Final Win Prob. pScore
2920%89
95
1780%100
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
117.38184.1
WAS logo Wizards
134.68178.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS95
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Lasme 18' Jump Shot95
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAHeat Rebound95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0WASMISS Young 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0WASSUB: Young FOR Daniels94
109
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHeat Rebound94
109
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 294
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0WASBlatche P.FOUL (P4.PN)94
109
Q4 - 0:56.0WASBlatche Layup (17 PTS) (Songaila 6 AST)94
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T13)94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAAnthony OFF.Foul (P5)94
107
Q4 - 1:27WASSUB: McGuire FOR Butler94
107
Q4 - 1:28MIAHeat Rebound94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30WASMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 294
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 2)94
107
Q4 - 1:30WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)94
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30WASSUB: Blatche FOR Haywood94
106
Q4 - 1:30MIASUB: Ahearn FOR Davis94
106
Q4 - 1:30MIALasme P.FOUL (P1.PN)94
106
Q4 - 1:45MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Cook 5 AST)94
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04WASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)91
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 2:44MIASUB: Lasme FOR Blount91
103
Q4 - 2:44MIASUB: Quinn FOR Ahearn91
103
Q4 - 2:44WASSUB: Songaila FOR Blatche91
103
Q4 - 2:44WASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Stevenson91
103
Q4 - 2:44WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)91
103
Q4 - 2:44WASWIZARDS Rebound91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45WASMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot91
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 3:06MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Ahearn 2 AST)91
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 3:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30WASMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:09MIAAhearn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:10WASMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:29WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Blount 2' Layup88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:34MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 5:00WASButler 1' Driving Dunk (28 PTS)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 5:05MIAButler STEAL (3 STL)88
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 5:14WASStevenson P.FOUL (P1.T4)88
101
Q4 - 5:21MIASUB: Cook FOR Quinn88
101
Q4 - 5:21WASSUB: Daniels FOR Arenas88
101
Q4 - 5:2188
101
Q4 - 5:21WASHaywood L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)88
101
Q4 - 5:21MIAHeat Rebound88
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 5:43MIAAhearn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 5:44WASMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 5:54WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMISS Blount 7' Jump Shot88
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 6:11WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 6:11WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)88
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 6:11MIADavis S.FOUL (P1.T4)88
99
Q4 - 6:23WASWIZARDS Rebound88
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 6:23WASMISS Blatche 4' Jump Shot88
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 6:31WASArenas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)88
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 6:32WASMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 6:47MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Ahearn 1 AST)88
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 6:59WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)85
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 6:59WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)85
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 6:59MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P4.T3)85
97
Q4 - 7:19WASWIZARDS Rebound85
97
Q4 - 7:19WASJump Ball Blatche vs. Anthony: Tip to Butler85
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q4 - 7:19MIASUB: Ahearn FOR Cook85
97
Q4 - 7:19MIABlatche BLOCK (1 BLK)85
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 7:20MIAHeat Rebound85
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 7:21MIAHaywood BLOCK (4 BLK)85
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 7:46WASButler 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Arenas 8 AST)85
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 8:10WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q4 - 8:11MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 8:17MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q4 - 8:18WASMISS Stevenson 6' Jump Shot85
4.5%
94
95.5%
Q4 - 8:43MIABlount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 8 AST)85
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q4 - 9:00MIASUB: Anthony FOR Al. Johnson82
94
Q4 - 9:00MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)82
94
Q4 - 9:00WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)82
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 9:14MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Quinn 8 AST)82
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 9:21WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 9:21WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 9:21MIACook S.FOUL (P2.T2)79
92
Q4 - 9:23WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 9:25MIAHaywood BLOCK (3 BLK)79
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 9:42WASButler 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS)79
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 9:57MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q4 - 9:57MIAHeat Rebound78
90
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 278
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 9:57WASHaywood S.FOUL (P2.T2)78
90
Q4 - 10:07MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)78
