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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Nets25%9385
12Raptors75%102113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.2
37.6
38.7
21
66%
6
2
0
1
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
8-10
7-14
80%
47%
1-5
20%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.8
37.5
36.8
14
42%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
6-8
75%
4-10
5-11
40%
49%
0-3
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
32.0
27.0
19
53%
6
5
1
1
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
50%
1-5
20%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.2
28.3
13.2
0
0%
6
2
0
0
1
1
3
3
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
25.7
21.6
10
50%
3
1
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
0-2
0%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.8
23.9
21.9
9
41%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.4
18.4
21.6
2
17%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-2
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.1
14.8
13.8
3
39%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.4
13.2
19.2
7
72%
6
0
0
0
2
2
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.2
5.2
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.8
3.5
4.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.6
7.8
0
1-2
52%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.5
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
38.3
38.2
21
66%
9
3
3
1
1
3
2
7
7-9
78%
7-11
8-15
64%
52%
0-1
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.8
31.4
31.2
10
56%
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
52%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.1
23.9
24.8
14
46%
3
8
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
6-13
5-9
46%
49%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.9
23.4
30.5
10
56%
4
2
0
1
0
3
3
1
0-0
-
5-9
6-11
56%
55%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.8
21.0
25.6
5
87%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
56%
1-1
100%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.5
24.2
20.2
14
59%
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
3
8-9
89%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
24.1
23.6
11
63%
0
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
4-7
3-5
57%
57%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
21.8
19.2
24
102%
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
6-8
75%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.2
16.6
15.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
5.2
5.1
1
10%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
5.2
3.8
3
52%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.5
5.0
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.9
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.