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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Heat40%9196
28Knicks60%95103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
45.4
35.5
28
84%
9
6
0
1
0
4
1
8
3-4
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
7-10
70%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
42.3
30.7
21
50%
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-12
3-6
25%
46%
5-9
56%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
39.9
30.2
9
27%
5
6
6
1
0
3
1
4
5-8
63%
2-10
2-5
20%
48%
0-3
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
25.7
21.0
4
33%
4
1
2
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
18.3
25.1
5
25%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-9
4-8
22%
46%
0-0
-
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
28.5
18.3
7
55%
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
1-3
33%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
23.4
25.0
4
69%
4
1
1
1
3
0
3
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kasib Powell
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
21.4
13.0
14
64%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
13.4
8.7
2
20%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
6.6
5.7
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.4
21.2
1
2-4
47%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
11.8
1
2-3
57%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
41.7
35.3
24
51%
4
5
4
1
1
2
0
4
5-6
83%
5-14
5-11
36%
47%
3-7
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.9
39.9
28.8
15
44%
16
2
2
1
0
2
9
7
1-2
50%
7-16
4-7
44%
59%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.9
30.8
24.4
10
45%
10
2
0
1
0
1
2
8
2-5
40%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.3
29.4
25.8
12
62%
5
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
3-6
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
27.3
21.2
16
42%
14
1
0
1
0
1
4
10
0-0
-
8-16
4-9
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 29.0
32.6
19.5
11
46%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
2-6
33%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
22.9
15.8
4
29%
6
0
0
1
1
1
5
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-3
29%
55%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.2
20.8
11.1
8
52%
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
5
4-6
67%
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
19.5
26.3
3
38%
1
2
2
1
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.3
16.6
1
2-5
41%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.8
16.2
1
2-5
49%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.0
8.2
0
1-2
44%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.3
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.4
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.