Final Win Prob. pScore
305%80
62
195%101
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
73.88483.1
BOS logo Celtics
103.58586.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS62
88
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAPowell 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)62
88
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
88
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot60
88
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Powell 3 AST)60
88
Q4 - 1:06BOSAllen 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)57
88
Q4 - 1:27BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
86
Q4 - 1:28MIAMISS Quinn 6' Jump Shot57
86
Q4 - 1:49BOSHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)57
86
Q4 - 1:52BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
83
Q4 - 1:53BOSMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
83
Q4 - 2:21MIALasme Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Powell 2 AST)57
83
Q4 - 2:22MIASUB: Quinn FOR Davis55
83
Q4 - 2:22BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)55
83
Q4 - 2:45BOSPosey 2' Layup (7 PTS) (House 1 AST)55
83
Q4 - 2:50MIAPosey STEAL (4 STL)55
81
Q4 - 3:14BOSDavis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)55
81
Q4 - 3:32MIAAhearn Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)55
79
Q4 - 3:50BOSPowe L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)55
79
Q4 - 3:50MIAHeat Rebound55
79
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Ahearn 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 4:02MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
79
Q4 - 4:03BOSMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 4:19BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
79
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 4:24BOSSUB: Davis FOR Brown55
79
Q4 - 4:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
79
Q4 - 4:46BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 4:53BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)55
79
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Ahearn 11' Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 5:08MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
79
Q4 - 5:09MIAMISS Lasme 19' Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 5:18MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
79
Q4 - 5:21BOSMISS Powe Tip Shot55
79
Q4 - 5:21BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)55
79
Q4 - 5:22BOSMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 5:43BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)55
79
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 5:57MIASUB: Ahearn FOR Quinn55
79
Q4 - 5:57BOSSUB: House FOR Cassell55
79
Q4 - 5:5755
79
Q4 - 5:57MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)55
79
Q4 - 5:57BOSPowe Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)55
79
Q4 - 6:09BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)55
79
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Powell 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 6:22MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
79
Q4 - 6:23BOSMISS Powe 5' Hook Shot55
79
Q4 - 6:50MIADavis 14' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Quinn 8 AST)55
79
Q4 - 7:02BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
79
Q4 - 7:02BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
78
Q4 - 7:02MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T3)53
77
Q4 - 7:03BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)53
77
Q4 - 7:04BOSMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
77
Q4 - 7:23BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
77
Q4 - 7:24MIABrown BLOCK (1 BLK)53
77
Q4 - 7:38BOSCassell P.FOUL (P3.T3)53
77
Q4 - 7:52MIAHeat Rebound53
77
Q4 - 7:55BOSMISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot53
77
Q4 - 8:13MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Quinn 7 AST)53
77
Q4 - 8:18MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
77
Q4 - 8:20BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup51
77
Q4 - 8:36MIAPosey STEAL (3 STL)51
77
Q4 - 8:40MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
77
Q4 - 8:41BOSMISS Powe 18' Jump Shot51
77
Q4 - 9:04BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
77
Q4 - 9:05MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
77
Q4 - 9:09MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
77
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
77
Q4 - 9:29MIASUB: Powell FOR Ahearn51
77
Q4 - 9:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)51
77
Q4 - 9:39BOSBrown 1' Layup (2 PTS)51
77
Q4 - 9:40BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
75
Q4 - 9:41BOSMISS Powe 1' Layup51
75
Q4 - 9:57MIAAhearn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)51
75
Q4 - 10:18BOSPowe Putback Layup (15 PTS)48
75
Q4 - 10:19BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)48
73