90
Q4 - 10:19WASBlatche 2' Dunk (15 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)78
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 10:28WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 278
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 10:29WASSUB: Haywood FOR Young78
88
Q4 - 10:29MIAHeat Rebound78
88
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 278
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 10:29WASButler S.FOUL (P3.T1)78
88
Q4 - 10:46MIAHeat Rebound78
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 10:47WASMISS Arenas 16' Jump Shot78
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 10:54WASSUB: Stevenson FOR Pecherov78
88
Q4 - 10:54MIABlount P.FOUL (P3.T1)78
88
Q4 - 11:07MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 7 AST)78
4.3%
88
95.7%
Q4 - 11:22MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 11:23WASMISS Pecherov 17' Jump Shot75
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 11:43MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Cook 4 AST)75
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 12:0072
88
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS72
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
88
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)72
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0WASArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)69
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)69
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0WASWIZARDS Rebound69
84
Q3 - 0:44.0WASMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 269
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P1.PN)69
84
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)69
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 1:03WASButler P.FOUL (P2.T2)66
84
Q3 - 1:03MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 1:03WASMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 1:20MIAQuinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)66
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 1:27WASSUB: Pecherov FOR Haywood63
84
Q3 - 1:39WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)63
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 1:39WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)63
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 1:39MIACook S.FOUL (P1.T2)63
82
Q3 - 1:59MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)63
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 2:07WASSUB: Young FOR Stevenson63
82
Q3 - 2:07MIASUB: Blount FOR Anthony63
82
Q3 - 2:07MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)63
82
Q3 - 2:11WASWIZARDS Violation: Delay of game Violation63
82
Q3 - 2:12WASHaywood 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Arenas 7 AST)63
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 2:16WASArenas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 2:17WASMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 2:35MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)63
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 2:56MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 2:57WASMISS Arenas Layup60
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 3:00WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 3:01WASMISS Arenas Layup60
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 3:14MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)60
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 3:22MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Lasme60
80
Q3 - 3:22MIAHeat Rebound60
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Quinn 9' Jump Shot60
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 3:46WASBlatche 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)60
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 4:08MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)60
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 4:24WASButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)58
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 4:35WASSUB: Blatche FOR Songaila58
74
Q3 - 4:35WASSUB: Arenas FOR Daniels58
74
Q3 - 4:35MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)58
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 4:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 4:42WASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 5:04WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)58
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 5:20WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)58
74
Q3 - 5:20WASButler P.FOUL (P1.T1)58
74
Q3 - 5:36WASHaywood 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)58
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 5:38WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)58
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 5:39WASMISS Songaila 12' Jump Shot58
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 6:10MIADavis 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 6:32WASHaywood Putback Layup (6 PTS)56
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 6:34WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)56
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 6:35WASMISS Songaila 2' Layup56
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 6:45WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 6:46MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot56
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 6:53MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 6:55WASMISS Stevenson 1' Layup56
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 7:15MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)56
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 7:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q3 - 7:21WASMISS Songaila Layup53
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 7:23WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 7:24WASMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot53
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 7:49MIACook 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)53
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 8:15WASDaniels 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)51
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 8:18WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 8:19MIAHaywood BLOCK (2 BLK)51
