Final Win Prob. pScore
378%98
106
2922%88
77
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
121.887100.0
MIA logo Heat
87.58878.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA106
77
Q4 - 0:03.0NOHWright Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Pargo 6 AST)106
77
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)104
77
Q4 - 0:32.0NOHWright Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Pargo 5 AST)104
74
Q4 - 0:38.0NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
74
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Ahearn 14' Jump Shot102
74
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)102
74
Q4 - 0:53.0NOHMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 2102
74
Q4 - 0:53.0NOHBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)102
74
Q4 - 0:53.0MIALasme S.FOUL (P4.PN)101
74
Q4 - 0:59.0NOHHornets Rebound101
74
Q4 - 1:00NOHLasme BLOCK (1 BLK)101
74
Q4 - 1:09NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)101
74
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2101
74
Q4 - 1:12MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)101
74
Q4 - 1:12NOHAndersen P.FOUL (P1.PN)101
73
Q4 - 1:19NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)101
73
Q4 - 1:19NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)100
73
Q4 - 1:19MIALasme S.FOUL (P3.PN)100
73
Q4 - 1:19NOHAndersen Layup (2 PTS)100
73
Q4 - 1:21NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
73
Q4 - 1:22NOHMISS Andersen 7' Jump Shot98
73
Q4 - 1:36NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
73
Q4 - 1:38MIAMISS Quinn Driving Finger Roll Layup98
73
Q4 - 2:03NOHJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)98
73
Q4 - 2:17NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
73
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Ahearn 21' Jump Shot95
73
Q4 - 2:43MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
73
Q4 - 2:44NOHMISS Andersen 4' Hook Shot95
73
Q4 - 2:46NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
73
Q4 - 2:48NOHAnthony BLOCK (4 BLK)95
73
Q4 - 3:12NOHWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)95
73
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Ahearn 21' Jump Shot95
73
Q4 - 3:25NOHCook STEAL (1 STL)95
73
Q4 - 3:37NOHWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)95
73
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
73
Q4 - 3:49MIASUB: Lasme FOR Al. Johnson95
73
Q4 - 3:49MIAHEAT Rebound95
73
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Cook Driving Dunk95
73
Q4 - 4:03NOHJames 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)95
73
Q4 - 4:27MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)93
73
Q4 - 4:27MIASUB: Anthony FOR Davis93
72
Q4 - 4:27NOHSUB: Andersen FOR Chandler93
72
Q4 - 4:27NOHSUB: Bowen FOR Stojakovic93
72
Q4 - 4:27NOHPargo S.FOUL (P5.T4)93
72
Q4 - 4:27MIAAl. Johnson Layup (6 PTS) (Quinn 9 AST)93
72
Q4 - 4:45NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)93
70
Q4 - 4:48NOHWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)91
70
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS Al. Johnson Dunk91
70
Q4 - 4:54MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)91
70
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Ahearn 3PT Jump Shot91
70
Q4 - 5:20NOHPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)91
70
Q4 - 5:20NOHPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)90
70
Q4 - 5:20NOHSUB: James FOR Wells89
70
Q4 - 5:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)89
70
Q4 - 5:20MIAAhearn P.FOUL (P1.PN)89
70
Q4 - 5:21MIAQuinn Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)89
70
Q4 - 5:41NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)89
70
Q4 - 6:00MIAAhearn 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Quinn 8 AST)86
70
Q4 - 6:19NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)86
67
Q4 - 6:23NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
67
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS Ahearn 5' Running Jump Shot83
67
Q4 - 6:46MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)83
67
Q4 - 6:48NOHMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 283
67
Q4 - 6:48NOHWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
67
Q4 - 6:48MIAAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P3.PN)82
67
Q4 - 6:59NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
67
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 282
67
Q4 - 7:00MIAHEAT Rebound82
67
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 282
67
Q4 - 7:00MIASUB: Quinn FOR Anthony82
67
Q4 - 7:00NOHWells S.FOUL (P3.T3)82
67
Q4 - 7:00NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)82
67
Q4 - 7:15NOHHornets Rebound82
67
Q4 - 7:15NOHMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot82
67
Q4 - 7:38NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)82
67
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot82
67
Q4 - 7:50NOHPargo P.FOUL (P4.T2)82
67
Q4 - 8:04NOHWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
67
Q4 - 8:04NOHWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
67
Q4 - 8:04MIACook S.FOUL (P3.PN)80
67
