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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Clippers11%8288
3Spurs89%9897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.3
42.0
30.1
21
57%
9
1
0
1
1
1
2
7
7-8
88%
7-14
4-10
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.4
42.0
32.2
22
39%
7
3
1
1
0
0
2
5
7-12
58%
6-19
4-9
32%
47%
1-4
25%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.1
35.3
24.8
0
0%
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 32.4
30.6
14.1
8
58%
1
3
0
1
2
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
29.8
9.3
16
69%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
8-8
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.6
32.4
34.3
10
42%
3
1
2
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
44%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
17.4
25.2
3
30%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
10.6
32.7
8
80%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
44%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 26.9
15.6
0
1-3
42%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 29.5
15.4
0
1-3
43%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
14.9
0
2-4
45%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 36.5
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.0
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 22.5
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.9
36.7
32.4
26
83%
12
4
0
1
2
2
5
7
10-13
77%
8-10
8-14
80%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
35.7
29.5
16
67%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
46%
2-5
40%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.9
34.0
33.6
15
48%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-6
50%
6-12
7-14
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.8
29.3
34.4
7
39%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
1-4
25%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.0
17.3
15.4
6
100%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.7
30.8
31.2
13
55%
2
3
3
2
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
2-4
50%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.6
23.5
23.5
7
35%
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
51%
1-3
33%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.1
14.0
13.7
5
66%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.5
11.0
13.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
7.8
4.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.6
5.8
0
0-1
45%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.6
4.3
0
0-1
44%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.4
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.