Q4 - 10:21BOSMISS Brown 1' Layup48
73
Q4 - 10:36MIAAhearn Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)48
73
Q4 - 10:49BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)48
73
Q4 - 10:49MIAAhearn S.FOUL (P2.T2)48
72
Q4 - 10:49BOSPowe 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)48
72
Q4 - 10:58BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
70
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Ahearn 20' Jump Shot48
70
Q4 - 11:08BOSPosey P.FOUL (P4.T2)48
70
Q4 - 11:27BOSCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
70
Q4 - 11:27BOSCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
69
Q4 - 11:27MIAAhearn S.FOUL (P1.T1)48
68
Q4 - 11:28BOSCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
68
Q4 - 11:29BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup48
68
Q4 - 11:31MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)48
68
Q4 - 11:41BOSPowe P.FOUL (P3.T1)48
68
Q4 - 11:42BOSPowe Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)48
68
Q4 - 12:0048
68
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS48
68
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
68
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Cassell 39' 3PT Jump Shot48
68
Q3 - 0:04.0MIACassell STEAL (1 STL)48
68
Q3 - 0:25.0BOSPosey 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)48
68
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAPosey STEAL (2 STL)48
66
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
66
Q3 - 0:38.0BOSMISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot48
66
Q3 - 0:57.0BOSCELTICS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)48
66
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAAhearn Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
66
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAAhearn Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
66
Q3 - 0:57.0BOSBrown P.FOUL (P2.PN)46
66
Q3 - 1:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
66
Q3 - 1:06BOSMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
66
Q3 - 1:23MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
66
Q3 - 1:23MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
66
Q3 - 1:23BOSAllen S.FOUL (P4.PN)44
66
Q3 - 1:36MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
66
Q3 - 1:37BOSMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot44
66
Q3 - 1:44BOSSUB: Posey FOR Allen44
66
Q3 - 1:44BOSCELTICS Rebound44
66
Q3 - 1:45BOSMISS Allen 3' Jump Shot44
66
Q3 - 1:55BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
66
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Ahearn 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
66
Q3 - 2:18BOSBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T12)44
66
Q3 - 2:18BOSBrown OFF.Foul (P1)44
66
Q3 - 2:22BOSSUB: Powe FOR Perkins44
66
Q3 - 2:22BOSCELTICS Rebound44
66
Q3 - 2:23BOSMISS Allen 1' Putback Layup44
66
Q3 - 2:25BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
66
Q3 - 2:25BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
66
Q3 - 2:47MIAAhearn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
66
Q3 - 2:47MIAAhearn Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
66
Q3 - 2:47BOSSUB: Allen FOR Pierce42
66
Q3 - 2:47BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)42
66
Q3 - 2:47BOSCassell P.FOUL (P2.PN)42
66
Q3 - 3:00BOSCassell 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)42
66
Q3 - 3:16BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)42
64
Q3 - 3:18MIAPerkins BLOCK (3 BLK)42
64
Q3 - 3:31MIASUB: Ahearn FOR Quinn42
64
Q3 - 3:31BOSAllen Violation:Kicked Ball42
64
Q3 - 3:34BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)42
64
Q3 - 3:48MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
64
Q3 - 3:48MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount41
64
Q3 - 3:48MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
64
Q3 - 3:48BOSSUB: Cassell FOR Rondo40
64
Q3 - 3:48BOSSUB: Brown FOR Garnett40
64
Q3 - 3:48BOSAllen S.FOUL (P1.T4)40
64
Q3 - 3:58MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
64
Q3 - 3:58BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup40
64
Q3 - 4:16BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
64
Q3 - 4:17MIAMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot40
64
Q3 - 4:36BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)40
64
Q3 - 4:56BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
61
Q3 - 4:58BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
61
Q3 - 5:17BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
61
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot40
61
Q3 - 5:34BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
61
Q3 - 5:34BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
60
Q3 - 5:34MIAAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P4.T3)40
59
Q3 - 5:55BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
59
Q3 - 5:57BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 240
59