Q4 - 8:07MIAAl. Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)80
67
Q4 - 8:09MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
67
Q4 - 8:11MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup80
67
Q4 - 8:32NOHChandler 5' Hook Shot (18 PTS)80
67
Q4 - 8:44MIASUB: Ahearn FOR Lasme78
67
Q4 - 8:44MIASUB: Davis FOR Quinn78
67
Q4 - 8:4478
67
Q4 - 8:44MIAAl. Johnson L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)78
67
Q4 - 8:44NOHWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)78
67
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Lasme 18' Jump Shot78
67
Q4 - 9:04NOHWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
67
Q4 - 9:04NOHHornets Rebound77
67
Q4 - 9:04NOHMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 277
67
Q4 - 9:04MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P4.T3)77
67
Q4 - 9:09MIAAl. Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)77
67
Q4 - 9:32NOHWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)77
67
Q4 - 9:32NOHHornets Rebound76
67
Q4 - 9:32NOHMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 276
67
Q4 - 9:32MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P3.T2)76
67
Q4 - 9:43NOHSUB: Chandler FOR Armstrong76
67
Q4 - 9:43NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR West76
67
Q4 - 9:43MIAAnthony Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)76
67
Q4 - 9:58NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)76
67
Q4 - 9:58NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
67
Q4 - 9:58MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Davis74
67
Q4 - 9:58MIALasme S.FOUL (P2.T1)74
67
Q4 - 10:15MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)74
67
Q4 - 10:29NOHLasme STEAL (1 STL)74
67
Q4 - 10:35NOHWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)74
67
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Lasme 19' Jump Shot74
67
Q4 - 10:47MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)74
67
Q4 - 10:48NOHMISS Wells 20' Jump Shot74
67
Q4 - 11:06NOHHornets Rebound74
67
Q4 - 11:07NOHAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)74
67
Q4 - 11:25MIALasme Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)74
67
Q4 - 11:25MIAHEAT Rebound74
66
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Lasme Free Throw 1 of 274
66
Q4 - 11:25NOHArmstrong S.FOUL (P4.T1)74
66
Q4 - 11:25MIALasme REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
66
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
66
Q4 - 11:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
66
Q4 - 11:42NOHMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot74
66
Q4 - 12:0074
66
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA74
66
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound74
66
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Davis 42' 3PT Jump Shot74
66
Q3 - 0:03.0NOHWest 10' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)74
66
Q3 - 0:17.0MIALasme P.FOUL (P1.T3)72
66
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)72
66
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAHEAT Rebound72
66
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
66
Q3 - 0:48.0NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P4.T2)72
66
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
66
Q3 - 0:56.0NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot72
66
Q3 - 1:04MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)72
66
Q3 - 1:25NOHWest 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)72
66
Q3 - 1:43MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)70
66
Q3 - 1:56NOHWells Foul Turnover (P1.T4)70
63
Q3 - 1:56NOHWells OFF.Foul (P2)70
63
Q3 - 2:09MIALasme Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)70
63
Q3 - 2:26NOHWest 5' Hook Shot (16 PTS)70
61
Q3 - 2:45NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)68
61
Q3 - 2:45MIADavis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 7 AST)68
61
Q3 - 2:52MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
58
Q3 - 2:53NOHMISS Stojakovic Layup68
58
Q3 - 3:09NOHSUB: Wells FOR Chandler68
58
Q3 - 3:09NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Peterson68
58
Q3 - 3:09MIAQuinn Violation:Kicked Ball68
58
Q3 - 3:20MIALasme Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)68
58
Q3 - 3:35MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
56
Q3 - 3:37NOHMISS Paul Driving Layup68
56
Q3 - 3:44NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
56
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Davis 10' Fadeaway Jumper68
56
Q3 - 3:53MIASUB: Lasme FOR Al. Johnson68
56
Q3 - 4:06MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
56
Q3 - 4:07NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
56
Q3 - 4:18NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
56
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Cook 11' Fadeaway Jumper68
56
Q3 - 4:27NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P3.T1)68
56
Q3 - 4:36MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
56
Q3 - 4:37NOHMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
56
Q3 - 4:57MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)68
56
