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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks38%98108
2Lakers62%102112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.9
41.1
36.5
23
49%
7
3
0
1
0
2
4
3
7-8
88%
8-17
7-15
47%
49%
0-3
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.0
38.8
34.0
10
71%
7
8
3
2
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-6
40%
41%
2-2
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
38.0
35.0
25
61%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
5-6
83%
7-12
5-9
58%
50%
2-6
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.8
31.0
28.4
27
71%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
12-17
6-12
71%
49%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
30.5
25.2
11
64%
10
2
0
0
0
1
5
5
3-6
50%
4-6
3-4
67%
58%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
25.6
16.7
4
40%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.5
22.4
13.7
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-3
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.9
8.4
6.8
8
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.8
3.8
22.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.9
0.2
14.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
49%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
10.0
0
1-2
46%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.2
4.9
0
1-1
44%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.9
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.8
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.4
44.1
38.0
31
84%
10
5
1
1
2
4
4
6
7-10
70%
12-14
5-9
86%
54%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.6
41.7
39.3
25
70%
10
6
0
2
0
0
4
6
8-9
89%
4-10
8-16
40%
50%
3-4
75%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.7
37.9
16.9
25
59%
4
7
0
0
2
1
0
4
3-3
100%
11-20
3-6
55%
53%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
25.1
26.1
4
25%
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.7
25.1
28.9
7
74%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.1
26.8
17.7
9
104%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.3
23.1
17.4
9
48%
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
1-3
33%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.2
8.3
22.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
50%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.0
5.3
21.3
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
2.6
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.3
6.7
0
1-2
51%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
5.0
0
1-2
48%
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.4
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.