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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bucks24%93111
17Bulls76%102114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
45.8
33.6
33
57%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
5-5
100%
11-22
5-11
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.6
39.8
25.2
26
53%
9
3
2
1
2
1
3
6
4-4
100%
11-21
5-10
52%
49%
0-2
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.3
29.3
31.8
13
50%
2
5
1
1
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.5
26.6
30.9
6
39%
4
4
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-4
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.2
26.3
14.0
6
75%
6
3
2
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
24.1
25.6
14
60%
8
0
0
1
2
0
3
5
6-6
100%
4-9
3-8
44%
45%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.8
20.1
7.1
7
58%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
14.9
10.5
4
34%
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
42%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
7.3
16.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
5.9
11.2
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.9
12.2
0
2-4
44%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
6.1
0
1-1
46%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.3
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
41.5
31.6
16
48%
7
2
0
1
1
3
4
3
2-4
50%
7-14
6-12
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
38.6
22.7
18
59%
15
2
2
1
4
3
6
9
4-5
80%
7-13
3-5
54%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.2
36.7
31.6
11
42%
3
6
3
1
0
0
0
3
4-7
57%
2-8
3-7
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.2
32.4
23.5
19
64%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
44%
1-2
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.6
21.5
11.0
10
89%
7
2
1
0
0
0
1
6
6-6
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.3
20.7
19.3
17
64%
4
1
0
0
2
4
0
4
5-5
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
19.9
28.4
11
44%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
6-6
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
48%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.9
17.4
24.0
9
92%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.6
11.4
13.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
26.3
1
5-10
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.3
9.6
0
2-3
55%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.6
2.6
0
0-1
52%
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.3
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.