Running Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)22
58.9%
19
41.1%
Q2 - 10:58DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
56.5%
19
43.5%
Q2 - 10:59TORMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot20
55.6%
19
44.4%
Q2 - 11:12TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
53.6%
19
46.4%
Q2 - 11:13DETMISS Ratliff 8' Jump Hook Shot20
54.4%
19
45.6%
Q2 - 11:29DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
56.2%
19
43.8%
Q2 - 11:31TORMISS Delfino Driving Layup20
55.4%
19
44.6%
Q2 - 11:44DETMaxiell Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)20
53.7%
19
46.3%
Q2 - 12:0020
19
Q1 - 0:00.0DET20
56.2%
19
43.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound20
56.2%
19
43.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Billups 23' Jump Shot20
54.4%
19
45.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORCalderon Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)20
55.5%
19
44.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)20
53.7%
19
46.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
55.6%
19
44.4%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETSUB: Ratliff FOR McDyess20
18
Q1 - 0:24.0TORRAPTORS Rebound20
18
Q1 - 0:24.0TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 220
56.0%
18
44.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Nesterovic20
18
Q1 - 0:24.0DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P2.T3)20
18
Q1 - 0:31.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
56.1%
18
43.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETMISS Billups 22' Pullup Jump Shot20
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
58.0%
18
42.0%
Q1 - 0:45.0TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
57.4%
18
42.6%
Q1 - 1:02TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
56.2%
18
43.8%
Q1 - 1:03DETNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)20
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 1:09DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
57.8%
18
42.2%
Q1 - 1:11DETMISS Stuckey Driving Layup20
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 1:28DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
57.8%
18
42.2%
Q1 - 1:29TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot20
57.3%
18
42.7%
Q1 - 1:41TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
56.2%
18
43.8%
Q1 - 1:42DETMISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 2:03DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
57.8%
18
42.2%
Q1 - 2:04TORMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot20
57.3%
18
42.7%
Q1 - 2:21DETSUB: Hayes FOR Wallace20
18
Q1 - 2:21DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Prince20
18
Q1 - 2:21DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
18
Q1 - 2:21DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)20
56.0%
18
44.0%
Q1 - 2:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
57.8%
18
42.2%
Q1 - 2:22DETMISS Prince 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot20
56.5%
18
43.5%
Q1 - 2:52TORCalderon 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)20
57.8%
18
42.2%
Q1 - 3:13TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford20
16
Q1 - 3:13TORSUB: Delfino FOR Moon20
16
Q1 - 3:13TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)20
16
Q1 - 3:15DETWallace 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)20
60.3%
16
39.7%
Q1 - 3:37DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
55.9%
16
44.1%
Q1 - 3:38TORMISS Nesterovic 10' Jump Hook Shot17
55.2%
16
44.8%
Q1 - 3:58DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)17
53.6%
16
46.4%
Q1 - 4:06TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
49.2%
16
50.8%
Q1 - 4:26DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)14
47.0%
16
53.0%
Q1 - 4:45TORNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)12
45.2%
16
54.8%
Q1 - 5:00TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
47.1%
14
52.9%
Q1 - 5:01DETMISS Billups 15' Pullup Jump Shot12
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 5:24TORBosh 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)12
49.2%
14
50.8%
Q1 - 5:38TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
12
Q1 - 5:38DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 5:38DETMcDyess OFF.Foul (P1)12
12
Q1 - 5:56TORNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)12
53.0%
12
47.0%
Q1 - 6:04DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Afflalo12
10
Q1 - 6:04DETAfflalo P.FOUL (P2.T2)12
10
Q1 - 6:11TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
54.6%
10
45.4%
Q1 - 6:12DETMISS Prince 10' Driving Hook Shot12
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 6:36TORMoon 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)12
56.3%
10
43.7%
Q1 - 6:53DETWallace 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)12
57.8%
8
42.2%
Q1 - 7:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
54.4%
8
45.6%
Q1 - 7:13TORMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot9
53.8%
8
46.2%
Q1 - 7:20DETAfflalo P.FOUL (P1.T1)9
8
Q1 - 7:23TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
52.5%
8
47.5%
Q1 - 7:26DETMISS Wallace 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot9
53.1%
8
46.9%
Q1 - 7:43TORNesterovic 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)9
54.2%
8
45.8%
Q1 - 8:00DETBillups 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
55.5%
6
44.5%
Q1 - 8:06DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
54.0%
6
46.0%
Q1 - 8:07TORMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot7
