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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 28, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bobcats65%10096
29SuperSonics35%9593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
45.9
35.2
11
43%
6
3
3
2
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
3-9
5-9
33%
52%
1-3
33%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
43.5
38.0
27
57%
7
5
3
1
1
1
0
7
7-8
88%
1-10
6-12
10%
49%
6-10
60%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.7
37.8
25.1
5
43%
6
2
4
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.8
35.6
33.1
23
65%
1
6
1
1
0
3
0
1
5-6
83%
6-11
4-10
55%
45%
2-4
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
33.9
28.4
19
67%
9
1
0
1
2
0
2
7
3-5
60%
8-12
5-9
67%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
13.2
25.3
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
12.8
17.4
6
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.8
12.4
14.9
3
30%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
4.9
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
5.6
0
1-2
49%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.7
5.4
0
0-1
45%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.2
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
39.6
36.0
18
46%
5
1
0
1
2
2
0
5
6-6
100%
6-13
7-14
46%
49%
0-4
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
36.3
34.9
12
55%
10
1
1
1
0
1
2
8
2-2
100%
5-10
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
29.3
35.7
8
40%
2
0
2
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.8
27.9
23.1
16
57%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
8-12
3-7
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.2
19.7
22.7
8
50%
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.2
31.1
25.8
10
46%
5
3
2
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.9
26.8
10.9
10
60%
6
2
0
0
2
0
1
5
2-3
67%
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
20.3
25.3
7
79%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.1
9.1
12.3
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.6
3.9
0
0-1
38%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.9
3.3
0
1-1
50%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.7
2.5
0
0-1
45%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.