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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pistons81%9491
29Heat19%8375
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.1
27.5
18.1
10
44%
7
0
1
0
3
0
0
7
2-3
67%
4-10
3-5
40%
54%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.5
25.5
24.7
10
51%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.5
24.0
27.0
8
74%
0
6
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.6
20.5
26.5
4
33%
3
1
1
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.1
19.4
28.2
14
89%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
5-6
4-9
83%
49%
1-1
100%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.0
27.5
27.4
19
70%
3
4
3
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
7-11
5-9
64%
48%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.9
27.5
20.2
2
33%
7
1
0
1
4
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
57%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.5
19.0
13.8
10
63%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.7
18.4
13.9
10
68%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.0
15.4
7.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
10.2
12.4
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.5
5.2
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.3
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.1
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
41.2
38.5
11
50%
9
3
0
1
1
2
1
8
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
3-6
50%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
36.1
35.3
14
69%
7
4
1
1
0
1
0
7
5-5
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
43%
1-4
25%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
34.8
33.0
2
17%
3
1
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
31.5
16.6
20
48%
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
4
8-9
89%
6-15
2-6
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.4
20.7
20.6
10
63%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
2-2
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
26.7
26.3
4
29%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
2-6
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
24.2
17.8
9
46%
2
5
2
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
39%
1-5
20%
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
17.1
16.5
5
36%
4
0
1
0
2
2
4
0
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.4
7.7
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
14.5
0
2-3
49%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
9.9
0
1-3
54%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.4
6.9
0
1-1
47%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.2
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.