Final Win Prob. pScore
346%96
118
1054%97
111
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
132.68986.8
TOR logo Raptors
123.39092.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH118
100%
111
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0TORCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)118
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)118
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0NOHMISS West 26' 3PT Jump Shot118
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)118
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)118
108
Q4 - 0:37.0NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Paul 16 AST)118
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0TORJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)116
99.6%
108
0.4%
Q4 - 1:13NOHWest 7' Hook Shot (32 PTS) (Paul 15 AST)116
98.9%
108
1.1%
Q4 - 1:34TORCalderon Running Layup (7 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST)114
97.2%
108
2.8%
Q4 - 1:51NOHWest L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)114
106
Q4 - 1:51TORRAPTORS Rebound114
97.5%
106
2.5%
Q4 - 1:51NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot114
97.9%
106
2.1%
Q4 - 2:07TORJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T4)114
106
Q4 - 2:19TORHumphries 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)114
98.8%
106
1.2%
Q4 - 2:27NOHPaul P.FOUL (P1.T2)114
104
Q4 - 2:33TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)114
99.1%
104
0.9%
Q4 - 2:34NOHMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot114
99.3%
104
0.7%
Q4 - 2:58NOHSUB: Paul FOR Pargo114
104
Q4 - 2:58NOHSUB: West FOR Wright114
104
Q4 - 2:58NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Wells114
104
Q4 - 2:58NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)114
104
Q4 - 2:59TORMoon 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)114
99.2%
104
0.8%
Q4 - 3:13TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)114
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 3:14NOHMISS Wells 17' Jump Shot114
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 3:33TORHumphries 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)114
99.4%
101
0.6%
Q4 - 3:44NOHWells 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)114
99.6%
99
0.4%
Q4 - 4:07TORJohnson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)112
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 4:20TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
99.6%
97
0.4%
Q4 - 4:21NOHMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot112
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 4:39TORMoon 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)112
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 4:46NOHMoon STEAL (2 STL)112
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 4:57TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 4:57TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)112
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 4:57NOHSUB: James FOR Stojakovic112
93
Q4 - 4:57TORSUB: Moon FOR Bargnani112
93
Q4 - 4:57TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)112
93
Q4 - 4:57NOHWells S.FOUL (P2.T1)112
93
Q4 - 5:16TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)112
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 5:17TORMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot112
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 5:29TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)112
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 5:30TORMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot112
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 5:50NOHWells Dunk (10 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)112
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 6:10TORJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)110
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 6:27TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)110
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 6:29NOHHumphries BLOCK (1 BLK)110
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 6:37NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)110
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 6:38TORMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot110
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 6:51NOHPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)110
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 6:51NOHPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)109
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 6:51NOHSUB: Wright FOR West108
91
Q4 - 6:51TORBargnani S.FOUL (P3.T3)108
91
Q4 - 6:57NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)108
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 6:58TORMISS Humphries 15' Jump Shot108
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 7:12TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)108
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 7:14NOHMISS Wells 15' Fadeaway Jumper108
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 7:35TORHumphries Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)108
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 7:46NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)108
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 7:46TORSUB: Johnson FOR Moon107
89
Q4 - 7:46TORHumphries S.FOUL (P2.T2)107
89
