Final Win Prob. pScore
344%98
94
556%100
97
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo Jazz
116.08184.2
DAL logo Mavericks
118.38279.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA94
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound94
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0DALSUB: Dampier FOR Terry94
97
Q4 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)94
97
Q4 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)94
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)94
43.4%
94
56.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0UTAJazz Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)91
94
Q4 - 0:09.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)91
6.5%
94
93.5%
Q4 - 0:09.0UTASUB: Boozer FOR Millsap91
93
Q4 - 0:09.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)91
7.5%
93
92.5%
Q4 - 0:09.0UTAKirilenko P.FOUL (P1.PN)91
92
Q4 - 0:11.0DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 3)91
92
Q4 - 0:11.0DALSUB: Jones FOR Dampier91
92
Q4 - 0:11.0DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)91
92
Q4 - 0:11.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)91
14.0%
92
86.0%
Q4 - 0:11.0UTASUB: Millsap FOR Boozer90
92
Q4 - 0:11.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
11.8%
92
88.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0DALKidd P.FOUL (P3.PN)89
92
Q4 - 0:15.0UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)89
8.1%
92
91.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0DALNowitzki 9' Step Back Jump Shot (29 PTS)89
11.1%
92
88.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)89
90
Q4 - 0:44.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound89
24.7%
90
75.3%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALMISS George 15' Running Jump Shot89
36.0%
90
64.0%
Q4 - 1:09DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)89
28.9%
90
71.1%
Q4 - 1:10DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot89
39.2%
90
60.8%
Q4 - 1:28DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
30.8%
90
69.2%
Q4 - 1:29UTADampier BLOCK (2 BLK)89
35.1%
90
64.9%
Q4 - 1:40DALDampier P.FOUL (P2.T3)89
90
Q4 - 1:52UTAKirilenko Violation:Defensive Goaltending89
90
Q4 - 1:52DALTerry Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)89
44.5%
90
55.5%
Q4 - 2:04DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
54.8%
88
45.2%
Q4 - 2:05UTAMISS D. Williams 7' Driving Hook Shot89
59.8%
88
40.2%
Q4 - 2:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
70.5%
88
29.5%
Q4 - 2:12DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Driving Jump Shot89
66.1%
88
33.9%
Q4 - 2:32UTAD. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)89
54.6%
88
45.4%
Q4 - 2:56UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)86
35.6%
88
64.4%
Q4 - 2:56DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 186
33.8%
88
66.2%
Q4 - 2:56UTAJazz Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)86
88
Q4 - 2:56UTABoozer S.FOUL (P5.PN)86
88
Q4 - 2:56DALNowitzki Driving Layup (27 PTS)86
88
Q4 - 3:14UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (D. Williams 12 AST)86
43.0%
86
57.0%
Q4 - 3:34DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
36.4%
86
63.6%
Q4 - 3:34DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
39.4%
85
60.6%
Q4 - 3:34UTAKorver S.FOUL (P4.PN)84
84
Q4 - 3:34DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
44.7%
84
55.3%
Q4 - 3:36DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup84
51.8%
84
48.2%
Q4 - 3:50UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)84
44.7%
84
55.3%
Q4 - 3:57DALGeorge Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)84
55.1%
84
44.9%
Q4 - 4:22UTAKirilenko Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Boozer 4 AST)84
44.6%
84
55.4%
Q4 - 4:39DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
35.9%
84
64.1%
Q4 - 4:39DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)82
36.8%
83
63.2%
Q4 - 4:39UTABoozer S.FOUL (P4.PN)82
82
Q4 - 4:43DALMAVERICKS Rebound82
44.6%
82
55.4%
Q4 - 4:43DALMISS Terry 6' Driving Jump Shot82
51.9%
82
48.1%
Q4 - 5:03UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)82
44.9%
82
55.1%
Q4 - 5:03DALDampier S.FOUL (P1.T2)81
82
Q4 - 5:03UTABoozer Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (D. Williams 11 AST)81
82
Q4 - 5:15DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
29.5%
82
70.5%
Q4 - 5:15DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)79
30.5%
81
69.5%
