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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Clippers16%93101
3Jazz84%106121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
41.6
24.8
8
68%
9
1
1
0
0
3
4
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
37.6
17.2
16
69%
7
6
0
0
0
3
0
7
6-6
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.4
33.4
35.0
28
66%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
16-19
84%
6-11
5-11
55%
47%
0-2
0%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.6
33.1
33.0
13
45%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
45%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 32.4
24.1
19.8
8
57%
1
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
42%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.3
26.8
33.4
13
77%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
23.9
22.3
6
50%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.1
10.3
27.9
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 29.5
6.8
11.2
5
102%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
2.4
10.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.0
35.8
1
7-14
49%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 26.9
11.8
0
1-3
43%
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.7
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 22.5
Marcus Williams
G · 6'7" 207 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.4
37.0
36.9
34
73%
17
3
2
1
1
3
3
14
2-3
67%
16-22
9-15
73%
57%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.8
35.0
39.3
32
95%
3
10
1
1
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
11-12
6-11
92%
54%
2-3
67%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.3
24.3
4.0
7
51%
7
1
0
0
0
0
5
2
1-2
50%
3-6
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
22.1
5.0
4
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
50%
0-3
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
9.1
29.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.1
34.7
18.8
13
64%
6
3
3
1
2
1
5
1
5-7
71%
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.0
29.0
20.6
18
63%
1
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
5-5
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
3-7
43%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.8
19.8
18.8
2
20%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.9
16.0
1.8
6
61%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
0-0
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
12.9
6.9
5
83%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.8
29.3
1
3-7
51%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.0
28.0
2
5-8
59%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.