Q4 - 7:46NOHChandler Layup (14 PTS)107
89
Q4 - 8:05TORDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)105
98.6%
89
1.4%
Q4 - 8:21NOHWells Driving Layup (8 PTS)105
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 8:42TORDelfino 19' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)103
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 8:56NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)103
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 8:56NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)102
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 8:56101
84
Q4 - 8:56TORHumphries S.FOUL (P1.T1)101
84
Q4 - 9:21TORHumphries 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)101
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q4 - 9:37TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
98.9%
82
1.1%
Q4 - 9:38TORMISS Moon 3PT Jump Shot101
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 9:53TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
98.9%
82
1.1%
Q4 - 9:54NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 10:13NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)101
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 10:14TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot101
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 10:24TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)101
98.5%
82
1.5%
Q4 - 10:25NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
98.6%
82
1.4%
Q4 - 10:48TORMoon 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Delfino 4 AST)101
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 10:57TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 10:58NOHMISS Wells 21' Jump Shot101
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 11:07TORCalderon Violation:Kicked Ball101
79
Q4 - 11:19NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 11:20TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 11:31TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)101
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q4 - 11:32TORMISS Delfino 28' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 11:35TORRAPTORS Rebound101
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q4 - 11:36TORMISS Humphries 9' Turnaround Hook Shot101
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 12:00101
79
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH101
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMoon Putback Dunk (5 PTS)101
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
99.4%
77
0.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS Delfino 17' Running Jump Shot101
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0NOHStojakovic 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS)101
99.2%
77
0.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0TORDelfino 17' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)99
99.0%
77
1.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0NOHPaul 7' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)99
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q3 - 1:17TORHumphries 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)97
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q3 - 1:38NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)97
99.0%
73
1.0%
Q3 - 1:50TORDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)95
98.8%
73
1.2%
Q3 - 2:01NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)95
98.2%
73
1.8%
Q3 - 2:01TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford94
73
Q3 - 2:01TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Nesterovic94
73
Q3 - 2:01NOHSUB: Wells FOR Peterson94
73
Q3 - 2:01NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)94
73
Q3 - 2:01TORFord S.FOUL (P2.T3)94
73
Q3 - 2:01NOHPaul Driving Layup (17 PTS)94
73
Q3 - 2:12NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)92
97.4%
73
2.6%
Q3 - 2:13TORMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
97.2%
73
2.8%
Q3 - 2:34NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Paul 14 AST)92
96.9%
73
3.1%
Q3 - 2:41NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
95.5%
73
4.5%
Q3 - 2:43TORMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot89
95.3%
73
4.7%
Q3 - 3:06TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
93.9%
73
6.1%
Q3 - 3:08NOHMISS Peterson 21' Jump Shot89
94.3%
73
5.7%
Q3 - 3:28TORDelfino Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)89
95.0%
73
5.0%
Q3 - 3:28TORSUB: Humphries FOR Bosh89
72
Q3 - 3:28NOHWest S.FOUL (P3.T1)89
72
Q3 - 3:28TORDelfino Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)89
72
Q3 - 3:30TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
96.4%
70
3.6%
Q3 - 3:31NOHMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)89
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 3:46TORBosh 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)89
97.0%
70
3.0%
Q3 - 3:57TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
97.5%
68
2.5%
Q3 - 3:59NOHMISS West Driving Layup89
97.6%
68
2.4%
Q3 - 4:24TORDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)89
97.6%
68
2.4%
Q3 - 4:32TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q3 - 4:33NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot89
98.4%
65
1.6%
Q3 - 4:39NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)89
98.6%
65
1.4%
Q3 - 4:41TORMISS Bosh Driving Layup89
98.5%
65
1.5%
Q3 - 4:57NOHWest 17' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS) (Paul 13 AST)89