Q4 - 5:15UTASUB: Kirilenko FOR Harpring79
80
Q4 - 5:15UTABoozer S.FOUL (P3.PN)79
80
Q4 - 5:19UTATerry STEAL (1 STL)79
36.7%
80
63.3%
Q4 - 5:34DALTerry 13' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)79
45.2%
80
54.8%
Q4 - 5:47UTASUB: Boozer FOR Millsap79
78
Q4 - 5:4779
78
Q4 - 5:47UTAMillsap P.FOUL (P4.T4)79
78
Q4 - 6:05UTAD. Williams Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)79
52.7%
78
47.3%
Q4 - 6:25DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)77
45.4%
78
54.6%
Q4 - 6:29DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
60.2%
75
39.8%
Q4 - 6:30DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
65.3%
75
34.7%
Q4 - 6:57UTAOkur 6' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)77
60.2%
75
39.8%
Q4 - 7:16DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)75
52.4%
75
47.6%
Q4 - 7:16UTASUB: D. Williams FOR Price75
74
Q4 - 7:16UTAPrice S.FOUL (P4.T3)75
74
Q4 - 7:16DALTerry 9' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
74
Q4 - 7:20DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
65.4%
72
34.6%
Q4 - 7:21UTAMISS Harpring 16' Jump Shot75
67.4%
72
32.6%
Q4 - 7:32UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
71.9%
72
28.1%
Q4 - 7:33DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot75
70.0%
72
30.0%
Q4 - 7:51DALSUB: Dampier FOR Lue75
72
Q4 - 7:51DALSUB: Kidd FOR Howard75
72
Q4 - 7:51DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)75
72
Q4 - 7:59UTAKorver 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)75
65.5%
72
34.5%
Q4 - 8:13UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)73
58.1%
72
41.9%
Q4 - 8:14DALMISS Lue 6' Driving Hook Shot73
56.3%
72
43.7%
Q4 - 8:38UTAPrice Driving Layup (4 PTS)73
52.0%
72
48.0%
Q4 - 8:58DALTerry Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)71
45.3%
72
54.7%
Q4 - 9:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
51.7%
70
48.3%
Q4 - 9:04UTAMISS Millsap 15' Jump Shot71
53.4%
70
46.6%
Q4 - 9:12UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)71
57.4%
70
42.6%
Q4 - 9:13DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup71
55.7%
70
44.3%
Q4 - 9:23UTAKorver P.FOUL (P3.T2)71
70
Q4 - 9:30UTAPrice P.FOUL (P3.T1)71
70
Q4 - 9:51UTAKorver 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)71
51.8%
70
48.2%
Q4 - 10:10UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
39.8%
70
60.2%
Q4 - 10:12DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup68
38.2%
70
61.8%
Q4 - 10:33DALMAVERICKS Rebound68
34.6%
70
65.4%
Q4 - 10:34UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
39.8%
70
60.2%
Q4 - 10:34UTAMISS Millsap Putback Layup68
36.2%
70
63.8%
Q4 - 10:35UTAMISS Harpring Driving Layup68
36.2%
70
63.8%
Q4 - 10:56DALGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)68
39.8%
70
60.2%
Q4 - 11:11UTAOkur Driving Dunk (17 PTS)68
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q4 - 11:20DALLue L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)66
67
Q4 - 11:20UTAJazz Rebound66
45.2%
67
54.8%
Q4 - 11:20UTAMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
41.7%
67
58.3%
Q4 - 11:37UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
45.2%
67
54.8%
Q4 - 11:38DALMISS Terry 4' Driving Jump Shot66
43.7%
67
56.3%
Q4 - 12:0066
67
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA66
40.2%
67
59.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
45.2%
67
54.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
43.7%
67
56.3%
Q3 - 0:14.0DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
40.5%
67
59.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0UTAMISS D. Williams Driving Dunk66
41.8%
67
58.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0DALHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)66
44.9%
67
55.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0UTAHarpring Running Layup (6 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST)66
40.5%
67
59.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
35.1%
67
64.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALMISS George 11' Running Jump Shot64
33.9%
67
66.1%
Q3 - 1:20UTAPrice 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)64
31.3%
67
68.7%
Q3 - 1:40DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (George 1 AST)62
26.8%
67
73.2%
Q3 - 1:50DALSUB: Howard FOR Jones62
64
Q3 - 1:50DALTerry Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)62
35.7%
64
64.3%
Q3 - 1:50UTAJazz T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Price )62
63
