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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 31, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Wizards32%9887
9Jazz68%104129
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
43.4
21.6
16
73%
4
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
46%
2-5
40%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
33.5
37.2
22
70%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-6
67%
6-10
6-13
60%
47%
2-3
67%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.0
25.1
33.7
9
51%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.6
24.8
12.8
6
33%
8
1
1
0
2
4
5
3
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.3
24.1
29.3
5
56%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
31.8
7.8
7
45%
5
2
1
0
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
27.5
17.6
18
79%
0
2
3
0
0
2
0
0
8-10
80%
5-7
3-6
71%
46%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.1
17.3
15.6
2
17%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-5
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.3
12.6
2.9
2
17%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-4
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
37.2
2
5-12
47%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.0
23.0
1
2-4
48%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
10.8
0
1-3
46%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
34.3
8.9
10
83%
4
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
2-3
67%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
30.3
16.9
29
81%
4
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
8-11
2-4
73%
49%
4-6
67%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.8
29.9
17.3
16
63%
9
5
2
0
1
1
3
6
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.8
28.1
37.9
12
55%
4
16
3
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
6-10
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.4
27.4
38.3
19
71%
2
1
0
1
2
3
1
1
1-1
100%
9-13
9-16
69%
56%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.1
27.3
27.1
4
40%
6
3
2
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.8
17.7
23.1
13
61%
5
1
2
1
0
2
3
2
5-6
83%
4-8
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.0
16.5
21.7
15
125%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
49%
3-3
100%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.9
8.9
6.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.2
8.2
3.2
5
64%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.3
6.0
4.2
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.3
5.3
18.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.