Q3 - 5:57BOSCELTICS Rebound40
59
Q3 - 5:57BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 240
59
Q3 - 5:57MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Barron40
59
Q3 - 5:57MIAPowell S.FOUL (P3.T2)40
59
Q3 - 6:02MIARondo STEAL (2 STL)40
59
Q3 - 6:19BOSPerkins 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)40
59
Q3 - 6:32BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
57
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot40
57
Q3 - 6:48MIAHeat Rebound40
57
Q3 - 6:50BOSMISS Rondo 6' Jump Shot40
57
Q3 - 7:13MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
57
Q3 - 7:13MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
57
Q3 - 7:13BOSGarnett S.FOUL (P1.T3)38
57
Q3 - 7:27MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
57
Q3 - 7:28BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
57
Q3 - 7:43MIABarron 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)38
57
Q3 - 7:44MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
57
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS Blount 1' Layup36
57
Q3 - 8:04BOSRondo 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)36
57
Q3 - 8:20BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
55
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Quinn 22' Jump Shot36
55
Q3 - 8:26MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
55
Q3 - 8:27BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup36
55
Q3 - 8:28BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
55
Q3 - 8:29BOSMISS Garnett 1' Layup36
55
Q3 - 8:31BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)36
55
Q3 - 8:32BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup36
55
Q3 - 8:37BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
55
Q3 - 8:38MIAPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)36
55
Q3 - 8:48BOSRondo P.FOUL (P2.T2)36
55
Q3 - 8:58MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)36
55
Q3 - 8:59BOSRondo 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)36
55
Q3 - 9:11MIAPowell 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)36
53
Q3 - 9:38BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)34
53
Q3 - 9:54MIABlount 21' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)34
50
Q3 - 10:13BOSPerkins L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)32
50
Q3 - 10:13MIAHeat Rebound32
50
Q3 - 10:14BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
50
Q3 - 10:19BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
50
Q3 - 10:20BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot32
50
Q3 - 10:34MIABarron P.FOUL (P3.T1)32
50
Q3 - 10:56MIABlount 21' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)32
50
Q3 - 11:14MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
50
Q3 - 11:15BOSMISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot30
50
Q3 - 11:40MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P5.T12)30
50
Q3 - 12:0030
50
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS30
50
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound30
50
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Garnett 40' 3PT Jump Shot30
50
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAGarnett STEAL (1 STL)30
50
Q2 - 0:25.0BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)30
50
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)30
50
Q2 - 0:48.0BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)30
50
Q2 - 0:48.0BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)30
49
Q2 - 0:48.0MIABarron S.FOUL (P2.PN)30
48
Q2 - 0:52.0MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)30
48
Q2 - 1:07MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
48
Q2 - 1:08BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
48
Q2 - 1:28MIAQuinn 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
48
Q2 - 1:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
48
Q2 - 1:46BOSMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot28
48
Q2 - 2:11MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)28
48
Q2 - 2:19BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)25
48
Q2 - 2:27BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
48
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot25
48
Q2 - 2:47MIASUB: Barron FOR Blount25
48
Q2 - 2:47MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)25
48
Q2 - 2:56BOSPierce 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)25
48
Q2 - 3:05BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
46
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Powell 15' Jump Shot25
46
Q2 - 3:29BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
46
Q2 - 3:29BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
45
Q2 - 3:29BOSSUB: Rondo FOR House25
44
Q2 - 3:29MIABlount P.FOUL (P2.PN)25
44
Q2 - 3:40MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)25
44
Q2 - 3:59BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
44
Q2 - 3:59MIASUB: Anthony FOR Al. Johnson23
43