Q3 - 2:05DALJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
40.1%
63
59.9%
Q3 - 2:05UTAMISS Millsap Layup62
41.5%
63
58.5%
Q3 - 2:07UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
44.6%
63
55.4%
Q3 - 2:08UTAMISS Millsap Layup62
41.5%
63
58.5%
Q3 - 2:30DALGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
44.6%
63
55.4%
Q3 - 2:30DALGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
45.8%
62
54.2%
Q3 - 2:30UTAPrice S.FOUL (P2.T4)62
61
Q3 - 2:55UTAD. Williams 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)62
49.4%
61
50.6%
Q3 - 2:57UTASUB: Harpring FOR Brewer60
61
Q3 - 2:57UTASUB: Price FOR Kirilenko60
61
Q3 - 2:57DALSUB: Terry FOR Kidd60
61
Q3 - 2:57UTAJazz Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)60
61
Q3 - 3:09DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
44.8%
61
55.2%
Q3 - 3:09DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
45.6%
60
54.4%
Q3 - 3:09UTAMillsap S.FOUL (P3.T3)60
59
Q3 - 3:28UTABrewer 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)60
49.0%
59
51.0%
Q3 - 3:44UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
44.8%
59
55.2%
Q3 - 3:46DALMISS Kidd 4' Hook Shot58
43.3%
59
56.7%
Q3 - 4:04UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (6 PTS)58
39.9%
59
60.1%
Q3 - 4:12UTAJazz Rebound56
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 4:12UTAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)56
33.2%
59
66.8%
Q3 - 4:19DALKidd P.FOUL (P2.T3)56
59
Q3 - 4:24UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 4:25DALMISS Kidd 8' Jump Shot56
35.0%
59
65.0%
Q3 - 4:34DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki56
59
Q3 - 4:34UTASUB: Millsap FOR Okur56
59
Q3 - 4:34UTAOkur P.FOUL (P1.T2)56
59
Q3 - 4:52DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
31.9%
59
68.1%
Q3 - 4:53UTAMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot56
33.2%
59
66.8%
Q3 - 5:09DALNowitzki 9' Pullup Bank Shot (20 PTS)56
36.3%
59
63.7%
Q3 - 5:24DALSUB: Jones FOR Terry56
57
Q3 - 5:24DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)56
57
Q3 - 5:31UTAKirilenko Layup (11 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)56
39.8%
57
60.2%
Q3 - 5:49DALTerry Running Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)54
36.3%
57
63.7%
Q3 - 6:04UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)54
40.0%
55
60.0%
Q3 - 6:27DALGeorge Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)51
32.8%
55
67.2%
Q3 - 6:31DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
36.2%
53
63.8%
Q3 - 6:32UTAMISS Boozer 9' Hook Shot51
37.4%
53
62.6%
Q3 - 6:42UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
40.3%
53
59.7%
Q3 - 6:43DALMISS Kidd 23' Jump Shot51
39.0%
53
61.0%
Q3 - 7:04DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
36.2%
53
63.8%
Q3 - 7:05DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot51
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q3 - 7:20UTAD. Williams 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
36.2%
53
63.8%
Q3 - 7:37UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
32.9%
53
67.1%
Q3 - 7:38DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot49
31.8%
53
68.2%
Q3 - 7:49UTABrewer Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)49
29.4%
53
70.6%
Q3 - 8:19DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)47
26.7%
53
73.3%
Q3 - 8:34DALMAVERICKS Rebound47
29.5%
51
70.5%
Q3 - 8:35UTAMISS Okur 18' Jump Shot47
30.5%
51
69.5%
Q3 - 8:42DALKidd P.FOUL (P1.T2)47
51
Q3 - 8:51UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
33.0%
51
67.0%
Q3 - 8:52DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot47
31.9%
51
68.1%
Q3 - 9:08UTAOkur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)47
29.9%
51
70.1%
Q3 - 9:33DALTerry Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)44
24.1%
51
75.9%
Q3 - 9:57UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
26.8%
49
73.2%
Q3 - 9:57UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
26.3%
49
73.7%
Q3 - 9:57DALTerry S.FOUL (P2.T1)42
49
Q3 - 9:57UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
24.1%
49
75.9%
Q3 - 9:58UTAMISS D. Williams Driving Reverse Layup42
22.2%
49
77.8%
Q3 - 10:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)42
24.6%
49
75.4%
Q3 - 10:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)42
24.8%
48
75.2%
Q3 - 10:20DALSUB: George FOR Howard42
47
Q3 - 10:20UTABoozer S.FOUL (P2.T1)42
47
Q3 - 10:34DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
27.3%
47
72.7%
Q3 - 10:36UTAMISS Kirilenko 18' Jump Shot42