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 8:41MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 8:42WASMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 8:54MIASongaila STEAL (2 STL)51
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 8:56MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Lasme 18' Jump Shot51
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 9:06WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 9:06WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)51
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 9:06MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount51
66
Q3 - 9:06MIASUB: Lasme FOR Barron51
66
Q3 - 9:06MIABlount S.FOUL (P2.T1)51
66
Q3 - 9:32MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 9:51WASHaywood 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Songaila 5 AST)48
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q3 - 10:17MIAQuinn 10' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 10:35WASSongaila Layup (12 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)46
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 10:50MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)46
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q3 - 11:12WASSongaila Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)44
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q3 - 11:25WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot44
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q3 - 11:42WASSongaila 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)44
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q3 - 12:0044
60
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0WASYoung Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)44
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIADavis Layup (13 PTS)44
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0WASSongaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0WASSUB: McGuire FOR Butler42
59
Q2 - 0:35.0MIASUB: Lasme FOR Anthony42
59
Q2 - 0:35.0WASSUB: Blatche FOR Haywood42
59
Q2 - 0:35.0WASSongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
2.7%
59
97.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P3.PN)42
58
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAAhearn P.FOUL (P2.T4)42
58
Q2 - 1:05MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q2 - 1:05MIASUB: Anthony FOR Barron41
58
Q2 - 1:05MIASUB: Ahearn FOR Cook41
58
Q2 - 1:05MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
3.2%
58
96.8%
Q2 - 1:05WASYoung P.FOUL (P3.PN)40
58
Q2 - 1:13WASArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
2.8%
58
97.2%
Q2 - 1:18WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q2 - 1:23MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q2 - 1:25WASMISS Butler 1' Layup40
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 1:39MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)40
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 1:52MIASUB: Quinn FOR Ahearn37
55
Q2 - 1:52WASYoung P.FOUL (P2.T4)37
55
Q2 - 2:01WASButler 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Songaila 4 AST)37
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 2:10WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 2:11MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
3.5%
53
96.5%
Q2 - 2:30WASYoung 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Arenas 5 AST)37
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q2 - 2:35WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
4.2%
51
95.8%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot37
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 2:50WASYoung P.FOUL (P1.T3)37
51
Q2 - 2:51MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)37
51
Q2 - 2:59WASButler 2' Driving Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Young 1 AST)37
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q2 - 3:15WASSUB: Young FOR Stevenson37
49
Q2 - 3:15WASSUB: Arenas FOR Daniels37
49
Q2 - 3:15MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)37
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q2 - 3:15MIAHeat Rebound37
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot37
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 3:40MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q2 - 3:41WASMISS Songaila 16' Jump Shot37
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 3:54WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q2 - 3:55WASMISS Stevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 4:03WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot37
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 4:10MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q2 - 4:11WASMISS Songaila 3' Layup37
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 4:22MIASUB: Blount FOR Anthony37
49
Q2 - 4:22MIASUB: Davis FOR Lasme37
49
Q2 - 4:22WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q2 - 4:23WASMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot37
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 4:32MIAButler STEAL (2 STL)37
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q2 - 4:51WASButler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)37
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q2 - 4:57MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)37
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 5:18WASSongaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 5:18WASSongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 5:18MIASUB: Barron FOR Quinn37
45
Q2 - 5:18MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T3)37
45
Q2 - 5:24WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot37
9.2%
45
90.8%
Q2 - 5:42WASSongaila Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
9.8%
45
90.2%
Q2 - 6:00MIALasme Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)37
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 6:16WASButler 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Songaila 3 AST)37
10.1%
45
89.9%
Q2 - 6:24MIAAhearn P.FOUL (P1.T2)37
43
Q2 - 6:40MIASUB: Cook FOR Al. Johnson37
43
Q2 - 6:40MIASUB: Lasme FOR Davis37
43
Q2 - 6:40WASSUB: Songaila FOR Blatche37
43
Q2 - 6:40WASSUB: Stevenson FOR Mason Jr.37
43
Q2 - 6:40WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
43
Q2 - 6:43MIAAl. Johnson 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)37
