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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls44%95103
19Hawks56%97106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
32.0
31.7
19
69%
5
3
0
1
1
0
0
5
2-4
50%
7-11
6-12
64%
50%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.2
31.6
31.9
9
65%
1
8
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
23.6
28.2
9
41%
6
2
1
1
0
4
1
5
1-2
50%
4-10
5-10
40%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
19.1
25.1
6
44%
7
1
0
1
2
0
6
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.2
17.6
27.1
5
28%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-8
3-8
25%
42%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
28.9
28.3
18
61%
4
5
0
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
46%
4-6
67%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.9
25.8
23.0
8
67%
3
3
2
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.3
24.2
15.9
13
51%
4
1
0
0
2
2
0
4
5-6
83%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
0-3
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.6
22.1
6.0
7
51%
3
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.3
11.6
7.6
7
74%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-4
25%
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.6
3.6
14.7
2
100%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.6
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.3
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
45.2
40.3
19
36%
4
7
1
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
7-21
6-12
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
41.4
33.3
30
94%
3
8
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
46%
6-8
75%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.3
35.8
34.2
12
40%
10
1
1
1
4
5
3
7
6-11
55%
3-9
5-11
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.8
34.8
29.9
13
58%
11
2
2
1
0
1
2
9
5-5
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
24.3
26.4
16
76%
3
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
8-8
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.8
35.3
28.6
9
33%
9
3
1
1
0
0
7
2
3-8
38%
3-8
4-6
38%
57%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.1
16.6
17.1
7
74%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.2
5.2
11.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
0.9
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.1
0.6
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
5.6
0
1-1
45%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.7
4.7
0
0-1
49%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.