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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Knicks41%97114
28Grizzlies59%100130
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
39.3
34.7
24
48%
4
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
6-7
86%
6-13
5-11
46%
45%
2-9
22%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.9
27.4
31.7
19
65%
10
0
3
1
0
1
5
5
5-6
83%
7-12
5-9
58%
57%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
27.1
18.8
27
71%
10
2
1
0
0
3
5
5
6-7
86%
9-15
4-9
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.4
26.3
25.9
9
49%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
3-5
60%
3-7
3-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.0
3.9
26.9
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.9
29.8
28.8
6
29%
9
3
0
1
0
1
2
7
2-3
67%
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
0-2
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 29.1
23.6
21.1
6
43%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
23.4
13.8
11
81%
6
2
3
1
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
4-5
2-3
80%
53%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
21.1
10.3
6
43%
1
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.8
12.3
17.4
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.4
5.6
8.8
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
39%
0-1
0%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.2
0.3
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.1
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.3
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
29.5
26.3
15
76%
6
4
1
1
0
3
0
6
1-2
50%
1-1
3-5
100%
56%
4-8
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
24.5
38.0
21
80%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
5-5
100%
5-7
7-13
71%
52%
2-4
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.5
20.4
22.5
18
90%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-6
3-6
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.7
16.3
28.4
11
94%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
5-9
75%
55%
1-1
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.8
1.9
22.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
4-7
-
49%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.3
31.2
24.7
23
82%
9
4
1
1
0
3
1
8
7-7
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
2-3
67%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.1
30.2
3.4
11
50%
8
3
0
0
0
2
0
8
1-7
14%
5-8
0-1
63%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.0
27.6
25.6
11
65%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
21.2
4.9
2
20%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.8
18.8
19.5
16
102%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
4-6
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.3
12.8
19.5
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
5.6
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-2
0%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.