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q3 - 10:45UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
30.2%
47
69.8%
Q3 - 10:46DALMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot42
29.3%
47
70.7%
Q3 - 11:08UTAKirilenko 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)42
27.7%
47
72.3%
Q3 - 11:25UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)40
25.1%
47
74.9%
Q3 - 11:26DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot40
24.3%
47
75.7%
Q3 - 11:45DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
22.4%
47
77.6%
Q3 - 11:46UTAMISS Brewer 17' Jump Shot40
23.2%
47
76.8%
Q3 - 12:0040
47
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL40
25.1%
47
74.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
22.4%
47
77.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
23.2%
47
76.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALSUB: George FOR Bass40
47
Q2 - 0:03.0DALJones P.FOUL (P2.T3)40
47
Q2 - 0:12.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
25.3%
47
74.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0DALMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
24.7%
47
75.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0UTAOkur 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)40
23.4%
47
76.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0DALBass 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)37
18.4%
47
81.6%
Q2 - 1:13UTAOkur 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)37
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q2 - 1:30DALJones Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)34
16.9%
45
83.1%
Q2 - 1:49UTAKirilenko Layup (4 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)34
19.4%
43
80.6%
Q2 - 1:57DALSUB: Howard FOR Dampier32
43
Q2 - 1:57DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)32
16.9%
43
83.1%
Q2 - 1:57DALMAVERICKS Rebound32
15.6%
43
84.4%
Q2 - 1:59DALMISS Kidd 13' Step Back Jump Shot32
16.5%
43
83.5%
Q2 - 2:22UTAOkur 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)32
15.8%
43
84.2%
Q2 - 2:39UTAJazz Rebound30
14.2%
43
85.8%
Q2 - 2:40DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 230
14.0%
43
86.0%
Q2 - 2:40DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
13.0%
43
87.0%
Q2 - 2:40UTAJazz Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)30
42
Q2 - 2:40UTAKorver S.FOUL (P2.PN)30
42
Q2 - 2:44UTABass STEAL (1 STL)30
14.2%
42
85.8%
Q2 - 3:08DALJones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)30
16.3%
42
83.7%
Q2 - 3:13DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
19.7%
39
80.3%
Q2 - 3:15UTABass BLOCK (1 BLK)30
20.4%
39
79.6%
Q2 - 3:33DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 3:33DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 3:33UTAKorver S.FOUL (P1.T4)30
37
Q2 - 3:36UTAHoward STEAL (2 STL)30
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 3:58DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki30
37
Q2 - 3:58DALSUB: Jones FOR Terry30
37
Q2 - 3:58DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)30
26.7%
37
73.3%
Q2 - 4:18UTABoozer 15' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 4:37UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)28
22.3%
37
77.7%
Q2 - 4:38DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 4:58UTASUB: Kirilenko FOR Harpring28
37
Q2 - 4:58UTASUB: Boozer FOR Millsap28
37
Q2 - 4:58DALSUB: Howard FOR Lue28
37
Q2 - 4:58DALSUB: Kidd FOR George28
37
Q2 - 4:58DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)28
37
Q2 - 4:59UTAMillsap Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)28
20.1%
37
79.9%
Q2 - 5:06UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
18.9%
37
81.1%
Q2 - 5:06DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Step Back Jump Shot26
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q2 - 5:27DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 5:28UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 5:40UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)26
18.9%
37
81.1%
Q2 - 5:41UTAMISS Okur Driving Layup26
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 5:54UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
18.9%
37
81.1%
Q2 - 5:54DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
18.3%
37
81.7%
Q2 - 6:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
17.5%
37
82.5%
Q2 - 6:05UTAMISS Millsap Driving Layup26
18.1%
37
81.9%
Q2 - 6:23DALNowitzki 13' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)26
