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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 30, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Kings66%103120
29SuperSonics34%98107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.4
41.9
36.8
29
60%
12
3
4
2
2
1
4
8
3-3
100%
10-20
7-14
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.2
40.6
35.6
31
69%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
8-8
100%
10-14
5-11
71%
50%
1-5
20%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.0
30.0
31.7
10
81%
7
5
1
1
1
1
0
7
4-5
80%
3-4
4-8
75%
50%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.4
29.5
23.6
14
82%
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
4
6-8
75%
4-5
3-5
80%
57%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.5
22.0
25.6
5
83%
2
3
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
1-2
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.3
34.2
25.5
8
51%
7
6
1
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
29.0
25.9
21
67%
5
3
2
1
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
6-9
2-5
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
7.4
6.7
2
53%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.9
4.3
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.4
1.1
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.9
12.1
0
2-4
52%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.7
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
38.4
36.5
25
63%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
9-16
7-15
56%
48%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
38.3
32.5
21
61%
3
1
1
1
1
4
0
3
1-3
33%
7-11
5-10
64%
48%
2-5
40%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.2
35.0
21.5
10
46%
7
0
0
1
0
4
3
4
2-4
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.8
35.0
24.9
20
67%
4
12
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
7-13
4-8
54%
48%
2-2
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
28.3
34.6
6
43%
8
4
1
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
53%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.2
32.7
27.4
18
57%
3
2
0
1
1
1
3
0
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
13.1
23.2
2
17%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
46%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.9
11.3
17.0
5
51%
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.9
4.3
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.1
2.8
11.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.7
1.1
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.6
3.5
0
0-0
36%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.3
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.