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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Celtics56%9595
16Wizards44%93109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.5
37.0
26.1
28
88%
2
7
1
1
1
6
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
6-9
67%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.7
36.5
20.6
13
44%
4
3
1
1
0
3
3
1
3-4
75%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
2-7
29%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
30.9
19.0
22
58%
14
5
1
1
1
3
5
9
4-7
57%
9-16
4-9
56%
52%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.1
24.6
22.8
4
34%
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-2
0%
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.4
19.4
21.0
4
33%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
59%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.2
30.4
27.3
8
40%
5
1
2
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
2-8
25%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.9
23.4
24.1
9
75%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
3-6
50%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 38.5
12.7
7.3
2
114%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.2
11.7
23.5
2
53%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.2
7.1
24.0
3
39%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
4-7
33%
54%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.3
5.0
20.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
51%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
1.2
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.4
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.0
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 33.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.1
42.4
36.4
13
55%
7
10
2
2
1
7
2
5
3-4
75%
5-7
5-10
71%
47%
0-3
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.0
39.3
31.3
14
65%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
4-8
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
37.7
18.6
27
62%
11
2
1
1
0
0
1
10
8-11
73%
5-10
3-6
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.4
27.4
32.0
12
67%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
6-9
5-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.1
26.0
25.6
8
82%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
24.4
14.5
13
44%
1
3
4
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
46%
1-5
20%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.1
18.9
24.0
10
63%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.6
12.8
21.6
9
59%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
3-6
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
11.1
18.5
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
12.4
0
2-4
46%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
9.2
0
1-1
43%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.3
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.