53.5%
6
46.5%
Q1 - 8:13TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
52.5%
6
47.5%
Q1 - 8:15DETMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot7
52.9%
6
47.1%
Q1 - 8:18DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
53.9%
6
46.1%
Q1 - 8:20DETMISS Billups 9' Running Jump Shot7
52.9%
6
47.1%
Q1 - 8:41TORBosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)7
53.7%
6
46.3%
Q1 - 8:56TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
54.9%
4
45.1%
Q1 - 8:57TORMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot7
55.8%
4
44.2%
Q1 - 9:06DETMoon STEAL (1 STL)7
54.9%
4
45.1%
Q1 - 9:12DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
55.9%
4
44.1%
Q1 - 9:14DETMISS Prince 18' Pullup Jump Shot7
55.1%
4
44.9%
Q1 - 9:41TORFord 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 9:57DETAfflalo 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)7
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 10:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
54.3%
2
45.7%
Q1 - 10:12TORMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot5
54.1%
2
45.9%
Q1 - 10:29DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
53.1%
2
46.9%
Q1 - 10:29TORParker S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
2
Q1 - 10:29DETAfflalo 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
51.6%
2
48.4%
Q1 - 10:41TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot2
51.4%
2
48.6%
Q1 - 10:49DETParker STEAL (1 STL)2
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 11:11TORBosh Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
51.2%
2
48.8%
Q1 - 11:25DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
51.3%
0
48.7%
Q1 - 11:25DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
51.3%
0
48.7%
Q1 - 11:25TORFord S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 11:45TORMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Wallace: Tip to Moon0
50.6%
0
49.4%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETTOR
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.95 47.7%
TOR
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
8
14
57%
TOR
13
20
65%
Midrange
DET
14
44
32%
TOR
18
40
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
TOR
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
DET
11
13
85%
TOR
12
13
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2457%12.0 / 21
R. Stuckey1650%8.0 / 16
R. Wallace1563%7.5 / 12
T. Prince1042%5.0 / 12
A. McDyess867%4.0 / 6
A. Afflalo583%2.5 / 3
A. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
J. Hayes233%1.0 / 3
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 2
J. Maxiell0-0.0 / 1
T. Ratliff0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2155%10.5 / 19
R. Nesterovic1547%7.5 / 16
T. Ford1365%6.5 / 10
J. Calderon1381%6.5 / 8
C. Delfino1063%5.0 / 8
J. Moon8100%4.0 / 4
A. Parker638%3.0 / 8
A. Bargnani338%1.5 / 4
J. Kapono0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
72
+13
-14
85
TOR
75
+6
-11
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.95 47.7%
TOR
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
109.7
DET 95.3
TOR 103.5 +8.1
Pace
88.2
90.7
DET 87.7 +3.3
TOR 84.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
15.9
DET 16.4 −0.7
TOR 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
51.1%
DET 46.7%
TOR 52.7% +6.0%
TO %
12.6%
12.3%
DET 15.5%
TOR 13.2% −2.3%
ORB %
29.4%
23.5%
DET 27.9% +15.8%
TOR 12.1%
FTrt
30.0
24.7
DET 17.1
TOR 17.8 +0.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
62.0%
DET 64.5%
TOR 72.2% +7.7%
STL %
8.1%
7.6%
DET 9.3% +2.3%
TOR 7.0%
BLK %
9.4%
6.9%
DET 10.0%
TOR 13.8% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.7%
DET 47.7%
TOR 54.9% +7.2%
Rim FG%
60.1%
58.5%
DET 57.1%
TOR 65.0% +7.9%
Mid FG%
41.7%
43.3%
DET 31.8%
TOR 45.0% +13.2%
3P %
36.6%
39.2%
DET 50.0% +11.5%
TOR 38.5%
FT %
76.7%
81.2%
DET 84.6%
TOR 92.3% +7.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
28.9%
DET 18.4%
TOR 27.4% +9.0%
Mid Att. %
51.9%
49.4%
DET 57.9%
TOR 54.8% −3.1%
3P Att. %
20.3%
21.7%
DET 23.7% +5.9%
TOR 17.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETTOR
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points8289
Rebounds4135
Assists2026
Steals86
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals31-7636-73
At-the-Rim FG8-1413-20
Midrange FG14-4418-40
2-Point FG22-5831-60
3-Point FG9-185-13
Free Throws11-1312-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 31
39.5
24
57%
5
9
2
0
5
1
1
4
4-4
100%
4-11
36%
4-8
50%
F · 6'9" 212 · 28
35.8
10
42%
8
4
1
1
1
2
2
6
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 230 · 34
35.3
15
63%
2
1
2
0
1
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
4-7
57%
F · 6'9" 245 · 34
23.6
8
67%
5
0
1
1
2
3
3
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
12.3
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 22
31.4
16
50%
6
3
0
0
1
1
2
4
4-4
100%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21
19.4
2
25%
7
1
1
2
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 37
12.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 260 · 25
12.7
0
0%
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
12.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 235 · 35
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
#35 · C · 7'1" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 165 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G · 6'7" 193 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
48%
41
20
8
6
14
0
12
29
11-13
85%
22-58
38%
9-18
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.