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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Celtics74%97101
20Bobcats26%8978
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.2
30.1
21.1
19
68%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
1-1
67%
51%
3-7
43%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.2
29.4
20.1
22
80%
9
1
2
0
0
1
3
6
12-13
92%
5-8
4-7
63%
55%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.1
25.0
27.5
6
30%
5
5
3
2
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
3-9
5-9
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.4
23.9
22.1
4
50%
7
1
1
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
60%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.2
21.9
17.4
12
51%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
4-10
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.9
28.8
14.6
16
55%
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
3-7
43%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.3
23.5
7.7
9
51%
8
0
2
0
1
1
2
6
1-4
25%
4-7
1-2
57%
53%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.4
20.2
9.4
8
37%
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
3
4-4
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
48%
0-2
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 38.5
19.1
6.4
4
53%
5
2
1
0
2
1
0
5
2-4
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
17.9
3.8
1
27%
6
3
1
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.7
31.6
1
3-6
51%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
29.0
1
7-13
54%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.0
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.5
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.8
39.8
35.7
11
36%
4
10
0
1
0
5
0
4
1-1
100%
5-14
4-10
36%
42%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
32.5
38.9
9
34%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-3
0%
3-5
5-11
60%
45%
1-7
14%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
31.7
34.8
17
58%
8
0
0
1
1
3
1
7
1-4
25%
8-13
5-10
62%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
25.2
18.3
3
25%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
14.9
10.4
4
40%
4
0
2
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.8
33.0
17.3
15
70%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
39%
1-1
100%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.7
32.8
22.8
10
63%
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
47%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
16.0
20.5
7
51%
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
8.3
4.6
2
114%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.7
5.6
5.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
31.1
2
4-8
48%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.2
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.0
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.