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q3 - 5:17TORFord 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)87
97.6%
65
2.4%
Q3 - 5:29TORSUB: Moon FOR Parker87
63
Q3 - 5:29TORSUB: Delfino FOR Kapono87
63
Q3 - 5:29TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)87
63
Q3 - 5:38NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (West 3 AST)87
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q3 - 5:47NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
97.2%
63
2.8%
Q3 - 5:48TORMISS Nesterovic 6' Jump Hook Shot84
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q3 - 6:03NOHPaul 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)84
96.2%
63
3.8%
Q3 - 6:06NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)82
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q3 - 6:08NOHMISS Peterson 20' Jump Shot82
95.1%
63
4.9%
Q3 - 6:15NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q3 - 6:17TORMISS Ford Driving Layup82
95.4%
63
4.6%
Q3 - 6:26NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)82
94.8%
63
5.2%
Q3 - 6:45TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)82
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q3 - 7:08NOHStojakovic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
94.1%
63
5.9%
Q3 - 7:24NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 7:26TORMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot80
92.9%
63
7.1%
Q3 - 7:45TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)80
63
Q3 - 7:45NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)80
92.2%
63
7.8%
Q3 - 7:54NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
91.0%
63
9.0%
Q3 - 7:55TORMISS Ford 19' Pullup Jump Shot78
90.6%
63
9.4%
Q3 - 8:17NOHStojakovic Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)78
89.0%
63
11.0%
Q3 - 8:31TORNesterovic Running Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)78
90.5%
63
9.5%
Q3 - 8:44NOHWest Layup (26 PTS)78
91.6%
61
8.4%
Q3 - 9:04TORBosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)76
90.0%
61
10.0%
Q3 - 9:22NOHStojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (West 2 AST)76
88.5%
61
11.5%
Q3 - 9:34NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
85.3%
61
14.7%
Q3 - 9:35TORMISS Kapono 14' Running Jump Shot73
84.7%
61
15.3%
Q3 - 9:48NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)73
83.3%
61
16.7%
Q3 - 9:48NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)72
83.0%
61
17.0%
Q3 - 9:48TORFord S.FOUL (P1.T2)71
61
Q3 - 9:51NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
81.2%
61
18.8%
Q3 - 9:52TORMISS Bosh Driving Layup71
80.4%
61
19.6%
Q3 - 10:10NOHPaul Layup (11 PTS)71
77.8%
61
22.2%
Q3 - 10:12NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
75.3%
61
24.7%
Q3 - 10:14NOHMISS Paul 7' Running Jump Shot69
73.4%
61
26.6%
Q3 - 10:23TORKapono P.FOUL (P1.T1)69
61
Q3 - 10:51TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)69
75.4%
61
24.6%
Q3 - 11:12NOHKapono STEAL (1 STL)69
79.5%
58
20.5%
Q3 - 11:18NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
81.8%
58
18.2%
Q3 - 11:19TORMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot69
81.1%
58
18.9%
Q3 - 11:38TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
79.5%
58
20.5%
Q3 - 11:39NOHMISS West 23' Jump Shot69
80.2%
58
19.8%
Q3 - 12:0069
58
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR69
81.8%
58
18.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound69
79.5%
58
20.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Nesterovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
81.1%
58
18.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 1 AST)69
79.2%
58
20.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0TORBosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)66
73.8%
58
26.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
79.2%
55
20.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0NOHMISS Paul Driving Layup66
79.7%
55
20.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0TORCalderon Driving Layup (5 PTS)66
80.9%
55
19.1%
Q2 - 1:08NOHPaul Driving Layup (6 PTS)66
82.7%
53
17.3%
Q2 - 1:17NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
80.2%
53
19.8%
Q2 - 1:18TORMISS Ford 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
79.7%
53
20.3%
Q2 - 1:30NOHSUB: Wright FOR Chandler64
53
Q2 - 1:30NOHChandler L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)64
53
Q2 - 1:30TORRAPTORS Rebound64
78.7%
53
21.3%
Q2 - 1:31TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot64
79.8%
53
20.2%
Q2 - 1:52NOHStojakovic 13' Turnaround Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)64
78.7%
53
21.3%
Q2 - 2:16NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
75.3%
53
24.7%
Q2 - 2:17TORMISS Ford 3PT Jump Shot62
74.6%
53
25.4%
Q2 - 2:26NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)62
53
Q2 - 2:26NOHPeterson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)62
72.8%
53
27.2%
Q2 - 2:36TORNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)62
75.3%
53
24.7%
Q2 - 2:50NOHStojakovic 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
77.6%
51
22.4%
Q2 - 3:21TORFord Driving Layup (8 PTS)60
75.0%
51
25.0%
Q2 - 3:35NOHChandler Layup (8 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)60
76.9%
49
23.1%
Q2 - 3:47NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
75.0%
49
25.0%
Q2 - 3:48TORMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot58
74.2%
49
25.8%