Q2 - 3:59BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
43
Q2 - 3:59MIAAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P3.T4)23
42
Q2 - 4:08MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
42
Q2 - 4:08MIAHeat Rebound22
42
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 222
42
Q2 - 4:08BOSSUB: Perkins FOR Powe22
42
Q2 - 4:08BOSPowe P.FOUL (P2.PN)22
42
Q2 - 4:16BOSPowe Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)22
42
Q2 - 4:19BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)22
42
Q2 - 4:21BOSMISS Powe 1' Layup22
42
Q2 - 4:33BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
42
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Powell 14' Jump Shot22
42
Q2 - 4:53BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)22
42
Q2 - 4:53BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
41
Q2 - 4:53BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Cassell22
40
Q2 - 4:53MIAPowell S.FOUL (P2.T3)22
40
Q2 - 5:01BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
40
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Powell 3PT Jump Shot22
40
Q2 - 5:19MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
40
Q2 - 5:21BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
40
Q2 - 5:42MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
40
Q2 - 5:42MIAHeat Rebound21
40
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 221
40
Q2 - 5:42BOSSUB: Allen FOR Posey21
40
Q2 - 5:42BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)21
40
Q2 - 5:42BOSPosey P.FOUL (P3.PN)21
40
Q2 - 5:59BOSCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)21
40
Q2 - 6:03BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
37
Q2 - 6:04BOSMISS House 20' Jump Shot21
37
Q2 - 6:08BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Davis21
37
Q2 - 6:08MIABlount Violation:Kicked Ball21
37
Q2 - 6:29MIAAl. Johnson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)21
37
Q2 - 6:48BOSCassell 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)19
37
Q2 - 6:57MIAHouse STEAL (1 STL)19
35
Q2 - 7:10BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
35
Q2 - 7:10MIASUB: Quinn FOR Ahearn19
34
Q2 - 7:10BOSCELTICS Rebound19
34
Q2 - 7:10BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 219
34
Q2 - 7:10MIAAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P2.T2)19
34
Q2 - 7:21BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
34
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
34
Q2 - 7:37MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
34
Q2 - 7:37BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 119
34
Q2 - 7:37MIABlount S.FOUL (P1.T1)19
34
Q2 - 7:37BOSPowe 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)19
34
Q2 - 7:54MIAPowell Foul Turnover (P1.T7)19
32
Q2 - 7:54MIAPowell OFF.Foul (P1)19
32
Q2 - 7:58MIAPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
32
Q2 - 7:59BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
32
Q2 - 8:16MIAPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
32
Q2 - 8:16MIAPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
32
Q2 - 8:16BOSDavis S.FOUL (P1.PN)17
32
Q2 - 8:28MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
32
Q2 - 8:29BOSMISS Cassell 20' Jump Shot17
32
Q2 - 8:34BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
32
Q2 - 8:35BOSMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
32
Q2 - 8:57MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
32
Q2 - 8:57MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
32
Q2 - 8:5715
32
Q2 - 8:57BOSPosey P.FOUL (P2.PN)15
32
Q2 - 9:12BOSPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)15
32
Q2 - 9:20MIAAl. Johnson Foul Turnover (P2.T6)15
32
Q2 - 9:20MIAAl. Johnson OFF.Foul (P1)15
32
Q2 - 9:25MIASUB: Powell FOR Quinn15
32
Q2 - 9:25MIASUB: Blount FOR Anthony15
32
Q2 - 9:25BOSHouse L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)15
32
Q2 - 9:25MIAHeat Rebound15
32
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
32
Q2 - 9:47MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
32
Q2 - 9:48BOSMISS Powe 19' Jump Shot15
32
Q2 - 10:06BOSCELTICS Rebound15
32
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS Ahearn 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
32
Q2 - 10:15MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
32
Q2 - 10:16BOSMISS House 3PT Jump Shot15
32
Q2 - 10:23MIAPosey STEAL (1 STL)15
32
Q2 - 10:40BOSHouse Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)15
32
Q2 - 10:50MIAAhearn Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
32
Q2 - 10:50MIAAhearn Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
32
Q2 - 10:50BOSSUB: House FOR Allen13
32
Q2 - 10:50BOSAllen S.FOUL (P3.T3)13
32
Q2 - 11:02BOSPosey L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)13
32
Q2 - 11:04MIAHeat Rebound13
32
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Al. Johnson 18' Jump Shot13
32
Q2 - 11:20BOSPowe P.FOUL (P1.T1)13
32
Q2 - 11:29BOSDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)13