19.5%
37
80.5%
Q2 - 6:40DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q2 - 6:41UTAMISS Korver 18' Jump Shot26
21.7%
35
78.3%
Q2 - 6:54DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
23.4%
35
76.6%
Q2 - 6:54DALGeorge Putback Dunk (2 PTS)26
23.4%
35
76.6%
Q2 - 6:55DALMISS Lue 10' Jump Shot26
26.9%
33
73.1%
Q2 - 7:16UTASUB: D. Williams FOR Price26
33
Q2 - 7:16UTAPrice L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)26
33
Q2 - 7:17DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
25.6%
33
74.4%
Q2 - 7:18UTAMISS Price 6' Driving Jump Shot26
26.2%
33
73.8%
Q2 - 7:42DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)26
27.8%
33
72.2%
Q2 - 7:5526
30
Q2 - 7:55DALMAVERICKS Rebound26
32.5%
30
67.5%
Q2 - 7:56UTAMISS Okur 22' Jump Shot26
33.3%
30
66.7%
Q2 - 8:11DALNowitzki 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
35.3%
30
64.7%
Q2 - 8:29UTAKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Price 1 AST)26
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q2 - 8:44UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
32.8%
28
67.2%
Q2 - 8:45DALMISS George 9' Jump Shot23
32.1%
28
67.9%
Q2 - 9:09DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
30.5%
28
69.5%
Q2 - 9:09DALMISS George 11' Jump Shot23
32.1%
28
67.9%
Q2 - 9:09UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
30.5%
28
69.5%
Q2 - 9:09UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
29.8%
28
70.2%
Q2 - 9:09DALSUB: Dampier FOR Bass21
28
Q2 - 9:09DALBass S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
28
Q2 - 9:18UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q2 - 9:19DALMISS George 20' Jump Shot21
27.6%
28
72.4%
Q2 - 9:42UTAHarpring Putback Layup (4 PTS)21
26.1%
28
73.9%
Q2 - 9:44UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
24.1%
28
75.9%
Q2 - 9:45UTAMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
22.8%
28
77.2%
Q2 - 10:00UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
24.1%
28
75.9%
Q2 - 10:01DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q2 - 10:22UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 10:22UTAHarpring Layup (2 PTS)19
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 10:24UTANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)17
19.7%
28
80.3%
Q2 - 10:27UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
20.9%
28
79.1%
Q2 - 10:27UTAMISS Millsap 6' Jump Shot17
19.7%
28
80.3%
Q2 - 10:45DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
20.9%
28
79.1%
Q2 - 10:45DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q2 - 10:45DALSUB: Lue FOR Kidd17
26
Q2 - 10:45UTAMillsap S.FOUL (P2.T2)17
26
Q2 - 11:01UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
23.1%
26
76.9%
Q2 - 11:01UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
22.6%
26
77.4%
Q2 - 11:01DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.T1)15
26
Q2 - 11:19DALBass 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)15
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q2 - 11:32DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Howard15
24
Q2 - 11:32UTAMillsap P.FOUL (P1.T1)15
24
Q2 - 11:36DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q2 - 11:37UTAMISS Harpring 6' Jump Shot15
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q2 - 12:0015
24
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA15
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound15
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMISS D. Williams 58' 3PT Jump Shot15
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMISS Bass 6' Jump Shot15
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0UTABoozer Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)13
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
20.3%
24
79.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0UTAMISS Harpring 15' Jump Shot13
20.7%
24
79.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
21.5%
24
78.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot13
21.2%
24
78.8%
Q1 - 1:14DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q1 - 1:15UTAMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
21.4%
24
78.6%
Q1 - 1:39DALBass 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)13
22.1%
24
77.9%
Q1 - 1:56DALJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q1 - 1:57DALMISS Kidd 28' 3PT Jump Shot13
25.2%
22
74.8%
Q1 - 2:20UTASUB: Price FOR Brewer13
22
Q1 - 2:20UTASUB: Harpring FOR Kirilenko13
22
