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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 8, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bulls69%9588
30Heat31%8995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
37.7
26.3
25
86%
4
2
2
1
0
5
0
4
7-8
88%
9-10
5-10
90%
51%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
31.6
32.4
16
58%
13
1
1
1
1
1
5
8
4-4
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.6
30.2
23.6
4
25%
8
3
1
1
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.3
29.6
26.1
5
50%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.2
26.1
31.0
6
30%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.0
26.7
25.3
16
51%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
1-6
3-7
17%
47%
3-7
43%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.6
18.4
12.5
5
83%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.4
18.2
19.5
7
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.9
11.3
24.9
0
0%
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.3
10.2
10.1
4
82%
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0
0-1
0%
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.6
2.7
0
0-1
49%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
2.4
0
0-1
46%
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.5
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.5
39.2
38.3
16
71%
8
2
4
1
0
1
1
7
3-3
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.4
32.9
20.4
13
57%
2
4
2
0
2
1
0
2
1-1
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
30.6
34.8
16
58%
3
6
2
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
25.7
22.4
13
50%
6
0
0
0
1
2
3
3
1-2
50%
6-11
4-8
55%
44%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.9
23.4
33.0
5
63%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Kasib Powell
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
37.1
29.5
18
56%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
47%
2-5
40%
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
18.6
16.8
4
53%
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
2
2-4
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.4
17.4
10.5
4
34%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
15.1
26.1
6
77%
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Blake Ahearn
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
20.1
1
1-3
41%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
9.8
0
1-2
51%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.4
6.8
0
1-1
49%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.2
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.2
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.