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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pacers48%103105
24Bucks52%104101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.6
45.0
32.3
27
63%
11
4
3
1
0
5
1
10
7-10
70%
4-11
4-7
36%
52%
4-6
67%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.0
38.5
34.0
13
73%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
5-11
57%
49%
1-1
100%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
36.6
28.4
17
49%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
49%
0-4
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.2
32.6
22.6
9
51%
16
1
0
1
3
1
2
14
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
54%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.7
22.1
22.2
6
45%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-6
67%
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
25.9
24.3
11
66%
2
5
2
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.2
20.0
23.2
11
63%
3
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
4-4
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
1-2
50%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
19.4
20.9
11
74%
3
0
1
0
0
6
0
3
1-1
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
22.0
1
2-4
44%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.1
13.8
0
2-3
52%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.6
8.5
0
1-2
54%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.6
6.2
0
1-2
51%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.4
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.3
40.2
33.9
21
50%
16
1
1
1
3
2
4
12
5-9
56%
8-17
7-13
47%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
37.9
36.4
28
53%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
6-6
100%
11-22
6-12
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.6
30.2
29.5
11
57%
9
1
2
1
0
3
2
7
5-6
83%
3-5
6-12
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.5
24.9
27.6
8
36%
2
1
1
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-11
3-7
36%
47%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.3
18.3
26.4
2
20%
1
8
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
31.1
21.4
11
52%
4
7
1
1
0
3
1
3
4-6
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
25.0
12.6
6
50%
1
3
3
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-2
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.8
19.4
18.0
11
62%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
1-1
100%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.2
13.0
14.4
3
57%
5
0
3
1
0
1
4
1
3-6
50%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
5.4
0
1-2
47%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
5.4
0
1-2
50%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
4.5
0
1-1
48%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.