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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 8, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Kings25%100132
13Warriors75%109140
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.2
36.7
33.3
29
74%
7
4
1
1
0
1
0
7
14-17
82%
6-9
5-10
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.9
35.4
26.8
13
44%
5
3
0
1
1
4
2
3
3-4
75%
5-13
4-9
38%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.3
32.6
27.4
22
66%
6
3
0
1
0
0
2
4
4-4
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.4
22.5
31.5
2
50%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
57%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.5
14.0
20.6
2
33%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.3
34.7
26.5
31
71%
0
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
7-9
78%
9-14
3-6
64%
51%
2-4
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.5
23.8
17.6
8
40%
7
0
0
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.8
23.3
10.9
10
56%
3
3
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-3
56%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.9
17.0
14.9
15
97%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
1-1
100%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.4
24.3
1
5-10
47%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.7
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.4
2.7
0
0-0
45%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.0
42.2
35.9
33
71%
5
9
3
2
1
5
1
4
11-12
92%
5-12
6-12
42%
50%
4-6
67%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.0
39.3
35.5
20
63%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
8-9
89%
3-5
4-8
60%
47%
2-7
29%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.0
34.7
29.7
17
58%
17
1
1
1
3
0
7
10
3-6
50%
7-12
5-8
58%
63%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.5
33.9
36.5
16
56%
4
7
1
2
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
6-12
9-16
50%
55%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.1
31.9
25.3
17
58%
7
3
5
1
0
1
1
6
3-4
75%
4-8
3-7
50%
50%
2-5
40%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.0
18.4
8.0
9
59%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
3-6
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.2
12.8
31.5
10
74%
2
1
0
1
2
1
2
0
3-4
75%
2-2
3-6
100%
53%
1-3
33%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.9
11.7
6.8
7
75%
6
3
0
0
2
2
2
4
5-6
83%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
7.6
28.7
5
83%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.5
6.1
11.7
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.8
1.2
3.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.1
0.4
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.