Q2 - 3:58TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
72.2%
49
27.8%
Q2 - 3:59NOHMISS Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot58
73.1%
49
26.9%
Q2 - 4:02NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
74.2%
49
25.8%
Q2 - 4:04NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot58
72.4%
49
27.6%
Q2 - 4:18TORNesterovic Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)58
74.2%
49
25.8%
Q2 - 4:24NOHFord STEAL (1 STL)58
76.4%
47
23.6%
Q2 - 4:26NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)58
78.6%
47
21.4%
Q2 - 4:27NOHMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
77.1%
47
22.9%
Q2 - 4:36NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
78.6%
47
21.3%
Q2 - 4:37TORMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
78.0%
47
22.0%
Q2 - 4:49NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)58
76.4%
47
23.6%
Q2 - 4:49NOHSUB: Peterson FOR Pargo57
47
Q2 - 4:49NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)57
76.1%
47
23.9%
Q2 - 4:49TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.PN)56
47
Q2 - 5:01TORNesterovic Tip Shot (8 PTS)56
73.6%
47
26.4%
Q2 - 5:02TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
75.9%
45
24.1%
Q2 - 5:04TORMISS Ford Driving Layup56
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q2 - 5:13TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
75.9%
45
24.1%
Q2 - 5:14TORMISS Calderon 22' Jump Shot56
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q2 - 5:33NOHPaul Driving Layup (4 PTS)56
76.0%
45
24.0%
Q2 - 5:43TORBosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
73.7%
45
26.3%
Q2 - 5:52TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
76.0%
43
24.0%
Q2 - 5:53NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
76.6%
43
23.4%
Q2 - 6:18TORDelfino 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)54
77.4%
43
22.6%
Q2 - 6:28TORSUB: Bosh FOR Moon54
40
Q2 - 6:28TORSUB: Ford FOR Bargnani54
40
Q2 - 6:28TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)54
40
Q2 - 6:35NOHPargo Running Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)54
80.9%
40
19.1%
Q2 - 6:40NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
79.4%
40
20.6%
Q2 - 6:42TORMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
78.7%
40
21.3%
Q2 - 6:53TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
77.1%
40
22.9%
Q2 - 6:54NOHMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot52
77.8%
40
22.2%
Q2 - 7:03NOHSUB: West FOR Wright52
40
Q2 - 7:03TORBargnani P.FOUL (P2.T4)52
40
Q2 - 7:17TORNesterovic Running Layup (6 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)52
78.8%
40
21.2%
Q2 - 7:29NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)52
80.6%
38
19.4%
Q2 - 7:44TORMoon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)49
76.9%
38
23.1%
Q2 - 7:59NOHChandler Running Layup (6 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)49
80.6%
35
19.4%
Q2 - 8:04TORDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)47
77.9%
35
22.1%
Q2 - 8:07TORRAPTORS Rebound47
76.0%
35
24.0%
Q2 - 8:08TORMISS Nesterovic Reverse Layup47
77.3%
35
22.7%
Q2 - 8:20NOHSUB: Paul FOR Wells47
35
Q2 - 8:20NOHSUB: Chandler FOR Andersen47
35
Q2 - 8:20NOHPargo Foul Turnover (P1.T3)47
76.0%
35
24.0%
Q2 - 8:20NOHPargo OFF.Foul (P1)47
35
Q2 - 8:25NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
77.9%
35
22.1%
Q2 - 8:26TORMISS Calderon 13' Jump Shot47
77.3%
35
22.7%
Q2 - 8:39NOHWells Driving Layup (6 PTS)47
76.0%
35
24.0%
Q2 - 8:48NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR West45
35
Q2 - 8:4845
35
Q2 - 8:48TORNesterovic P.FOUL (P1.T3)45
35
Q2 - 9:01TORCalderon 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)45
73.2%
35
26.8%
Q2 - 9:17NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)45
75.3%
33
24.7%
Q2 - 9:27NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
73.3%
33
26.7%
Q2 - 9:28TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot43
72.6%
33
27.4%
Q2 - 9:36TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)43
71.1%
33
28.9%
Q2 - 9:36NOHHornets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Wells )43
32
Q2 - 9:46TORMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
73.3%
32
26.7%
Q2 - 9:47NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 243
73.5%
32
26.5%
Q2 - 9:47TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Bosh43
32
Q2 - 9:47NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)43
75.0%
32
25.0%
Q2 - 9:47TORBosh S.FOUL (P2.T2)42
32
Q2 - 10:00TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
73.3%
32
26.7%
Q2 - 10:00TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
73.6%
31
26.4%
Q2 - 10:00NOHWest S.FOUL (P2.T2)42
30
Q2 - 10:07TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
74.7%
30
25.3%
Q2 - 10:08NOHMISS Wells Driving Reverse Layup42
75.3%
30
24.7%
Q2 - 10:25TORDelfino Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)42
76.7%
30
23.3%
Q2 - 10:42NOHWells P.FOUL (P1.T1)42
28
Q2 - 10:42NOHMoon STEAL (1 STL)42
78.5%
28
21.5%
Q2 - 10:54NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
80.2%
28
19.8%
Q2 - 10:55TORMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot42
79.7%
28
20.3%
Q2 - 11:13TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
77.7%
28
22.3%
Q2 - 11:14NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 142
78.0%
28
22.0%
Q2 - 11:14TORBargnani S.FOUL (P1.T1)42
28
Q2 - 11:14NOHWest Layup (19 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)42
28
Q2 - 11:22NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