11.0%
43
89.0%
Q2 - 6:45MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Quinn 2' Layup35
9.3%
43
90.7%
Q2 - 7:02WASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
10.0%
43
90.0%
Q2 - 7:24MIAAhearn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)35
9.0%
43
91.0%
Q2 - 7:49WASMason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)32
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 8:01MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q2 - 8:01MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 8:01WASBlatche S.FOUL (P3.T2)30
40
Q2 - 8:25WASBlatche 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)30
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 8:45MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P1.T1)30
38
Q2 - 8:45WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 8:46MIAHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)30
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 9:05MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 9:06WASMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot30
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 9:26MIAAl. Johnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)30
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 9:46WASButler 12' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)28
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 10:09MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Al. Johnson 1 AST)28
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 10:23WASSUB: Butler FOR McGuire25
36
Q2 - 10:23WASSUB: Daniels FOR Arenas25
36
Q2 - 10:23MIASUB: Ahearn FOR Cook25
36
Q2 - 10:23MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)25
36
Q2 - 10:31WASBlatche 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
7.7%
36
92.3%
Q2 - 10:43WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
8.5%
34
91.5%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 11:05WASArenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
9.6%
34
90.4%
Q2 - 11:12WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 11:13WASMISS Mason Jr. 17' Jump Shot25
12.2%
31
87.8%
Q2 - 11:29WASMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 125
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q2 - 11:30WASBlatche S.FOUL (P2.T1)25
31
Q2 - 11:30MIAAnthony 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)25
31
Q2 - 11:46WASArenas 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGuire 1 AST)23
10.5%
31
89.5%
Q2 - 12:0023
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
11.5%
29
88.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound23
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Quinn 32' 3PT Jump Shot23
11.8%
29
88.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0WASStevenson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)23
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0WASHaywood S.FOUL (P1.PN)21
26
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)21
26
Q1 - 0:42.0WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
13.5%
26
86.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0WASSUB: McGuire FOR Butler21
25
Q1 - 0:42.0WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T3)21
24
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
15.0%
24
85.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0WASSUB: Haywood FOR Songaila20
24
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
14.6%
24
85.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Blount19
24
Q1 - 0:47.0WASBlatche S.FOUL (P1.T1)19
24
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot19
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 1:21WASBlatche 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)19
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 1:26WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
15.0%
22
85.0%
Q1 - 1:28MIASongaila BLOCK (1 BLK)19
15.3%
22
84.7%
Q1 - 1:51WASButler 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)19
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 1:56WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
17.6%
20
82.4%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot19
17.9%
20
82.1%
Q1 - 2:19WASStevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)19
18.7%
20
81.3%
Q1 - 2:43MIACook 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)19
21.9%
17
78.1%
Q1 - 2:48WASArenas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)17
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 2:56WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
19.3%
17
80.7%
Q1 - 3:17MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 3:18WASMISS Arenas 2' Layup17
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 3:24MIASongaila STEAL (1 STL)17
18.6%
17
81.4%
Q1 - 3:28MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
17
Q1 - 3:35WASBlatche 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)17
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 3:52WASSUB: Blatche FOR Haywood17
15
Q1 - 3:52MIAQuinn Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)17
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 4:04WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 4:04WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
22.8%
14
77.2%
Q1 - 4:04MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Barron17
13
Q1 - 4:04WASSUB: Arenas FOR Daniels17
13
Q1 - 4:04MIABlount S.FOUL (P1.T2)17
13
Q1 - 4:30MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)17
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 4:49WASStevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Songaila 2 AST)14
21.0%
13
79.0%
Q1 - 5:13MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)14
23.6%
10
76.4%
Q1 - 5:38WASButler Dunk (3 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)11
21.0%
10
79.0%
Q1 - 5:57MIAQuinn 13' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)11
22.1%
8
77.9%
Q1 - 6:22WASStevenson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)9
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 6:50MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)9
22.9%
5
77.1%
Q1 - 7:04WASButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)6
20.3%
5
79.7%
Q1 - 7:07WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
19.1%
5
80.9%
Q1 - 7:08MIAMISS Barron 3' Layup6
19.5%
5
80.5%
Q1 - 7:20WASHaywood Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
20.3%
5
79.7%
Q1 - 7:31WASWIZARDS Rebound6
