Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies40%97113
25Timberwolves60%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
40.2
31.8
23
57%
9
6
3
1
1
2
1
8
5-7
71%
9-13
6-11
69%
50%
0-4
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
38.0
28.5
34
81%
10
6
0
1
2
0
1
9
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
54%
8-12
67%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.7
34.9
27.6
20
59%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
8-9
89%
6-13
5-9
46%
53%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.8
24.9
15.0
12
49%
5
0
0
0
3
0
2
3
4-5
80%
4-10
2-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.5
22.7
20.9
4
22%
4
3
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.0
25.3
26.3
9
48%
1
7
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.8
23.3
20.2
9
58%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.3
23.1
19.1
2
114%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.3
7.5
26.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-7
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.1
9.7
0
1-2
52%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
9.1
0
1-1
46%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
4.3
0
0-0
48%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.6
38.6
29.9
19
53%
8
0
1
1
1
0
1
7
5-7
71%
7-13
5-9
54%
51%
0-2
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.3
35.1
35.3
6
38%
4
5
1
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.5
33.9
30.3
17
53%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
7-13
3-7
54%
47%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.3
32.4
31.5
18
71%
8
2
0
1
1
4
1
7
4-6
67%
7-10
8-16
70%
53%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.1
19.7
24.7
4
41%
4
2
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
28.3
19.8
11
85%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
51%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.5
26.9
23.6
16
47%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
4-7
50%
50%
2-7
29%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.4
19.1
14.6
8
80%
8
2
0
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
58%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.3
5.9
14.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.8
8.4
0
1-2
47%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.6
3.5
0
0-0
51%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.2
3.1
0
0-0
46%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.6
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.