Q3 - 5:18MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)68
53
Q3 - 5:19NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 268
53
Q3 - 5:19NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
53
Q3 - 5:19MIACook S.FOUL (P2.T2)67
53
Q3 - 5:31MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)67
53
Q3 - 5:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
50
Q3 - 5:40NOHMISS West Layup67
50
Q3 - 5:51NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
50
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot67
50
Q3 - 6:14NOHPaul Driving Layup (13 PTS)67
50
Q3 - 6:22MIAAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)65
50
Q3 - 6:35MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
50
Q3 - 6:36NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
50
Q3 - 6:56MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)65
50
Q3 - 7:03NOHDavis STEAL (3 STL)65
47
Q3 - 7:05NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
47
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot65
47
Q3 - 7:27NOHPaul 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
47
Q3 - 7:37MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)63
47
Q3 - 7:39NOHDavis STEAL (2 STL)63
47
Q3 - 7:45NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)63
47
Q3 - 7:46NOHMISS Peterson 22' Jump Shot63
47
Q3 - 7:54NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
47
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Quinn 11' Running Jump Shot63
47
Q3 - 8:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
47
Q3 - 8:02NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot63
47
Q3 - 8:07NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
47
Q3 - 8:08NOHAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)63
47
Q3 - 8:25MIAAl. Johnson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)63
47
Q3 - 8:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
45
Q3 - 8:35NOHMISS West 8' Running Jump Shot63
45
Q3 - 9:00MIAQuinn 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
45
Q3 - 9:08NOHDavis STEAL (1 STL)63
43
Q3 - 9:16MIAAnthony L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)63
43
Q3 - 9:16NOHHornets Rebound63
43
Q3 - 9:17NOHMISS Paul Layup63
43
Q3 - 9:30NOHHornets Rebound63
43
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Al. Johnson Dunk63
43
Q3 - 9:46MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount63
43
Q3 - 9:46MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Barron63
43
Q3 - 9:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)63
43
Q3 - 9:49NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)63
43
Q3 - 10:01MIABlount 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)60
43
Q3 - 10:16NOHPeterson Reverse Layup (5 PTS)60
41
Q3 - 10:31NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
41
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Barron 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
41
Q3 - 10:59NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)58
41
Q3 - 11:10NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
41
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Barron Layup56
41
Q3 - 11:20MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
41
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Blount Layup56
41
Q3 - 11:35NOHPaul Layup (9 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)56
41
Q3 - 11:40MIADavis Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)54
41
Q3 - 12:0054
41
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
41
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHHornets Violation: Delay of game Violation54
41
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)54
41
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAAnthony Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)52
41
Q2 - 0:27.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
39
Q2 - 0:28.0NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot52
39
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
39
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
39
Q2 - 0:48.0NOHPaul Driving Layup (7 PTS)52
39
Q2 - 0:52.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
39
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot50
39
Q2 - 1:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
39
Q2 - 1:07NOHMISS Paul 10' Jump Shot50
39
Q2 - 1:24NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
39
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 250
39
Q2 - 1:25MIASUB: Blount FOR Barron50
39
Q2 - 1:25MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
39
Q2 - 1:25NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P2.PN)50
38
Q2 - 1:37MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
38
Q2 - 1:38NOHMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
38
Q2 - 1:55MIAAhearn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)50
38
Q2 - 2:21NOHWest Driving Dunk (12 PTS)50
35
Q2 - 2:33MIASUB: Ahearn FOR Quinn48
35
Q2 - 2:33NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)48
35
Q2 - 2:33MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P3.T4)48
35
Q2 - 2:42MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)48
35