19.2%
5
80.8%
Q1 - 7:31WASMISS Haywood 14' Jump Shot6
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 7:50WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
19.2%
5
80.8%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
19.5%
5
80.5%
Q1 - 8:05WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
20.0%
5
80.0%
Q1 - 8:19MIABarron Layup (4 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)6
19.1%
5
80.9%
Q1 - 8:40WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
18.3%
5
81.7%
Q1 - 8:40WASWIZARDS Rebound4
4
Q1 - 8:40WASMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 24
18.4%
4
81.6%
Q1 - 8:40MIABarron S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 8:47WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
18.4%
4
81.6%
Q1 - 8:48WASMISS Stevenson 5' Jump Shot4
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 8:56WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)4
4
Q1 - 9:05MIABarron 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
18.4%
4
81.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)2
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Barron 1' Layup2
17.3%
4
82.7%
Q1 - 9:12MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot2
17.3%
4
82.7%
Q1 - 9:31WASSongaila 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)2
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 9:52MIAQuinn 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)2
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 10:12MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
18.4%
2
81.6%
Q1 - 10:13WASMISS Daniels 5' Jump Shot0
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 10:17WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 10:18WASMISS Haywood 7' Jump Shot0
18.3%
2
81.7%
Q1 - 10:31WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
18.3%
2
81.7%
Q1 - 10:57MIABarron Violation:Defensive Goaltending0
2
Q1 - 10:57WASSongaila 2' Layup (2 PTS)0
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 10:57WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
19.3%
0
80.7%
Q1 - 10:58WASMISS Songaila 3' Layup0
19.5%
0
80.5%
Q1 - 11:09WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.3%
0
80.7%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Barron 17' Jump Shot0
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 11:19MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.7%
0
80.3%
Q1 - 11:21WASMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot0
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 11:28WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 11:29MIAMISS Barron 1' Layup0
19.7%
0
80.3%
Q1 - 11:37MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
19.9%
0
80.1%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMISS Quinn 8' Jump Shot0
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Haywood vs. Blount: Tip to Quinn0
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.9%
WAS
1.25 62.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
7
17
41%
WAS
19
31
61%
Midrange
MIA
7
23
30%
WAS
7
20
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
19
28.5
32
59%
89%
WAS
12
18.0
22
55%
82%
Free Throws
MIA
10
15
67%
WAS
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis3397%16.5 / 17
C. Quinn2463%12.0 / 19
D. Cook1343%6.5 / 15
A. Johnson964%4.5 / 7
E. Barron638%3.0 / 8
J. Anthony450%2.0 / 4
M. Blount325%1.5 / 6
B. Ahearn3150%1.5 / 1
S. Lasme0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2966%14.5 / 22
A. Blatche1794%8.5 / 9
B. Haywood1478%7.0 / 9
G. Arenas1359%6.5 / 11
D. Stevenson1255%6.0 / 11
D. Songaila1250%6.0 / 12
R. Mason Jr.6100%3.0 / 3
A. Daniels440%2.0 / 5
N. Young250%1.0 / 2
O. Pecherov0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
69
+12
-12
81
WAS
71
+15
-10
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.9%
WAS
1.25 62.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
108.3
MIA 117.3
WAS 134.6 +17.3
Pace
90.5
90.4
MIA 84.1 +6.0
WAS 78.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.3
MIA 17.1 −1.3
WAS 18.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.9%
MIA 59.0%
WAS 60.3% +1.3%
TO %
15.4%
13.8%
MIA 14.2%
WAS 10.7% −3.5%
ORB %
22.2%
28.9%
MIA 20.0%
WAS 40.0% +20.0%
FTrt
30.0
29.7
MIA 20.8
WAS 32.9 +12.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
53.8%
MIA 78.8% +5.1%
WAS 73.7%
STL %
7.9%
8.4%
MIA 11.1% +4.9%
WAS 6.2%
BLK %
7.1%
8.2%
MIA 7.8%
WAS 15.0% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.1%
MIA 57.9%
WAS 62.6% +4.7%
Rim FG%
59.2%
59.0%
MIA 41.2%
WAS 61.3% +20.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
38.4%
MIA 30.4%
WAS 35.0% +4.6%
3P %
35.8%
35.6%
MIA 59.4% +4.9%
WAS 54.5%
FT %
72.7%
78.2%
MIA 66.7%
WAS 87.5% +20.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
33.3%
MIA 23.6%
WAS 42.5% +18.9%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
42.6%
MIA 31.9%
WAS 27.4% −4.5%
3P Att. %
21.7%
24.1%
MIA 44.4% +14.3%
WAS 30.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions8181
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points95109
Rebounds2540
Assists2628
Steals95
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)28 (1)
Field Goals33-7238-73
At-the-Rim FG7-1719-31
Midrange FG7-237-20
2-Point FG14-4026-51
3-Point FG19-3212-22
Free Throws10-1521-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 195 · 29
44.3
33
97%
1
8
1
1
3
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
9-12
75%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
42.0
24
63%
2
8
1
0
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-9
33%
5-8
63%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
41.2
13
43%
5
5
2
0
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-10
30%
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
29.9
3
25%
3
1
0
2
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-1
100%
F · 7'0" 250 · 27
15.1
6
38%
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
24.9
4
50%
3
0
1
0
2
5
1
2
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
15.8
9
64%
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
5-8
63%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
15.6
3
150%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
11.3
0
0%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
G · 6'2" 205 · 26
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
58%
25
26
9
4
12
0
7
18
10-15
67%
14-40
35%
19-32
59%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.