for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Heat20%8995
17Wizards80%100109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
44.3
37.0
33
98%
1
8
1
1
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
9-12
75%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
42.0
33.1
24
64%
2
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-9
3-6
33%
44%
5-8
63%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
41.2
29.3
13
43%
5
5
2
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
3-10
30%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.3
29.9
15.3
3
25%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
15.1
17.3
6
38%
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
24.9
28.2
4
45%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
15.8
13.7
9
69%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
5-8
63%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
15.6
19.6
3
150%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-1
100%
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
11.3
19.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
10.0
0
2-3
55%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.4
9.8
0
1-2
46%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.4
7.2
0
1-1
48%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.1
44.0
30.5
29
67%
3
5
3
2
0
4
0
3
5-8
63%
9-14
5-9
64%
50%
2-4
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.4
39.9
27.2
14
81%
8
1
0
1
4
1
5
3
6-6
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
56%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.0
33.5
28.4
12
55%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
4-7
57%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.1
28.0
15.9
12
51%
8
6
2
1
1
2
3
5
4-4
100%
4-10
3-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.0
27.1
17.0
4
41%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.6
25.1
18.0
17
96%
7
1
0
1
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
51%
1-1
100%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
20.2
15.3
13
60%
5
8
0
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
3-5
60%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
8.1
25.4
6
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
2-2
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
7.7
17.9
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
4.0
12.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.3
2.5
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
35.1
1
6-11
50%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.