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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Mavericks31%97105
8Nuggets69%103118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.9
43.0
35.1
30
55%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
5-8
63%
11-19
6-13
58%
48%
1-5
20%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.0
41.7
31.0
19
72%
4
15
5
1
0
6
0
4
4-5
80%
3-6
2-5
50%
41%
3-5
60%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
30.9
27.7
5
43%
9
0
0
0
1
1
4
5
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
58%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.4
30.8
29.3
18
55%
8
6
1
1
0
3
3
5
1-3
33%
7-10
3-8
70%
44%
1-5
20%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.7
27.9
19.2
6
75%
4
2
0
0
0
5
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.5
27.9
24.1
14
51%
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
4-5
3-7
80%
50%
1-7
14%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.1
11.7
3.4
6
69%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.9
10.5
16.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
9.7
11.8
7
102%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.9
4.0
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.4
1.9
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
12.0
0
1-2
41%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.9
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.8
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 32.8
44.1
38.5
31
66%
3
5
1
2
0
2
0
3
6-6
100%
8-18
6-13
44%
47%
3-3
100%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
36.7
33.6
32
61%
10
8
2
1
0
3
3
7
10-14
71%
11-18
7-15
61%
50%
0-2
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.2
36.2
33.4
8
40%
6
1
0
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
4-10
5-10
40%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.0
36.0
33.4
13
67%
6
7
1
1
1
1
2
4
3-4
75%
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
22.9
23.2
7
44%
4
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-3
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22.5
26.6
20.3
13
55%
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
18.9
19.5
7
60%
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.2
15.7
18.1
7
60%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 33.6
1.3
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.5
1.3
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25.6
0.3
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.4
3.4
0
0-1
57%
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.