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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs64%9272
22Trail Blazers36%8865
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.8
39.0
25.6
10
71%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
2-4
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.9
37.1
27.8
27
52%
11
0
0
1
1
1
4
7
7-9
78%
10-21
6-11
48%
52%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.9
33.5
30.0
8
25%
3
7
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-13
6-12
31%
52%
0-3
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
20.3
24.8
7
88%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.0
15.3
20.9
3
61%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.7
29.7
26.6
10
69%
3
6
0
1
0
4
0
3
4-5
80%
3-3
3-7
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.5
26.3
18.4
2
25%
13
0
0
0
0
0
2
11
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.7
23.1
21.6
5
36%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
1-3
33%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.1
8.6
16.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.6
6.1
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
1.0
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
10.1
0
1-2
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.4
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.3
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.7
39.6
10.3
18
51%
4
4
0
0
1
1
1
3
4-6
67%
7-14
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.7
38.1
36.4
12
36%
11
1
0
1
3
2
3
8
2-2
100%
5-16
8-17
31%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.1
34.3
34.3
7
28%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-3
33%
3-10
3-6
30%
44%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.5
20.9
18.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.5
17.4
31.1
4
100%
9
0
0
0
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.5
35.3
35.6
14
55%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-9
7-15
22%
44%
2-2
100%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
21.8
29.2
6
34%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
21.6
3.1
2
100%
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.9
7.5
14.6
2
20%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.8
3.6
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.3
18.7
0
1-3
45%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.7
2.8
0
0-1
42%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.1
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.2
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.