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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 3, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets65%9495
21Trail Blazers35%8986
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.9
43.0
38.5
35
58%
6
5
2
1
1
3
1
5
3-3
100%
10-23
8-17
43%
48%
4-6
67%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
31.2
37.6
9
75%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
3-4
75%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.8
26.0
19.9
11
64%
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
3
5-6
83%
3-6
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.9
25.4
31.9
0
0%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
6-11
0%
53%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.1
23.1
14.6
11
56%
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
1-4
25%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.4
27.4
15.5
11
76%
5
2
0
0
0
4
0
5
4-5
80%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.2
24.9
2.5
12
55%
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
0-0
40%
48%
2-5
40%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.5
20.0
17.5
4
50%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
56%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.8
18.6
19.6
2
50%
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 24.8
0.3
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.8
0.3
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 29.8
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.1
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.5
42.4
33.2
14
35%
6
2
2
1
2
2
0
6
3-4
75%
4-15
6-14
27%
44%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.1
42.1
31.1
12
47%
5
4
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
43%
0-2
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.7
40.0
36.1
23
57%
4
3
2
1
0
3
1
3
2-3
67%
9-18
8-17
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.5
38.8
27.5
6
51%
15
0
0
0
1
0
2
13
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
54%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
38.4
24.5
19
62%
4
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
6-12
2-5
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.9
17.2
12.9
12
56%
6
2
0
0
0
0
4
2
6-6
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.5
15.0
21.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.8
6.1
11.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.3
27.8
1
2-5
45%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.7
11.7
0
2-4
47%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.7
3.0
0
0-1
41%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.2
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.