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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Grizzlies28%98106
21Kings72%105107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.7
44.2
32.2
26
65%
8
0
2
1
0
1
0
8
6-7
86%
7-14
6-11
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
37.0
35.1
13
53%
4
3
2
1
1
6
1
3
3-3
100%
5-8
6-12
63%
49%
0-3
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.8
34.8
19.6
4
34%
9
0
1
0
2
2
4
5
0-2
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
32.2
32.8
14
64%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
54%
2-5
40%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.5
23.0
25.4
9
46%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
0-2
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.0
30.0
22.3
16
51%
5
5
0
1
1
3
1
4
4-6
67%
6-12
3-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.2
25.8
18.1
13
66%
9
3
1
1
0
4
4
5
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.3
18.1
18.9
2
100%
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.8
17.1
23.3
9
50%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
1-5
20%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
2.9
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.0
3.7
0
0-1
52%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
3.1
0
0-0
48%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.4
45.4
30.4
24
48%
5
3
6
2
0
3
3
2
4-4
100%
7-16
6-12
44%
50%
2-7
29%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.1
44.0
34.4
36
67%
7
4
1
1
0
3
2
5
16-16
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.0
39.6
23.2
15
61%
17
8
2
1
2
3
3
14
3-3
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.4
37.7
29.3
15
86%
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
6-7
4-7
86%
58%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.5
35.5
21.7
6
38%
6
7
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
27.1
25.8
7
25%
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
1-10
10%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.3
16.6
23.0
2
35%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.9
10.3
11.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.9
8.8
21.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
4-7
0%
54%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
13.2
0
2-4
49%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
7.0
0
1-2
47%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.4
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.