Q2 - 2:51MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
32
Q2 - 2:52NOHMISS West Tip Shot48
32
Q2 - 2:53NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
32
Q2 - 2:54NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
32
Q2 - 2:59NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
32
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
32
Q2 - 3:16NOHPaul 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)48
32
Q2 - 3:21NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
32
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot46
32
Q2 - 3:41NOHWest 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)46
32
Q2 - 3:56MIABarron Layup (4 PTS)44
32
Q2 - 3:57MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
30
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Barron Layup44
30
Q2 - 4:19NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)44
30
Q2 - 4:34MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
30
Q2 - 4:34MIAHEAT Rebound41
29
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 241
29
Q2 - 4:34NOHWest P.FOUL (P2.PN)41
29
Q2 - 4:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
29
Q2 - 4:35NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 241
29
Q2 - 4:35MIASUB: Anthony FOR Al. Johnson41
29
Q2 - 4:35NOHHornets Rebound41
29
Q2 - 4:35NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 241
29
Q2 - 4:35NOHSUB: West FOR Wright41
29
Q2 - 4:35NOHSUB: Peterson FOR Bowen41
29
Q2 - 4:35MIASUB: Cook FOR Ahearn41
29
Q2 - 4:35MIABarron S.FOUL (P2.T3)41
29
Q2 - 4:45NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
29
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot41
29
Q2 - 5:06MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
29
Q2 - 5:07NOHMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
29
Q2 - 5:21MIABarron 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)41
29
Q2 - 5:46NOHPaul 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)41
27
Q2 - 5:50NOHWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)38
27
Q2 - 5:51NOHMISS Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot38
27
Q2 - 5:55NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Wells38
27
Q2 - 5:5538
27
Q2 - 6:10MIAAhearn Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
27
Q2 - 6:10MIAAhearn Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
26
Q2 - 6:10NOHSUB: Paul FOR Pargo38
25
Q2 - 6:10NOHPargo P.FOUL (P3.PN)38
25
Q2 - 6:15MIAAhearn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
25
Q2 - 6:17NOHMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot38
25
Q2 - 6:27MIAQuinn 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
25
Q2 - 6:48NOHPargo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
23
Q2 - 6:59MIAAhearn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
23
Q2 - 6:59MIAAhearn Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
22
Q2 - 6:59NOHPargo P.FOUL (P2.PN)36
21
Q2 - 7:20NOHWells Dunk (6 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)36
21
Q2 - 7:24NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
21
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup34
21
Q2 - 7:38MIAAhearn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
21
Q2 - 7:39NOHMISS Wells 15' Jump Shot34
21
Q2 - 8:03MIAAhearn Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
21
Q2 - 8:03MIAAhearn Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
20
Q2 - 8:03MIASUB: Barron FOR Blount34
19
Q2 - 8:03NOHPargo P.FOUL (P1.PN)34
19
Q2 - 8:03MIAHEAT Rebound34
19
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot34
19
Q2 - 8:15MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
19
Q2 - 8:16NOHMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
19
Q2 - 8:23MIASUB: Davis FOR Cook34
19
Q2 - 8:23MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P1.T2)34
19
Q2 - 8:36NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
19
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
19
Q2 - 8:48NOHBowen P.FOUL (P1.T4)34
19
Q2 - 8:55NOHSUB: Bowen FOR West34
19
Q2 - 8:55MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)34
19
Q2 - 9:04NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)34
19
Q2 - 9:18NOHWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)32
19
Q2 - 9:19NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot32
19
Q2 - 9:36MIAQuinn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ahearn 2 AST)32
19
Q2 - 9:51NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
17
Q2 - 9:51MIASUB: Blount FOR Anthony31
17
Q2 - 9:51NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
17
Q2 - 9:51MIACook S.FOUL (P1.T1)30
17
Q2 - 9:53NOHWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
17
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS Ahearn 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
17
Q2 - 10:13NOHSUB: Chandler FOR Armstrong30
17
Q2 - 10:13MIASUB: Quinn FOR Davis30
17
Q2 - 10:13NOHArmstrong P.FOUL (P3.T3)30
17
Q2 - 10:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
17
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot30
17
Q2 - 10:26NOHWright Dunk (2 PTS)30
17
Q2 - 10:28NOHWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
17