Q1 - 2:20DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)13
22
Q1 - 2:20UTABoozer Foul Turnover (P1.T4)13
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 2:20UTABoozer OFF.Foul (P1)13
22
Q1 - 2:36DALBass 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q1 - 2:53UTAD. Williams 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q1 - 3:02UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
26.5%
20
73.5%
Q1 - 3:03DALMISS Howard 23' Jump Shot11
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q1 - 3:26DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 3:27UTAMISS D. Williams 17' Jump Shot11
25.2%
20
74.8%
Q1 - 3:30DALSUB: Howard FOR Dampier11
20
Q1 - 3:30UTASUB: Millsap FOR Okur11
20
Q1 - 3:41UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
26.4%
20
73.6%
Q1 - 3:42DALMISS Bass 15' Jump Shot11
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q1 - 3:57UTABrewer 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)11
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 4:14DALHoward 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)9
24.9%
20
75.1%
Q1 - 4:26DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 4:27UTAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)9
26.9%
18
73.1%
Q1 - 4:46DALHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 4:53UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 4:53DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki8
18
Q1 - 4:53DALJones S.FOUL (P1.T4)8
18
Q1 - 4:53UTABoozer Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)8
18
Q1 - 5:01UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 5:02DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot6
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 5:21UTABrewer 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 5:43DALJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 5:43DALJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
22.6%
17
77.4%
Q1 - 5:43UTABrewer S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
16
Q1 - 5:48UTAJones STEAL (1 STL)4
23.6%
16
76.4%
Q1 - 6:06UTAJazz Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
16
Q1 - 6:08DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)4
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 6:15DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
26.8%
14
73.2%
Q1 - 6:16UTAMISS Boozer 21' Jump Shot4
27.2%
14
72.8%
Q1 - 6:32DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)4
28.4%
14
71.6%
Q1 - 6:39DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.3%
11
68.7%
Q1 - 6:40UTAMISS Boozer 6' Jump Shot4
31.8%
11
68.2%
Q1 - 6:51DALMAVERICKS Violation: Delay of game Violation4
11
Q1 - 6:51DALSUB: Jones FOR Terry4
11
Q1 - 6:51DALTerry P.FOUL (P1.T3)4
11
Q1 - 7:03DALDampier Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)4
33.1%
11
66.9%
Q1 - 7:10DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 7:11UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot4
35.0%
9
65.0%
Q1 - 7:35DALNowitzki 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)4
36.5%
9
63.5%
Q1 - 7:41UTANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)4
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 7:50UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
39.6%
7
60.4%
Q1 - 7:51DALMISS Dampier 6' Turnaround Jump Shot4
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 8:01UTAD. Williams P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
7
Q1 - 8:16DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.3%
7
61.7%
Q1 - 8:16UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 24
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 8:16UTAJazz Rebound4
7
Q1 - 8:16UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 24
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 8:16DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
7
Q1 - 8:22UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.8%
7
60.2%
Q1 - 8:23DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot4
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 8:30DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 8:31UTAMISS Boozer 9' Jump Shot4
38.9%
7
61.1%
Q1 - 8:46UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.0%
7
60.0%
Q1 - 8:47DALMISS Howard 5' Running Jump Shot4
39.6%
7
60.4%
Q1 - 9:02UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 9:02UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 9:02DALHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
7
Q1 - 9:24DALKidd Driving Layup (7 PTS)2