32
Q2 - 11:47BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
32
Q2 - 11:48MIAMISS Quinn 3' Jump Shot13
32
Q2 - 12:0013
32
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS13
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
32
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSAllen S.FOUL (P2.PN)11
32
Q1 - 0:22.0BOSDavis 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)11
32
Q1 - 0:22.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
30
Q1 - 0:23.0BOSMISS Posey 2' Reverse Layup11
30
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
30
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 211
30
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
30
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSCassell S.FOUL (P1.PN)10
30
Q1 - 0:43.0BOSPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)10
30
Q1 - 0:48.0BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
27
Q1 - 0:49.0BOSMISS Cassell 22' Jump Shot10
27
Q1 - 1:04MIAAhearn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)10
27
Q1 - 1:09BOSPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)7
27
Q1 - 1:31MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
27
Q1 - 1:31BOSSUB: Posey FOR Rondo6
27
Q1 - 1:31BOSSUB: Cassell FOR Perkins6
27
Q1 - 1:31BOSSUB: Davis FOR Pierce6
27
Q1 - 1:31BOSAllen S.FOUL (P1.T3)6
27
Q1 - 1:31MIADavis 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)6
27
Q1 - 1:44BOSPerkins 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)4
27
Q1 - 1:56BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
25
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot4
25
Q1 - 2:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
25
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Ahearn 3PT Jump Shot4
25
Q1 - 2:18BOSPowe 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)4
25
Q1 - 2:36BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot4
23
Q1 - 2:55BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)4
23
Q1 - 2:55BOSCELTICS Rebound4
22
Q1 - 2:55BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 24
22
Q1 - 2:55MIASUB: Ahearn FOR Powell4
22
Q1 - 2:55BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)4
22
Q1 - 2:55MIALasme S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
22
Q1 - 3:06BOSSUB: Allen FOR Allen4
22
Q1 - 3:07BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
22
Q1 - 3:09MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)4
22
Q1 - 3:18MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
22
Q1 - 3:19BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
22
Q1 - 3:27BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
22
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot4
22
Q1 - 3:43BOSRondo 6' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)4
22
Q1 - 4:01MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)4
20
Q1 - 4:09MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
20
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Lasme 11' Jump Shot4
20
Q1 - 4:30BOSPowe 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
20
Q1 - 4:32BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
18
Q1 - 4:33BOSMISS Pierce 2' Layup4
18
Q1 - 4:50BOSSUB: Powe FOR Garnett4
18
Q1 - 4:50BOSCELTICS Rebound4
18
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Powell 15' Jump Shot4
18
Q1 - 5:03BOSPerkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
18
Q1 - 5:16BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
18
Q1 - 5:39BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)4
18
Q1 - 5:51BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
15
Q1 - 5:52BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
15
Q1 - 5:57BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
15
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Quinn 3' Layup4
15
Q1 - 6:13BOSGarnett 3' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)4
15
Q1 - 6:32MIAQuinn 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
13
Q1 - 6:46MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount2
13
Q1 - 6:46BOSPerkins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)2
13
Q1 - 7:03BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
13
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 22
13
Q1 - 7:03MIAHeat Rebound2
13
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 22
13
Q1 - 7:03BOSPerkins S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
13
Q1 - 7:19MIALasme Violation:Defensive Goaltending2
13
Q1 - 7:19BOSAllen 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)2
13
Q1 - 7:42BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
11
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
11
Q1 - 8:04BOSRondo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)2
11
Q1 - 8:10BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
9
Q1 - 8:11BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot2
9
Q1 - 8:27MIAPierce STEAL (2 STL)2
9
