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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Hornets77%98106
29Heat23%8877
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.8
35.2
37.4
12
46%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
47%
4-9
44%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
34.0
37.0
22
56%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
6-6
100%
8-17
8-16
47%
50%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.5
33.8
34.3
20
88%
10
2
1
1
1
1
1
9
0-3
0%
10-10
4-7
100%
61%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.9
29.9
36.4
14
54%
5
10
1
2
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
5-10
6-13
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.6
21.9
24.0
5
31%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
1-4
25%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.9
19.4
10.0
11
58%
9
2
3
0
0
0
4
5
5-8
63%
3-4
1-2
75%
53%
0-2
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.5
19.4
19.6
6
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.4
18.1
19.8
4
41%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-6
25%
44%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.4
9.7
10.2
3
61%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.4
8.8
3.0
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.8
5.3
3.3
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.7
4.5
5.4
3
44%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
1-1
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.9
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
44.2
21.1
12
38%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
44%
2-8
25%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
40.5
36.8
7
60%
8
7
3
1
0
5
0
8
1-2
50%
0-2
3-7
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
35.8
32.5
18
60%
7
9
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
4-8
50%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
13.0
19.5
4
22%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
9.6
18.6
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.6
33.8
25.8
5
69%
12
0
0
1
4
2
2
10
3-6
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
24.8
17.0
15
51%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
0-5
1-3
0%
41%
3-7
43%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
20.1
9.6
7
42%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-3
33%
3-7
1-2
43%
50%
0-0
-
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
18.2
21.2
5
51%
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.4
10.2
0
1-2
46%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
10.2
0
2-3
56%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.4
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.