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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Knicks16%8995
11Raptors84%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.0
46.0
8.1
20
46%
10
6
1
0
0
1
2
8
6-9
67%
4-14
1-2
29%
41%
2-4
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
45.5
35.3
26
65%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
6-7
86%
4-11
5-11
36%
44%
4-6
67%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.9
45.5
31.1
15
52%
12
2
3
1
0
1
2
10
5-8
63%
5-11
5-8
45%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.3
36.2
25.5
21
58%
10
3
0
1
0
0
6
4
3-5
60%
9-15
2-5
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.9
16.9
25.4
4
29%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-2
0%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 29.0
33.1
23.1
7
31%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
7.0
17.8
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.3
5.3
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
38%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
4.5
22.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
40%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
22.7
1
5-10
46%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.2
14.4
0
2-4
46%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.8
12.9
0
2-4
46%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.3
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.1
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
47.0
34.4
29
68%
10
1
0
1
1
5
2
8
8-10
80%
9-15
8-14
60%
53%
1-2
50%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.8
34.6
34.0
15
55%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
2-5
40%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.0
30.6
23.3
10
71%
0
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-5
5-9
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.8
27.5
35.6
18
76%
8
0
0
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
8-11
6-11
73%
55%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.8
21.9
25.3
7
60%
5
2
2
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
26.1
16.2
9
51%
10
0
0
1
0
0
0
10
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
23.4
27.3
3
30%
4
6
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
58%
1-5
20%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.4
21.5
18.7
12
56%
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
3
5-6
83%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.1
7.4
14.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
6.3
0
1-2
51%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.8
4.5
0
0-1
50%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.5
4.3
0
0-1
51%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.