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 9:34UTAHoward STEAL (1 STL)2
39.9%
5
60.1%
Q1 - 9:52DALKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)2
41.0%
5
59.0%
Q1 - 9:59DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 10:01UTANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)2
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 10:27DALKidd Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:44DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)2
0
Q1 - 10:46UTAOkur 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)2
44.5%
0
55.5%
Q1 - 11:03DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 11:16DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 11:17UTADampier BLOCK (1 BLK)0
43.5%
0
56.5%
Q1 - 11:18UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 11:20UTATerry BLOCK (1 BLK)0
43.5%
0
56.5%
Q1 - 11:39UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 11:40DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot0
43.7%
0
56.3%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Okur: Tip to Nowitzki0
43.7%
0
56.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.06 52.8%
DAL
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
13
27
48%
DAL
11
18
61%
Midrange
UTA
16
37
43%
DAL
14
41
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
DAL
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
UTA
12
14
86%
DAL
23
25
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Okur1968%9.5 / 14
D. Williams1853%9.0 / 17
A. Kirilenko1575%7.5 / 10
C. Boozer1050%5.0 / 10
R. Brewer850%4.0 / 8
K. Korver880%4.0 / 5
P. Millsap633%3.0 / 9
M. Harpring643%3.0 / 7
R. Price433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3264%16.0 / 25
J. Terry2166%10.5 / 16
B. Bass1478%7.0 / 9
D. George950%4.5 / 9
J. Kidd744%3.5 / 8
E. Jones788%3.5 / 4
E. Dampier467%2.0 / 3
J. Howard317%1.5 / 9
T. Lue0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
73
+13
-8
86
DAL
76
+10
-6
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.06 52.8%
DAL
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
110.6
UTA 116.0
DAL 118.3 +2.2
Pace
93.6
90.6
UTA 84.2 +5.2
DAL 79.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.4
UTA 17.1 −1.1
DAL 18.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
50.2%
UTA 51.3% +1.3%
DAL 50.0%
TO %
15.2%
13.3%
UTA 8.5%
DAL 7.6% −0.9%
ORB %
29.6%
26.8%
UTA 24.3% +6.4%
DAL 17.9%
FTrt
34.9
31.8
UTA 17.5
DAL 33.8 +16.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.0%
56.9%
UTA 59.5% +8.0%
DAL 51.5%
STL %
9.3%
6.6%
UTA 3.7%
DAL 7.3% +3.6%
BLK %
7.3%
7.5%
UTA 10.2%
DAL 12.5% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
53.9%
UTA 52.8%
DAL 55.7% +2.9%
Rim FG%
61.4%
58.5%
UTA 48.1%
DAL 61.1% +13.0%
Mid FG%
44.2%
44.3%
UTA 43.2% +9.1%
DAL 34.1%
3P %
37.2%
35.2%
UTA 50.0%
DAL 53.3% +3.3%
FT %
75.9%
81.4%
UTA 85.7%
DAL 92.0% +6.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
28.9%
UTA 33.8% +9.4%
DAL 24.3%
Mid Att. %
44.3%
49.6%
UTA 46.3% −9.2%
DAL 55.4%
3P Att. %
16.6%
21.5%
UTA 20.0%
DAL 20.3% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions8182
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points9497
Rebounds4135
Assists2217
Steals36
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)6 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals37-8033-74
At-the-Rim FG13-2711-18
Midrange FG16-3714-41
2-Point FG29-6425-59
3-Point FG8-168-15
Free Throws12-1423-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 260 · 29
39.9
19
68%
14
2
0
0
2
1
3
11
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
3-3
100%
G · 6'3" 200 · 24
38.5
18
53%
3
12
1
0
3
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 258 · 26
34.7
10
50%
5
4
0
3
1
5
0
5
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
28.9
15
75%
4
1
0
1
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 235 · 23
18.7
8
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 212 · 27
24.0
8
80%
4
2
0
2
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 246 · 23
21.4
6
33%
6
0
0
0
0
4
2
4
4-4
100%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 32
19.1
6
43%
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
14.8
4
33%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
C · 6'11" 249 · 29
G · 6'3" 180 · 30
#22 · G · 6'6" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · C · 7'1" 280 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
53%
41
22
3
6
8
0
9
32
12-14
86%
29-64
45%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.