Q2 - 10:30NOHMISS West 6' Jump Shot28
17
Q2 - 10:37NOHWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
17
Q2 - 10:39NOHMISS Wright 6' Running Jump Shot28
17
Q2 - 10:46NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
17
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Ahearn 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
17
Q2 - 11:02NOHArmstrong P.FOUL (P2.T2)28
17
Q2 - 11:17NOHWells 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
17
Q2 - 11:32MIAAhearn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)26
17
Q2 - 11:42NOHWest P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
14
Q2 - 12:0026
14
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH26
14
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound26
14
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Wells 22' Jump Shot26
14
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAAl. Johnson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)26
14
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
12
Q1 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
12
Q1 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Lasme26
12
Q1 - 0:39.0MIADavis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)26
12
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
12
Q1 - 0:53.0NOHAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)26
12
Q1 - 1:02MIAAhearn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
12
Q1 - 1:27NOHWells 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)26
12
Q1 - 1:47NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
12
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 224
12
Q1 - 1:48MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
12
Q1 - 1:48NOHArmstrong S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
11
Q1 - 1:48MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
11
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Ahearn Driving Layup24
11
Q1 - 1:57NOHWells P.FOUL (P1.T2)24
11
Q1 - 2:04NOHArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
11
Q1 - 2:04MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.PN)23
11
Q1 - 2:04NOHArmstrong Layup (2 PTS)23
11
Q1 - 2:12NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
11
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
11
Q1 - 2:31NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Chandler21
11
Q1 - 2:31NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
11
Q1 - 2:36MIALasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
11
Q1 - 2:37NOHMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
11
Q1 - 2:53NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
11
Q1 - 2:54MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot21
11
Q1 - 3:01MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
11
Q1 - 3:02NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot21
11
Q1 - 3:18MIACook 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ahearn 1 AST)21
11
Q1 - 3:30NOHSUB: Wells FOR Peterson21
9
Q1 - 3:30NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P1.T1)21
9
Q1 - 3:39MIALasme REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9
Q1 - 3:41NOHMISS Stojakovic 16' Fadeaway Jumper21
9
Q1 - 4:01NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
9
Q1 - 4:02MIAMISS Ahearn 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
9
Q1 - 4:24NOHChandler Dunk (12 PTS)21
9
Q1 - 4:25NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
9
Q1 - 4:26NOHMISS Peterson 6' Jump Shot19
9
Q1 - 4:29NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
9
Q1 - 4:31NOHMISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot19
9
Q1 - 4:50MIACook 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
9
Q1 - 5:13NOHWest 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)19
7
Q1 - 5:41MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)17
7
Q1 - 6:02NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)17
4
Q1 - 6:07MIASUB: Ahearn FOR Quinn14
4
Q1 - 6:07MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P2.T4)14
4
Q1 - 6:12NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
4
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Quinn 15' Jump Shot14
4
Q1 - 6:36MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
4
Q1 - 6:37NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
4
Q1 - 6:47MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P1.T3)14
4
Q1 - 6:47NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
4
Q1 - 6:48NOHMISS West 6' Jump Shot14
4
Q1 - 7:08NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
4
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
4
Q1 - 7:25MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
4
Q1 - 7:28NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot14
4
Q1 - 7:45MIACook 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)14
4
Q1 - 7:51MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount14
2
Q1 - 7:51MIASUB: Lasme FOR Barron14
2
Q1 - 7:51MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)14
2
Q1 - 7:58NOHChandler 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
2
Q1 - 8:16MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
2
