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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards38%9599
18Bulls62%9987
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.1
41.9
35.1
18
60%
8
4
1
2
2
1
3
5
2-2
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
48%
2-6
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.0
36.6
30.0
11
37%
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
44%
1-7
14%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.0
36.3
21.2
9
51%
7
5
0
1
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.4
35.0
31.6
25
66%
10
2
0
1
2
3
6
4
7-7
100%
9-16
4-8
56%
53%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.1
32.8
20.5
14
64%
8
2
1
1
0
4
2
6
0-0
-
7-11
3-7
64%
48%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.6
24.2
20.7
6
44%
10
1
0
1
0
2
3
7
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
17.4
19.2
14
79%
3
3
2
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
2-4
50%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
8.1
14.3
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
7.7
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
24.2
1
4-8
47%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.2
18.3
1
2-5
46%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.3
4.7
0
0-1
49%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
33.6
33.2
7
38%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
5-12
42%
1-4
4-7
25%
52%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.2
32.4
31.5
16
58%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-9
4-10
33%
43%
2-3
67%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.3
25.9
26.2
9
64%
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.6
24.8
23.2
12
55%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
1-1
100%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
19.1
31.3
8
50%
4
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
6-11
50%
52%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.9
31.3
21.2
6
38%
7
0
2
1
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
26.6
24.8
18
63%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
2-5
40%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.3
16.9
21.3
5
36%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.6
14.7
10.1
2
25%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.3
12.5
7.8
2
25%
3
1
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
53%
0-0
-
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.6
2.2
2.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
2.5
0
0-1
46%
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.