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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Wizards66%102104
29SuperSonics34%9699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
43.0
34.6
21
59%
5
9
3
2
0
5
1
4
3-4
75%
6-11
6-12
55%
49%
2-5
40%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.0
39.2
33.4
7
48%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
38.9
33.9
17
44%
12
4
4
1
2
0
2
10
5-5
100%
6-12
6-13
50%
48%
0-5
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.3
34.9
25.0
13
62%
7
1
1
0
2
1
3
4
1-1
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
54%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.0
28.9
29.5
11
45%
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
3-3
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
2-7
29%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
21.9
22.0
22
85%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
6-9
67%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.1
20.3
17.1
10
85%
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
6.0
11.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
5.0
11.2
1
57%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.6
1.9
17.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
10.9
1
1-3
48%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.3
4.8
0
1-1
52%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
41.0
34.1
13
42%
3
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
5-6
83%
4-12
5-10
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
40.5
33.0
9
38%
21
5
0
1
0
2
6
15
3-4
75%
3-10
5-9
30%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
39.0
35.6
32
66%
7
1
1
1
0
2
2
5
5-5
100%
12-20
7-14
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.8
30.9
17.9
10
46%
4
6
0
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.2
18.3
25.6
10
83%
5
0
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
4-9
83%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.2
24.8
27.0
13
51%
2
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
3-4
75%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
17.1
31.0
5
56%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.1
16.8
9.5
5
51%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.9
11.7
10.0
2
20%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.6
5.9
0
0-1
37%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.9
3.9
0
1-1
49%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.7
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.