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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Pistons51%9382
11Raptors49%9289
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.5
39.5
35.3
24
58%
5
9
2
1
0
5
1
4
4-4
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
47%
4-8
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.1
35.8
34.2
10
42%
8
4
1
1
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
1-1
100%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.5
35.3
30.8
15
63%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
4-7
57%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
23.6
28.9
8
67%
5
0
1
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
12.3
9.3
5
73%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.9
31.4
20.8
16
51%
6
3
0
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
6-14
3-7
43%
45%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.9
19.4
9.1
2
25%
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
54%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.3
12.9
8.4
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.1
12.7
14.8
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.6
12.2
14.8
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.9
5.0
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
2.0
0
0-0
51%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.4
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.5
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.8
46.5
28.5
15
49%
9
2
0
0
4
2
1
8
1-1
100%
7-15
4-8
47%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
36.5
33.9
21
53%
6
3
2
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
10-19
7-13
53%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.8
36.4
33.8
6
39%
6
6
1
1
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.0
29.3
18.5
13
66%
5
9
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.8
21.8
29.3
8
100%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
26.8
28.4
13
84%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
55%
1-3
33%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
21.0
11.6
10
63%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.4
13.0
23.2
3
38%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.1
8.8
19.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
8.5
0
1-3
47%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.5
5.6
0
1-1
48%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
4.7
0
1-1
48%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.8
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 37.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.