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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets77%10079
30SuperSonics23%9066
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.9
41.5
39.4
25
43%
4
6
0
1
1
2
1
3
3-4
75%
11-23
9-19
48%
48%
0-4
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
40.0
34.3
11
55%
8
2
1
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
3-7
43%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.9
35.1
28.7
7
39%
12
1
1
1
0
2
3
9
1-2
50%
3-8
5-10
38%
53%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.1
32.4
18.2
13
54%
2
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
3-6
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.8
16.2
22.5
5
87%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.4
19.0
20.8
4
41%
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.2
16.5
11.4
10
79%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.8
15.8
19.4
0
0%
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
57%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.5
15.5
18.7
4
29%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-2
0%
2-6
3-6
33%
57%
0-0
-
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 24.8
5.7
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.8
1.6
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-2
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 29.8
0.8
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.6
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.1
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.4
35.3
31.4
15
51%
11
1
1
1
2
2
5
6
5-6
83%
5-12
4-8
42%
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.2
35.1
26.2
11
31%
15
0
2
1
0
1
6
9
1-2
50%
5-17
4-8
29%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.5
34.9
37.5
4
12%
5
4
0
1
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
2-16
7-15
13%
46%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.8
30.3
32.5
4
29%
3
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
27.8
35.6
6
31%
5
0
1
1
0
4
2
3
4-4
100%
1-7
5-11
14%
45%
0-1
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.8
27.2
11.5
9
53%
6
0
2
1
0
3
3
3
1-1
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
20.7
20.5
7
60%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.1
15.7
11.3
6
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.9
9.9
9.0
2
50%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.2
3.3
4.1
2
53%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.2
17.2
1
2-5
44%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
11.1
0
2-4
52%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.9
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.