76.0%
28
24.0%
Q2 - 11:23TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot40
75.4%
28
24.6%
Q2 - 11:39NOHWells Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
74.0%
28
26.0%
Q2 - 11:49NOHWest Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)38
72.1%
28
27.9%
Q2 - 11:49TORRAPTORS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bosh )37
28
Q2 - 12:0037
28
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH37
70.0%
28
30.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORBosh Dunk (12 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)37
68.6%
28
31.4%
Q1 - 0:24.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
71.3%
26
28.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0NOHMISS Paul 13' Running Jump Shot37
71.7%
26
28.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORBosh Driving Dunk (10 PTS)37
72.8%
26
27.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
75.1%
24
24.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0TORBosh P.FOUL (P1.T2)34
24
Q1 - 1:02TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
70.0%
24
30.0%
Q1 - 1:02NOHSUB: Andersen FOR Chandler34
23
Q1 - 1:02TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
70.3%
23
29.7%
Q1 - 1:02NOHChandler S.FOUL (P2.PN)34
22
Q1 - 1:14NOHWells 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)34
72.5%
22
27.5%
Q1 - 1:33TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
70.0%
22
30.0%
Q1 - 1:33TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
70.3%
21
29.7%
Q1 - 1:33NOHWest S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
20
Q1 - 1:40TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
72.6%
20
27.4%
Q1 - 1:41NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot32
73.0%
20
27.0%
Q1 - 1:54TORParker Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)32
73.8%
20
26.2%
Q1 - 2:10NOHWest Dunk (16 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)32
75.4%
18
24.6%
Q1 - 2:15NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
73.3%
18
26.7%
Q1 - 2:16TORMISS Bosh Driving Layup30
72.9%
18
27.1%
Q1 - 2:34NOHWest 12' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)30
71.8%
18
28.2%
Q1 - 2:46NOHStojakovic Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)28
69.6%
18
30.4%
Q1 - 2:46TORSUB: Moon FOR Ford27
18
Q1 - 2:46TORSUB: Calderon FOR Nesterovic27
18
Q1 - 2:46TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Kapono27
18
Q1 - 2:46NOHSUB: Wells FOR Peterson27
18
Q1 - 2:46NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)27
18
Q1 - 2:46TORRAPTORS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Kapono )27
18
Q1 - 3:00TORBosh Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)27
67.6%
18
32.4%
Q1 - 3:16NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
69.6%
16
30.4%
Q1 - 3:28TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)25
67.6%
16
32.4%
Q1 - 3:33TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
65.6%
16
34.4%
Q1 - 3:34NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot25
66.2%
16
33.8%
Q1 - 3:59TORFord 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)25
67.6%
16
32.4%
Q1 - 4:02TORRAPTORS Rebound25
67.1%
14
32.9%
Q1 - 4:02TORMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Hook Shot25
68.4%
14
31.6%
Q1 - 4:26NOHPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)25
67.0%
14
33.0%
Q1 - 4:35NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
63.4%
14
36.6%
Q1 - 4:37TORMISS Nesterovic 11' Hook Shot22
62.8%
14
37.2%
Q1 - 4:51NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)22
61.3%
14
38.7%
Q1 - 5:05TORKapono Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)20
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 5:17NOHChandler 9' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)20
56.7%
14
43.3%
Q1 - 5:34NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 5:35TORMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot18
54.3%
14
45.7%
Q1 - 5:49TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
14
Q1 - 5:55NOHWest 11' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)18
52.8%
14
47.2%
Q1 - 6:06NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
50.8%
14
49.2%
Q1 - 6:07TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot16
50.2%
14
49.8%
Q1 - 6:21NOHWest 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)16
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 6:34TORFord 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
47.2%
14
52.8%
Q1 - 7:00NOHChandler Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
48.8%
12
51.2%
Q1 - 7:02NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
47.1%
12
52.9%
Q1 - 7:03NOHMISS Paul 9' Jump Shot12
45.8%
12
54.2%
Q1 - 7:13TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
47.1%
12
52.9%
Q1 - 7:27NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)12
45.2%
12
54.8%
Q1 - 7:41TORBosh Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)9
42.3%
12
57.7%
Q1 - 7:45TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
43.7%
10
56.3%
Q1 - 7:47NOHMISS West 8' Driving Hook Shot9
44.2%
10
55.8%
Q1 - 8:12TORBosh 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)9
45.3%
10
54.7%
Q1 - 8:27NOHWest 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)9
46.8%
8
53.2%
Q1 - 8:35NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
45.4%
8
54.6%
Q1 - 8:37TORMISS Nesterovic Reverse Layup7
45.0%
8
55.0%
Q1 - 8:54TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
44.1%