Q1 - 8:29MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
2
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Blount Driving Hook Shot12
2
Q1 - 8:56NOHChandler 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
2
Q1 - 9:13NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
2
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot10
2
Q1 - 9:31MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)10
2
Q1 - 9:38NOHWest 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
2
Q1 - 9:51NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 10:06NOHChandler Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)8
2
Q1 - 10:17MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)6
2
Q1 - 10:38NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)6
0
Q1 - 10:57MIAQuinn Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 11:12NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
0
Q1 - 11:12NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
0
Q1 - 11:12MIABlount S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
0
Q1 - 11:24NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Barron 13' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:37MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:40NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 12
0
Q1 - 11:40MIABarron S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:40NOHChandler Dunk (2 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Chandler: Tip to Paul0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.08 54.1%
MIA
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
23
33
70%
MIA
6
18
33%
Midrange
NOH
11
34
32%
MIA
10
29
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIA
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
Free Throws
NOH
17
25
68%
MIA
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2255%11.0 / 20
T. Chandler2091%10.0 / 11
C. Paul1454%7.0 / 13
P. Stojakovic1246%6.0 / 13
J. Wright1155%5.5 / 10
B. Wells650%3.0 / 6
M. Peterson531%2.5 / 8
M. James563%2.5 / 4
J. Pargo440%2.0 / 5
H. Armstrong375%1.5 / 2
C. Andersen350%1.5 / 3
R. Bowen150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Quinn1860%9.0 / 15
B. Ahearn1550%7.5 / 15
D. Cook1238%6.0 / 16
R. Davis758%3.5 / 6
A. Johnson744%3.5 / 8
J. Anthony563%2.5 / 4
S. Lasme550%2.5 / 5
E. Barron422%2.0 / 9
M. Blount440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
81
+17
-6
98
MIA
75
+12
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.08 54.1%
MIA
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
100.2
NOH 121.8 +34.3
MIA 87.5
Pace
90.5
90.5
NOH 100.0 +21.4
MIA 78.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
NOH 14.4 −3.9
MIA 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
48.2%
NOH 52.4% +8.5%
MIA 43.9%
TO %
12.4%
15.4%
NOH 6.8% −7.7%
MIA 14.5%
ORB %
27.1%
22.2%
NOH 27.3% +9.9%
MIA 17.4%
FTrt
25.1
30.0
NOH 29.4 +3.7
MIA 25.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
58.5%
NOH 53.7%
MIA 74.1% +20.4%
STL %
8.6%
7.9%
NOH 8.0% +2.3%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
6.4%
7.1%
NOH 4.3%
MIA 7.5% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
50.6%
NOH 54.1% +9.8%
MIA 44.3%
Rim FG%
58.2%
59.2%
NOH 69.7% +36.4%
MIA 33.3%
Mid FG%
43.1%
38.8%
NOH 32.4%
MIA 34.5% +2.1%
3P %
38.9%
35.8%
NOH 38.9%
MIA 40.7% +1.8%
FT %
76.9%
72.7%
NOH 68.0% +4.8%
MIA 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
30.2%
NOH 38.8% +14.5%
MIA 24.3%
Mid Att. %
46.5%
48.1%
NOH 40.0%
MIA 39.2% −0.8%
3P Att. %
23.9%
21.7%
NOH 21.2%
MIA 36.5% +15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes20.926.9
Points10677
Rebounds5040
Assists2220
Steals75
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)6 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)32 (0)
Field Goals41-8527-74
At-the-Rim FG23-336-18
Midrange FG11-3410-29
2-Point FG34-6716-47
3-Point FG7-1811-27
Free Throws17-2512-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 229 · 31
35.2
12
46%
3
0
1
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
0%
4-9
44%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
34.0
22
55%
6
0
0
0
1
2
3
3
6-6
100%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 240 · 26
33.8
20
91%
10
2
1
1
1
0
1
9
0-3
0%
10-10
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
29.9
14
54%
5
10
1
0
1
0
0
5
1-2
50%
5-10
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 220 · 31
21.9
5
31%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 225 · 21
19.4
11
55%
9
2
3
0
0
0
4
5
5-8
63%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32
19.4
6
50%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 28
18.1
4
40%
3
6
0
0
2
5
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23
9.7
3
75%
2
0
1
0
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 32
8.8
1
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 33
5.3
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30
4.5
3
50%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#33 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · F · 6'7" 215 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
54%
50
22
7
2
6
0
12
38
17-25
68%
34-67
51%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.