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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bobcats51%97107
26Knicks49%96109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
41.7
38.6
25
53%
10
4
0
1
1
1
4
6
5-8
63%
4-9
5-10
44%
49%
4-11
36%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.8
40.8
34.9
24
66%
6
8
1
1
0
4
1
5
4-5
80%
10-15
5-10
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
40.4
27.9
17
61%
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
3-7
43%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
32.5
33.7
24
57%
8
0
0
1
2
0
5
3
2-5
40%
11-19
6-11
58%
53%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
19.1
24.5
3
26%
6
1
1
1
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.7
27.9
26.0
1
27%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
3-6
-
52%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.9
19.0
19.3
5
50%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
9.6
8.9
6
61%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
9.0
6.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
16.1
1
2-4
52%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.7
5.3
0
0-1
44%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.2
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.7
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.9
29.7
20.0
6
38%
11
1
0
1
0
2
6
5
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
59%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.0
28.6
17.0
12
40%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
5-13
2-4
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.1
28.4
29.7
18
60%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
47%
2-6
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
26.1
25.6
13
50%
11
3
1
1
0
1
4
7
0-0
-
5-9
6-12
56%
49%
1-4
25%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.4
24.0
25.6
6
38%
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.9
24.0
29.7
12
65%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
4-5
80%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.9
20.1
23.8
11
50%
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
1-4
25%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 29.1
19.4
20.0
15
94%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
5-5
100%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
17.6
17.6
6
50%
7
4
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
14.7
20.3
6
60%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.4
7.5
8.1
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.3
9.2
0
1-2
49%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.3
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.4
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.