8
55.9%
Q1 - 8:56NOHMISS Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot7
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 9:15NOHHornets Rebound7
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 9:16NOHMISS Chandler Layup7
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 9:17NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 9:18NOHMISS Peterson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot7
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 9:30TORFord Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 9:48NOHWest 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
44.7%
8
55.3%
Q1 - 10:02TORNesterovic Tip Shot (4 PTS)5
44.0%
8
56.0%
Q1 - 10:04TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
44.8%
6
55.2%
Q1 - 10:06TORMISS Nesterovic Driving Layup5
45.5%
6
54.5%
Q1 - 10:17NOHWest 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)5
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 10:33TORNesterovic 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)3
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 10:45NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
45.2%
4
54.8%
Q1 - 10:45NOHHornets Rebound2
4
Q1 - 10:45NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 22
45.1%
4
54.9%
Q1 - 10:45TORParker S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 11:07TORFord 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 11:19NOHPeterson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)2
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 11:24TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 11:38NOHStojakovic Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 11:50TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 11:50TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
45.9%
1
54.1%
Q1 - 11:50NOHChandler S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Chandler: Tip to0
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHTOR
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.33 66.3%
TOR
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
17
22
77%
TOR
18
26
69%
Midrange
NOH
23
43
53%
TOR
18
39
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
TOR
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
NOH
14
17
82%
TOR
12
12
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West3267%16.0 / 24
P. Stojakovic2589%12.5 / 14
C. Paul2063%10.0 / 16
T. Chandler1794%8.5 / 9
B. Wells1255%6.0 / 11
M. Peterson850%4.0 / 8
J. Pargo467%2.0 / 3
J. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2158%10.5 / 18
C. Delfino1869%9.0 / 13
R. Nesterovic1454%7.0 / 13
J. Moon1393%6.5 / 7
T. Ford1050%5.0 / 10
J. Calderon1063%5.0 / 8
K. Humphries1071%5.0 / 7
L. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
A. Parker5125%2.5 / 2
A. Bargnani440%2.0 / 5
J. Kapono0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
80
+7
-9
87
TOR
79
+13
-11
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.33 66.3%
TOR
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
109.7
NOH 132.6 +9.3
TOR 123.3
Pace
90.5
90.7
NOH 86.8
TOR 92.3 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.9
NOH 16.6
TOR 15.6 −1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
51.1%
NOH 65.0% +7.4%
TOR 57.6%
TO %
12.4%
12.3%
NOH 9.3% −1.5%
TOR 10.8%
ORB %
27.1%
23.5%
NOH 18.8%
TOR 22.2% +3.4%
FTrt
25.1
24.7
NOH 21.3 +7.3
TOR 14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
62.0%
NOH 52.1%
TOR 68.9% +16.8%
STL %
8.6%
7.6%
NOH 5.6% +1.2%
TOR 4.4%
BLK %
6.4%
6.9%
NOH 6.2% +3.1%
TOR 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
53.7%
NOH 66.3% +6.0%
TOR 60.3%
Rim FG%
58.2%
58.5%
NOH 77.3% +8.1%
TOR 69.2%
Mid FG%
43.1%
43.3%
NOH 53.5% +7.3%
TOR 46.2%
3P %
38.9%
39.2%
NOH 53.3% +10.4%
TOR 42.9%
FT %
76.9%
81.2%
NOH 82.4%
TOR 100.0% +17.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
28.9%
NOH 27.5%
TOR 30.2% +2.7%
Mid Att. %
46.5%
49.4%
NOH 53.8%
TOR 45.3% −8.4%
3P Att. %
23.9%
21.7%
NOH 18.8%
TOR 24.4% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHTOR
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points118111
Rebounds3434
Assists2531
Steals54
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)26 (1)
Field Goals48-8045-86
At-the-Rim FG17-2218-26
Midrange FG23-4318-39
2-Point FG40-6536-65
3-Point FG8-159-21
Free Throws14-1712-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 229 · 31
42.8
25
89%
4
2
0
0
2
0
1
3
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
5-7
71%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
42.4
32
67%
7
3
1
2
0
4
0
7
6-8
75%
13-20
65%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 240 · 25
41.8
17
94%
10
1
1
1
1
3
4
6
1-1
100%
8-9
89%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
35.3
20
63%
6
16
2
0
2
1
1
5
3-3
100%
7-12
58%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 220 · 31
24.0
8
50%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32
17.5
12
55%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 28
16.2
4
67%
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 21
10.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 33
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30
4.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30
F · 6'9" 218 · 32
#12 · F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · F · 6'7" 215 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
66%
34
25
5
4
9
0
6
28
14-17
82%
40-65
62%
8-15
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.