Q1 - 8:32BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
9
Q1 - 8:40MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
9
Q1 - 8:49MIASUB: Lasme FOR Barron2
9
Q1 - 8:49MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)2
9
Q1 - 8:58BOSAllen 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)2
9
Q1 - 9:05BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 9:30BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)2
7
Q1 - 9:42BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
4
Q1 - 9:43BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:57MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 9:57MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
4
Q1 - 9:57BOSRondo S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 10:12BOSGarnett Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 10:17BOSCELTICS Rebound0
2
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:32MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:33BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:43BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:56MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 10:57MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:10BOSGarnett 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:24MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)0
0
Q1 - 11:45MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:46BOSMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:57MIABarron P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. Blount: Tip to Pierce0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.84 41.9%
BOS
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
4
9
44%
BOS
17
33
52%
Midrange
MIA
9
29
31%
BOS
8
23
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
21
19%
29%
BOS
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
Free Throws
MIA
24
29
83%
BOS
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis1447%7.0 / 15
C. Quinn1439%7.0 / 18
B. Ahearn1255%6.0 / 11
K. Powell633%3.0 / 9
M. Blount638%3.0 / 8
A. Johnson450%2.0 / 4
E. Barron233%1.0 / 3
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
S. Lasme233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Powe1757%8.5 / 15
K. Garnett1260%6.0 / 10
R. Allen1033%5.0 / 15
P. Pierce1056%5.0 / 9
S. Cassell950%4.5 / 9
R. Rondo857%4.0 / 7
J. Posey735%3.5 / 10
K. Perkins4100%2.0 / 2
G. Davis467%2.0 / 3
E. House338%1.5 / 4
T. Allen214%1.0 / 7
P. Brown250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
65
+9
-19
74
BOS
71
+25
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.84 41.9%
BOS
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
109.6
MIA 73.8
BOS 103.5 +29.7
Pace
90.5
91.5
MIA 83.1
BOS 86.0 +2.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.7
MIA 17.3
BOS 16.8 −0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
52.2%
MIA 32.2%
BOS 42.8% +10.6%
TO %
15.4%
15.7%
MIA 21.8%
BOS 13.1% −8.7%
ORB %
22.2%
26.6%
MIA 15.8%
BOS 46.8% +31.0%
FTrt
30.0
34.6
MIA 49.2 +22.7
BOS 26.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
61.4%
MIA 70.6%
BOS 71.9% +1.3%
STL %
7.9%
9.3%
MIA 10.7%
BOS 15.3% +4.6%
BLK %
7.1%
7.9%
MIA 10.7% +0.2%
BOS 10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
55.1%
MIA 41.9%
BOS 45.4% +3.5%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.2%
MIA 44.4%
BOS 51.5% +7.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.2%
MIA 31.0%
BOS 34.8% +3.8%
3P %
35.8%
38.1%
MIA 19.0%
BOS 25.9% +6.9%
FT %
72.7%
77.1%
MIA 82.8% +5.5%
BOS 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
37.1%
MIA 15.3%
BOS 39.8% +24.5%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
38.0%
MIA 49.2%
BOS 27.7% −21.4%
3P Att. %
21.7%
24.9%
MIA 35.6% +3.1%
BOS 32.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points6288
Rebounds3154
Assists1223
Steals913
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)22 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)32 (3)
Field Goals17-5932-83
At-the-Rim FG4-917-33
Midrange FG9-298-23
2-Point FG13-3825-56
3-Point FG4-217-27
Free Throws24-2917-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 29
45.6
14
47%
6
1
0
1
7
0
1
5
5-5
100%
3-8
38%
1-5
20%
F · 6'7" 215 · 27
40.0
6
33%
5
3
4
0
2
3
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
38.6
14
39%
4
8
3
0
3
0
0
4
7-8
88%
2-8
25%
1-6
17%
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
20.1
6
38%
1
0
0
2
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F · 7'0" 250 · 27
12.0
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
29.1
2
50%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
20.8
2
33%
2
0
1
2
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
19.7
12
55%
0
0
1
0
3
2
0
0
6-6
100%
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
14.0
4
50%
3
0
0
0
2
4
0
3
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'2" 205 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
62
42%
31
12
9
6
19
0
6
25
24-29
83%
13-38
34%
4-21
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.