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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 1, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics67%96106
15Bulls33%9092
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.5
36.4
30.1
17
82%
1
2
1
1
1
3
1
0
1-3
33%
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
4-5
80%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.7
34.9
27.9
22
72%
2
6
0
1
1
2
1
1
3-3
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
49%
5-7
71%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
32.4
27.3
20
68%
7
2
1
1
4
1
2
5
4-4
100%
8-13
6-12
62%
52%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.1
30.0
26.3
9
77%
5
10
3
2
0
7
0
5
1-2
50%
4-5
5-9
80%
49%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.4
23.4
24.3
4
50%
9
1
0
0
0
1
0
9
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
59%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.2
23.7
19.8
11
70%
7
2
0
1
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
3-7
43%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.2
18.2
17.1
6
48%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.2
16.2
20.8
6
44%
6
0
0
0
1
1
5
1
4-4
100%
1-5
4-7
20%
54%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.4
14.3
12.2
6
52%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.2
5.5
11.1
2
41%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.9
5.0
14.1
3
38%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-4
25%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 38.5
9.2
0
1-2
43%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.0
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.6
37.4
14.4
24
63%
7
0
1
1
0
2
3
4
6-7
86%
9-16
2-4
56%
42%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
35.7
27.3
6
39%
8
3
3
1
1
3
3
5
2-4
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
33.6
34.1
10
41%
2
5
3
1
0
1
0
2
4-7
57%
3-9
6-13
33%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.2
29.8
32.6
9
46%
4
5
1
1
2
2
0
4
1-2
50%
1-6
3-7
17%
44%
2-3
67%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.2
20.6
25.9
2
15%
0
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-5
3-8
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.3
23.0
19.6
19
82%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
6-6
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
47%
3-7
43%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.9
17.7
21.6
4
40%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.6
16.8
12.8
4
69%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
16.0
25.4
9
56%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
44%
3-4
75%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.3
9.5
7.1
5
102%
1
0
2
0
1
3
1
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
2.7
0
0-1
42%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.6
2.2
0
0-1
42%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.3
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.